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Brexit Party and Lib-Dems Pull Further Away from Labour and Tories in Latest Opinion Polls

ElectionOracle / BrExit May 22, 2019 - 07:30 AM GMT

By: N_Walayat

ElectionOracle

The latest european election polls have the Brexit Party and Lib Dems further pulling away from the Tories and Labour party. The polls were conducted by Yougov between 19th May and 21st of May.

The BrExit party continues to extend it's huge lead over the other parties by gaining 3% on the week to 37%.

Lib Dems widen their 2nd place position by gaining 2% at the expense of Labour that falls 2% to just 13%.


The Green party strengthens it's fourth place position by gaining 1% as the Tories lose 2% falling to a catastrophic 7%, which begs the question will the Tories manage to win any MEP's?

UKIP and Change UK remain unchanged on 3% and 4% respectively and neither are likely to win any seats on such poor standings.

The latest polls confirm my original forecast as of 10th of May that the BrExit Party will win between 30 and 36 seats.

BrExit Party MEP Seats Forecast in European Elections 23rd May 2019

Updated on the 16th of May that the most probable total number of seats would be 32, which the latest polls imply could be marginally bettered.

Brexit Party Set to Storm EU Parliament Elections - Seats Forecast

Meanwhile Betfair market odds have further narrowed in the Brexit Party's favour to win 24 or more seats to just 1.1, from odds of 1.41 10 days ago.

The bottom line is that the Brexit Party's results in the EU elections will just be a precursor to an even bigger political earthquake at the next General Election!

My analysis and key forecasts are first made available to Patrons who support my work. So for immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

May Analysis Schedule :

  • Stock Market Trend Forecast Update
  • Machine Intelligence Investing stocks sub sector analysis
  • UK Housing market ongoing analysis.
  • Gold / SIlver trend forecast update.
  • China Stock Market SSEC

April Analysis:

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Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2019 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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