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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: BrExit

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Theresa May to Lose by Over 200 Votes as Remain MP's Plot Subverting Brexit / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Parliament looks set to deliver Theresa May an humiliating defeat in today's vote in the House of Commons on her dogs dinner "EU Withdrawal Act" at around 6pm. Theresa May requires 320 MP's to vote for her deal to get it through the House of Commons, with the mainstream media consensus pointing towards Theresa May only being able to secure support from between 190 to 200 MP's.

However, don't be under any illusion that May's deal is anything other than complete GARBAGE, which gives the EU £39 billion for NOTHING In return! And then there is the 'backstop' or more accurately the 'backstab', a means to ensure that the UK can NEVER LEAVE the EU without the EU's permission! And where Northern Ireland is concerned it's simple, the EU gives the NI £380mln per year, whilst the UK government gives Northern Ireland a £11 billion block grant per year, so it does not take a genius to figure out on which side the bread is buttered!

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Politics

Thursday, December 20, 2018

FT Shows How British Establishment Will Ensure REMAIN Wins a Second EU Referendum / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Calls for a so called "Peoples Vote" are reaching a crescendo in the mainstream press, as grid locked chaos in the Westminister counts down to the BrExit deadline of 29th March 2019, that is resulting cabinet ministers downwards claiming that a Second EU Referendum is necessary so that the people can decide on the terms of exiting from the European Union, a deal or no deal exit, or even for the UK to REMAIN within the European Union.

Unfortunately, the whole "Peoples Vote" exercise is a means by which the Britain's establishment will ensure that REMAIN would WIN a second EU referendum by the way the referendum questions would be worded as illustrated by the Financial Times (FT) latest video titled "BrExit: how to hold a second referendum" :

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Politics

Monday, December 10, 2018

May BrExit Deal Tory MP Votes Forecast, Betting Market Analysis / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Theresa May's government is now certain to lose the critical vote in the House of Commons on her "EU Withdrawal Act" at around 6pm on Tuesday the 11th of December 2018. Theresa May requires 320 MP's to vote for her deal to get it through the House of Commons, with the mainstream media consensus pointing towards Theresa May only being able to secure support from between 190 to 240 MP's, the wide range as a consequence of 50 undecided Tory MP's. Therefore the level of uncertainty presents a betting markets opportunity.

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Politics

Friday, December 07, 2018

How Theresa May Put Britain on the Path Towards BrExit Civil War / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Theresa May's government is in a full blown crisis following MP's on Tuesday voting to find Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which within hours was followed by 2 further votes against he government in the countdown to next Tuesday's vote on her "EU Withdrawal Agreement" that the government is destined to lose which is triggering speculation that the Vote may be pulled at the last minute as a loss could trigger a collapse of the Government.

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Politics

Wednesday, December 05, 2018

Subverting BREXIT - British People vs Parliament Risks Revolution / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Theresa May's government is now in a full blown crisis following MP's voting to find UK Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which is basically MP's sending a message to the Government that they are no longer acting in a democratic manner, instead are acting as a dictatorship! In contempt over the failure to publish the full legal advice given to the Government by the Attorney General, Geoffrey Cox on the consequences of the "May Backstop BrExit Deal". This is an unprecedented event that put's Theresa May's government let alone her premiership teetering on the brink of collapse in the count down to the vote on her Brexit Deal on the 11th of December.

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Politics

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

MP's Vote UK Government Behaving like a Dictatorship, in Contempt of Parliament / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Theresa May's government is now in a full blown crisis following the MP's today voting to find UK Government Ministers in contempt of Parliament for the first time ever, which is basically MP's sending a message to the Government that they are no longer acting in a democratic manner, instead are acting as a dictatorship! In contempt over the failure to publish the full legal advice given to the Government by the Attorney General, Geoffrey Cox on the consequences of the "May Backstop BrExit Deal". This is an unprecedented event that put's Theresa May's government let alone her premiership teetering on the brink of collapse in the run down to the Vote on her Brexit Deal on the 11th of December.

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Politics

Monday, December 03, 2018

Subverting BrExit - AG Confirms May Backstop Deal Means UK Can NEVER LEAVE the EU! / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's political and corporate establishment are determined to subvert the settled will of the British people who voted to LEAVE the European Union, which supposedly is now to be achieved via the May 'backstop deal'. A plan that Britain's Attorney General today confirmed would mean that Britain could NEVER actually LEAVE the European Union without the EU's permission, which as Donald Tusk late last work reminded the UK with his statement of there being a stark choice of either the "May Deal or NO Brexit". Which means that the EU is determined to KEEP Britain shackled to the European super state in perpetuity.

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Politics

Thursday, November 29, 2018

UK Government and Bank of England BrExit Economic Armageddon Propaganda / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Hours after the UK Government published it's economic consequences of a NO DEAL BrExit, forecasting a 9% loss of GDP after 15 years. The head at the heart of Britains banking establishment, the Bank of England set forth it's NO DEAL Economic Armageddon scenario, literally warning of economic collapse on a scale twice that of the 2008 Financial Crisis. One of a near immediate NO DEAL currency collapse, GDP collapse of 9%, house prices crash of 30% and inflation soaring to over 6.5%. The people of Britain being subjected to Operation FEAR on an even greater scale than that which the Bank of England was peddling prior to the June 2016 EU Referendum, then warning of a BrExit recession if the people of Britain voted for freedom, NONE of which materialised as the UK economy continued to grow on a similar trend trajectory it was on as before the EU Referendum BrExit result.

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Politics

Saturday, November 17, 2018

NO DEAL HARD BrExit Tory Chaos, Theresa May Leadership Challenge / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain is likely counting down to towards the END of Theresa May's premiership who has been a walking disaster since Article 50 was triggered in March 2017, and who has likely DELIBERATELY WASTED the past 18 months in doing an exit deal with the EU Devil that effectively KEEPs the UK within the EU!, a deal where nearly every British red line has been watered down towards nothing in what amounts to a 585 page suicide note, one of virtually delivering Britain on a platter to the European Union Mafia which from the outset had sought to extract a heavy price from Britain such a Euro 50 billion divorce bill, free movement of people, Northern Ireland effectively split from the rest of the UK and over 500 pages more of similar poison, all in exchange for Britain to remain within a customs union for a few more years.

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Politics

Friday, November 16, 2018

BrExit War - Tory Party About to Replace Theresa May for NO DEAL BrExit / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain is possibly counting down to towards the END of Theresa May's premiership who has been a walking disaster since Article 50 was triggered in March 2017, and who has likely DELIBERATELY WASTED the past 18 months in doing an exit deal with the EU Devil that effectively KEEPs the UK within the EU!, a deal where nearly every British red line has been watered down towards nothing in what amounts to a 585 page suicide note, one of virtually delivering Britain on a platter to the European Union Mafia which from the outset had sought to extract a heavy price from Britain such a Euro 50 billion divorce bill, free movement of people, Northern Ireland effectively split from the rest of the UK and over 500 pages more of similar poison, all in exchange for Britain to remain within a customs union for a few more years.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Tory BrExit Chaos Cripples UK Economy, Wrecks Housing Market Confidence / Housing-Market / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It was all supposed to be so straight forward, the people of Britain vote in a referendum, the results of which the politicians then carry out. Unfortunately, as the latest saga in an unfolding 18 month long BrExit nightmare shows that the Governments implementation of Brexit is turning out disastrously which has had a confidence eroding effect on the UK economy and housing market.

The general public, me included have long since become bored to death with the relentless Tory infighting that the mainstream media obsess over, one of deal or no deal coverage in the count down to the final deadline, though where the EU is concerned they are experts at kicking the can down the road so don't be surprised to hear news that the deadlines have all been kicked some months or even a year down the road.

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Politics

Monday, July 09, 2018

Brexit Gross Incompetence / Politics / BrExit

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Here’s the lowdown: the EU’s single market mechanism dictates freedom of movement for labor, capital, services and goods. These are not divisible; you cannot have one without the other. Still, that’s precisely what Theresa May, again, is proposing. She basically wants to keep the UK in the single market for goods, and make other arrangements for the rest. The EU will not accept that because it could have 27 other countries coming with their own versions of single market à la carte.

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Politics

Friday, December 01, 2017

Britain Pushes for Brexit or Bust / Politics / BrExit

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

There are competing arguments as to how a Brexit will impact Britain. Those opposing a Brexit believe it will have disastrous repercussions on the UK economy, plunging the country into raging inflation, high unemployment, and a skills shortage among others. One of the more pressing concerns for Britain is the exodus of companies from the City of London to other European capitals.

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Politics

Friday, June 30, 2017

Soft Fake BrExit as Theresa May Destroys Britain's Strong EU Negotiating Stance / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So everyone got the 2017 UK general election outcome WRONG. Which included my UK house prices based analysis that was the most accurate predictor of the 2015 general election, however this time based on April house price data implied a Conservative win on 342 seats. So despite being the most accurate of all of the forecasts out there, nevertheless did get the election outcome wrong i.e. unlike for Trump there was no betting markets profits bonanza for this election.

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Politics

Monday, June 19, 2017

Why The EU’s Recent Plans To Regulate London’s Financial Sector Are Overblown / Politics / BrExit

By: John_Mauldin

By Antonia Colibasanu : A major concern after Brexit was that it will destroy the financial sector in the UK and and the EU since London is a financial hub.

Those who hold this view would see the European Commission’s new plans announced on June 13 to regulate a very lucrative industry in London’s financial sector as a case in point.

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Politics

Monday, June 05, 2017

UK’s Weaker Brexit Hand with the EU / Politics / BrExit

By: Dan_Steinbock

Prime Minister May pushed for a snap election in June 2017 to strengthen her hand in the impending Brexit talks. In practice, she has weakened UK's bargaining power at the EU’s expense, while the latest London Bridge incident introduces new uncertainty and volatility into the EU/UK divorce proceedings.

Like too many times before, British police declared a “major incident” on London Bridge after a van reportedly hit multiple pedestrians.
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Politics

Monday, May 08, 2017

BrExit Threat - London Bridge is (Broken) Down / Politics / BrExit

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The French election, won just now by Emmanuel Macron, put several segments of the French population opposite one another in a pretty fierce contest. And that contest will continue. Because Macron won’t be able to lift the French economy out of its doldrums any more than Le Pen could have, or than Trump can life the US, and the new president will have the honor of presiding over a further and deepening downturn. The French political dividing line was aptly described by Simon Kuper recently:

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, May 06, 2017

Did MI6 Not Putin Hack French Election, Macron Emails Leak for BrExit War? / ElectionOracle / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A huge estimated 9 gigabytes of the Macron personal and campaign emails have been leaked within 24 hours of the French people going to the polls with all eyes on Czar Putin's hacking regime that so successfully hacked the US Presidential election for his Manchurian candidate Donald Trump. Where for the French election Putin's clear candidate of choice is far right Marine Le Pen, who earlier in the campaign had paid a visit to her master at the Kremlin, so it is no wonder that every one in the clueless mainstream press is pointing the finger at Czar Putin.

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Politics

Friday, May 05, 2017

BrExit War - Theresa May Warns EU to Cease Interfering in UK General Election / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The general election appears to be fast accelerating the evaporation of the calm before the Brexit storm as negotiations appear to be breaking down even before they were due to be begin following the outcome of the 7th May French Presidential Election. It started early week following the leak of last weekends lunch between Theresa May and European Commission unelected President Jean-Claude Junker that saw the continents europhile press put an anti-British spin on the meeting.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

The Great BrExit Divides - Britain, USA and France / Politics / BrExit

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Something hit me this week. The maps which came out on Monday and detailed the outcome of the French elections, were telling a story, and a familiar one by now. A story of deep division. There are a number of such maps now depicting the Brexit vote in the UK, the US presidential elections, and its French counterpart.

In all three cases they leave me wondering something along the lines of: ‘Are you guys sure you want to remain in the same country with each other?’ Because to me that is not all that obvious, and I think it’ll get less so as time passes. For instance in the case of France, the ‘ideological’ differences between Macron and Le Pen are substantial to say the least, they’re worlds apart.

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