Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Why Is Apple Giving This Tiny Stock A $900 Million Opportunity? - James Burgess
3.Gold Price Trend Analysis - - Nadeem_Walayatt
4.The Beginning of the End of the Dollar - Richard_Mills
5.Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
7.Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again - P_Radomski_CFA
8.Central Banks Have Gone Rogue, Putting Us All at Risk - Ellen_Brown
9.Gold Stocks Forced Capitulation - Zeal_LLC
10.The Post Bubble Market Contraction Thesis Receives Validation - Plunger
Last 7 days
Is A Sharp Stock Market Crash Ahead? - 21st Nov 18
Have We Seen The Worst of the Gold Bubble Burst? - 21st Nov 18
The Real Price of LNG, Climate Change, Coming Fracking Environmental Disaster - 21st Nov 18
Powell and Gold between Inflation and Global Slowdown - 21st Nov 18
Why is the North American Wilderness Known for Spiritualism? - 21st Nov 18
Stock Market Buy the Dip is Dead - 20th Nov 18
Deep State Mad World - 20th Nov 18
Commodities - What Do You Need To Know? - 20th Nov 18
Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance - 20th Nov 18
Handicapping the Precious Metals Through Year-End - 20th Nov 18
Betting Markets Confirm Theresa May Safe From Tory Leadership Challenge this Week - 20th Nov 18
Rail Chaos Transpennine Express Cancels Services to Manchester Airport Whilst on the Train! - 20th Nov 18
The Giants Are Coming...Giants of The Internet! - 20th Nov 18
Gold & Silver Corrective Rally is Almost Over - 19th Nov 18
Stock Market Going Sideways - Which Direction is Next? - 19th Nov 18
Technical Analysis Points to DOW 30k Next Target - 19th Nov 18
Stock Market Consolidating in a Downtrend  - 19th Nov 18
Next Tory Leader, Prime Minister Forecast and Betting Market Odds - 18th Nov 18
The Fed's Misleading Money Supply Measures - 17th Nov 18
Stock Market Outlook: Why the Economy is Bullish for Stocks Going into 2019 - 17th Nov 18
NO DEAL HARD BrExit Tory Chaos, Theresa May Leadership Challenge - 17th Nov 18
Gold vs Several Key Investments - 17th Nov 18
GDX Gold Mining Stocks Q3 18 Fundamentals - 17th Nov 18
Is Gold Under or Overpriced? - 17th Nov 18
Active Managers are Bearish on Stocks. A Bullish Contrarian Sign - 16th Nov 18
Will The Fed Sacrifice Retirement Portfolio Values For The "Common Good"? - 16th Nov 18
BrExit War - Tory Party About to Replace Theresa May for NO DEAL BrExit - 16th Nov 18
Aspire Global Makes Significant Financial Strides - 16th Nov 18
Gold Oil and Commodities …Back to the Future ? - 16th Nov 18
Will Oil Price Crash Lead to “Contagion” for the U.S. Stock Market? - 15th Nov 18
How NOT to Be Among the MANY Stock Investors Fooled by This Market Myth - 15th Nov 18
Tory BrExit Chaos Cripples UK Economy, Wrecks Housing Market Confidence - 15th Nov 18
Stocks Could End 2018 With A Dramatic Rally - 15th Nov 18
What Could Be the Last Nail in This Stock Bull Markets Coffin - 15th Nov 18
Defensive Stock Sectors Outperforming, Just Like During the Dot-com Bubble - 15th Nov 18
Buying Your First Home? Here’s How to Save Money - 15th Nov 18
US Economy Ten Points or Ten Miles to ‘Bridge Out’? - 14th Nov 18
US Stocks: Whither from Here? - 14th Nov 18
Know exactly when to Enter&Exit trades using this... - 14th Nov 18
Understanding the Benefits of Keeping a Trading Journal - 14th Nov 18
S&P 500 Below 2,800 Again, New Downtrend or Just Correction? - 13th Nov 18
Warning: Precious Metals’ Gold and Silver Prices are about to Collapse! - 13th Nov 18
Why the End of the Longest Crude Oil Bull Market Since 2008? - 13th Nov 18
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally Reaches .618 Retracement - 13th Nov 18
How to Create the Best Website Content and Generate Organic Traffic - 13th Nov 18
Why the Stock Market Will Pullback, Rally, and Roll Into a Bear Market - 13th Nov 18
Stock Markets Around the World are Crashing. What Not to Worry About? - 12th Nov 18
Cyclical Commodities Continue to Weaken, Gold Moves in Relation - 12th Nov 18
Olympus Tough TG-5 Camera Stuck or Dead Pixels, Rubbish Video Auto Focus - 12th Nov 18
5 Things That Precede Gold Price Major Bottoms - 12th Nov 18
Big US Stocks Q3 Fundamentals - 12th Nov 18
How "Free Money" Helped Create Sizzling Housing Market & REIT Gains - 12th Nov 18
One Direction More Likely for Bitcoin Price - 12th Nov 18
The Place of HSE Software in Today's Business - 12th Nov 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How You Could Make £2,850 Per Month

Dow Stock Market Analysis

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018 Jun 27, 2018 - 12:34 PM GMT

By: Austin_Galt

Stock-Markets

Pattern – an uptrend is clearly in force and the action since the January 2018 looks corrective in nature. I believe this corrective phase still has more time to play out. Price made a low yesterday at 24084 and while we may see that level tested I favour it to hold for the time being.

Bollinger Bands – price is now back at the middle band I favour support to come in here and send it back to the upper channel for one final downside test which sees price hit the lower band. A move straight down to the lower band is certainly not out of the question and if that were to occur then it probably means the next leg higher will commence earlier than expected.


Weekly Chart


Fibonacci – price recently found resistance at the 23.6% angle and I favour price to have another crack at that resistance before being rejected once again. If that is to occur then I will be looking for a solid test of support from the 38.2% angle before price begins a new upleg.

Horizontal line – denotes the April 2018 of 23344 and price breaking this level, or at least closing below it, will likely mean I am wrong about the next leg commencing. I do favour price to give this level a good test however with price turning back up above it, thereby creating a higher low.

Moving averages – in a very bullish position.

RSI – currently weak given the recent move down.

Monthly Chart


Pattern – a big bull trend is at hand, obviously.

Bollinger Bands – price has been finding support at the middle band, just above it in fact, and I believe a more solid test of this band will be see before the major uptrend continues. I suspect this test will come later in the year.

PSAR – the dots are currently above price indicating a bearish stance. I favour price to take out these dots, which currently stand at 26125, before reversing back down and giving the dots on the downside a test.

Fibonacci – the 23.6% angle has provided support and I believe price will eventually give this angle another test which may see price dip marginally under it.

RSI – just in strong territory and we may see it dip into weak territory before the next upleg commences.

Logarithmic Yearly Chart

Pattern – price looks to be forming a 5 point broadening top with points 1 to 4 already in place with price now on its way up into an eventual point 5 high. Perhaps that will turn into a 7 point broadening top with the subsequent bear market low a point 6 low.

Fibonacci - the question is how high will this bull trend trade? Given price is in blue sky territory I can only guess by taking an estimate of the subsequent bear market low using a Fibonacci Fan from the 1932 low to point 1 high set in 2000. I am looking for the bear market low to get back down to around the 76.4% angle which looks to be around the 4000 level. The 88.6% angle is around 2000 and that just seems too preposterous (as if the 4000 level doesn’t appear too!). After this bull market top is in, which I believe is still several years away, I think we will see a bear market similar to that which occurred after the 1929 top. In that case, price dropped around 90% into the 1932 low. If we are to see another 90% drop and assume the low will be around the 4000 level then that implies the final bull market high would be around the 38000 level.

Summing up, I believe price will continue its corrective phase over the coming months before launching higher as the massive overall bull market continues on its merry way. 

By Austin Galt

www.thevoodooanalyst.com 

Austin Galt has previously worked as a stockbroker and investment banker while studying technical analysis for over two decades. He is also the author of the book White Night: A Colombian Odyssey

Email - info@thevoodooanalyst.com 

My website is www.thevoodooanalyst.com 

© 2018 Copyright  The Voodoo Analyst - All Rights Reserved

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Austin Galt Archive

© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules