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Stock Market Trend Forecast March to September 2019

Gold At 6 Month High $1,300 and All Time Record Highs In Australian Dollars

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019 Jan 05, 2019 - 08:17 AM GMT

By: GoldCore

Commodities

– Gold over 6-month high at $1,300 on global slowdown fears
– Bullion surges 5% in December and consolidates on gains this week
– Gold surges to all time record highs in Australian dollars ($1,871)
– Safe haven demand for safe havens as risk assets sold
– Apple’s poor outlook sees stocks fall; Markets now wagering on Fed rate cut
– “2019 is already getting off to a volatile start and we expect to see the political and economic uncertainty of 2018 continue and deepen,” GoldCore told Bloomberg News


Gold price in Australian dollars – 1 year (GoldCore)

We are bullish on gold in this quarter and in 2019 as the market backdrop looks very supportive indeed. For the first time in many years, I am positive on the gold price in the short and medium term – meaning this quarter and the next year or two.

However, we are concerned that gold may have become overbought from a trading perspective in the very short term.

Thus, in the very short term we could see a bit of a pullback. A retracement of some 50% of the recent gains should be expected. A shallow pullback should be greeted as an opportunity to acquire gold at these still under valued levels.

Investors who are allocating to gold for the first time, would be best to dollar, pound or euro cost average into physical gold by buying 50% in the coming days, then 25% in the next month or so and then the remaining 25% withing three to six months. Not having an exposure to physical gold makes investors exposed to major financial and systemic risk.

2019 is already getting off to a volatile start and we expect to see the political and economic uncertainty of 2018 continue and deepen as we told Bloomberg this week.

Gold will continue to act as a hedge in 2019 as it did in 2018.

Gold’s hedging and safe haven credentials were clearly seen again in recent months – especially for UK, EU and Australian investors. Gold gained  2.7% and 3.8% in euros and pounds (see tables & charts). Gold rose 8.5% in Australian dollars in 2018 as the Australian economy slowed down and property and stock markets in Australia fell.

Trade wars, Brexit, EU contagion and the risk of the global debt bubble bursting remain real risks that will likely impact risk assets in 2018, as we discussed in our just released and well received Outlook 2019 Podcast.

We believe risk assets will continue to under perform, while gold (and silver) outperform again in 2019. The record nominal highs seen in Australian dollars this week will be seen in pounds, euros, dollars and other currencies in the coming year or two – possibly as soon as late 2019 or 2020.

As ever, it is prudent to hope for the best but be prepared for less benign financial scenarios by diversification and owning precious metals in the safest ways possible.

Wishing you and yours a healthy and prosperous 2019.

Gold Prices (LBMA PM)

03 Jan: USD 1,287.95, GBP 1,024.05 & EUR 1,132.62 per ounce
02 Jan: USD 1,287.20, GBP 1,014.44 & EUR 1,125.27 per ounce
31 Dec: USD 1,281.65, GBP 1,005.45 & EUR 1,120.03 per ounce
28 Dec: USD 1,277.25, GBP 1,009.16 & EUR 1,114.91 per ounce
27 Dec: USD 1,271.10, GBP 1,006.20 & EUR 1,115.26 per ounce
24 Dec: USD 1,261.25, GBP 996.26 & EUR 1,105.23 per ounce
21 Dec: USD 1,257.60, GBP 993.76 & EUR 1,101.53 per ounce

Silver Prices (LBMA)

03 Jan: USD 15.53, GBP 12.37 & EUR 13.70 per ounce
02 Jan: USD 15.44, GBP 12.19 & EUR 13.51 per ounce
31 Dec: USD 15.47, GBP 12.11 & EUR 13.51 per ounce
28 Dec: USD 15.30, GBP 12.05 & EUR 13.34 per ounce
27 Dec: USD 15.06, GBP 11.92 & EUR 13.22 per ounce
24 Dec: USD 14.68, GBP 11.60 & EUR 12.88 per ounce
21 Dec: USD 14.69, GBP 11.59 & EUR 12.86 per ounce

Mark O'Byrne

Executive Director

This update can be found on the GoldCore blog here.

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WINNERS MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analysts 2006

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information containd in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. GoldCore Limited, trading as GoldCore is a Multi-Agency Intermediary regulated by the Irish Financial Regulator.

GoldCore is committed to complying with the requirements of the Data Protection Act. This means that in the provision of our services, appropriate personal information is processed and kept securely. It also means that we will never sell your details to a third party. The information you provide will remain confidential and may be used for the provision of related services. Such information may be disclosed in confidence to agents or service providers, regulatory bodies and group companies. You have the right to ask for a copy of certain information held by us in our records in return for payment of a small fee. You also have the right to require us to correct any inaccuracies in your information. The details you are being asked to supply may be used to provide you with information about other products and services either from GoldCore or other group companies or to provide services which any member of the group has arranged for you with a third party. If you do not wish to receive such contact, please write to the Marketing Manager GoldCore, 63 Fitzwilliam Square, Dublin 2 marking the envelope 'data protection'

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