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Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

UK Home Owners Motivation to Remortgage Expected to Increase

Housing-Market / Mortgages Apr 24, 2019 - 10:15 AM GMT

By: MoneyFacts

Housing-Market

The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the motivation for existing borrowers to remortgage from a lender’s standard variable rate (SVR) is increasing and is expected to reach a peak in October 2019. Borrowers who opted for a two-year fixed rate at an average rate of 2.30% in May 2017 could see their interest rate more than double when moved onto the average SVR of 4.89%.

Further Moneyfacts.co.uk research shows that the average two-year fixed rate reached a record low of 2.20% in October 2017 and if the average SVR remains constant at 4.89%, the projected average difference in the revert rate will increase from 2.59% to 2.69% by October 2019, increasing the motivation to remortgage even further.


The chart below shows whether a borrower’s interest rate increased or decreased on reverting to a SVR on maturity of a two-year fixed rate mortgage.

Difference in average rate between two-year fixed mortgage and SVR

Darren Cook, Finance Expert at Moneyfacts.co.uk, said:

“Two years ago, the average two-year fixed mortgage rate fell notably, reducing from 2.31% in January 2017 to a record low of 2.20% in October the same year. The following month, the Bank of England increased base rate (from 0.25% to 0.5%) and the average two-year fixed rate increased to 2.35% by December 2017. In comparison, the average two-year fixed rate currently stands at 2.47%.

“Over the next six months, it is likely that many mortgage borrowers who secured a two-year mortgage deal two years ago may see their record low interest rate expiring and will have no intention to revert to a rate that could see their interest rate double overnight. For instance, a borrower on a repayment mortgage of £250,000 who locked into the average two-year fixed rate of 2.20% in October 2017, if then transferred onto the predicted average lender’s SVR of 4.89% in October 2019 will see their mortgage repayments increase by £4,336.20 per year (rate increase of 2.69%).

“This significant increase in motivation for borrowers to switch mortgage deals, and the subsequent potential increase in remortgage business as a result, may push some mortgage lenders to marginally cut rates over the next few months to maintain a competitive edge.

“Indeed, the average two-year fixed rate has already fallen this month, from 2.49% in March 2019 to 2.47% today. However, as previous Moneyfacts.co.uk research has shown, this fall could be attributed to rate cuts at higher risk loan-to-value (LTV) tiers to attract first-time buyer business. It will therefore be interesting to see if the average rate falls further still as providers potentially to target remortgage customers – and therefore lower LTV tiers – as we approach October.”

moneyfacts.co.uk is a financial product price comparison site, launched in 2000, which helps consumers compare thousands of financial products, including credit cards, savings, mortgages and many more. Unlike other comparison sites, there is no commercial influence on the way moneyfacts.co.uk ranks products, showing consumers a true picture of the best products based on the criteria they select. The site also provides informative guides and covers the latest consumer finance news, as well as offering a weekly newsletter.

MoneyFacts Archive

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