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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: BrExit

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Friday, June 30, 2017

Soft Fake BrExit as Theresa May Destroys Britain's Strong EU Negotiating Stance / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So everyone got the 2017 UK general election outcome WRONG. Which included my UK house prices based analysis that was the most accurate predictor of the 2015 general election, however this time based on April house price data implied a Conservative win on 342 seats. So despite being the most accurate of all of the forecasts out there, nevertheless did get the election outcome wrong i.e. unlike for Trump there was no betting markets profits bonanza for this election.

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Politics

Monday, June 19, 2017

Why The EU’s Recent Plans To Regulate London’s Financial Sector Are Overblow / Politics / BrExit

By: John_Mauldin

By Antonia Colibasanu : A major concern after Brexit was that it will destroy the financial sector in the UK and and the EU since London is a financial hub.

Those who hold this view would see the European Commission’s new plans announced on June 13 to regulate a very lucrative industry in London’s financial sector as a case in point.

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Politics

Monday, June 05, 2017

UK’s Weaker Brexit Hand with the EU / Politics / BrExit

By: Dan_Steinbock

Prime Minister May pushed for a snap election in June 2017 to strengthen her hand in the impending Brexit talks. In practice, she has weakened UK's bargaining power at the EU’s expense, while the latest London Bridge incident introduces new uncertainty and volatility into the EU/UK divorce proceedings.

Like too many times before, British police declared a “major incident” on London Bridge after a van reportedly hit multiple pedestrians.
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Politics

Monday, May 08, 2017

BrExit Threat - London Bridge is (Broken) Down / Politics / BrExit

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The French election, won just now by Emmanuel Macron, put several segments of the French population opposite one another in a pretty fierce contest. And that contest will continue. Because Macron won’t be able to lift the French economy out of its doldrums any more than Le Pen could have, or than Trump can life the US, and the new president will have the honor of presiding over a further and deepening downturn. The French political dividing line was aptly described by Simon Kuper recently:

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ElectionOracle

Saturday, May 06, 2017

Did MI6 Not Putin Hack French Election, Macron Emails Leak for BrExit War? / ElectionOracle / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A huge estimated 9 gigabytes of the Macron personal and campaign emails have been leaked within 24 hours of the French people going to the polls with all eyes on Czar Putin's hacking regime that so successfully hacked the US Presidential election for his Manchurian candidate Donald Trump. Where for the French election Putin's clear candidate of choice is far right Marine Le Pen, who earlier in the campaign had paid a visit to her master at the Kremlin, so it is no wonder that every one in the clueless mainstream press is pointing the finger at Czar Putin.

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Politics

Friday, May 05, 2017

BrExit War - Theresa May Warns EU to Cease Interfering in UK General Election / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The general election appears to be fast accelerating the evaporation of the calm before the Brexit storm as negotiations appear to be breaking down even before they were due to be begin following the outcome of the 7th May French Presidential Election. It started early week following the leak of last weekends lunch between Theresa May and European Commission unelected President Jean-Claude Junker that saw the continents europhile press put an anti-British spin on the meeting.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

The Great BrExit Divides - Britain, USA and France / Politics / BrExit

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Something hit me this week. The maps which came out on Monday and detailed the outcome of the French elections, were telling a story, and a familiar one by now. A story of deep division. There are a number of such maps now depicting the Brexit vote in the UK, the US presidential elections, and its French counterpart.

In all three cases they leave me wondering something along the lines of: ‘Are you guys sure you want to remain in the same country with each other?’ Because to me that is not all that obvious, and I think it’ll get less so as time passes. For instance in the case of France, the ‘ideological’ differences between Macron and Le Pen are substantial to say the least, they’re worlds apart.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 19, 2017

The Brexit War - Article 50 Triggered, General Election 2017 Called - Let the Games Begin! / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

On Wednesday 29th March 2017 Theresa May's post man in Brussels hand delivered a 6 page letter to Donald Tusk the President of the European Council, triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty starting the formal process for the UK exiting the European Union within 2 years' time, with the negotiations expected to begin during May following the conclusion of the French Presidential elections.

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Politics

Thursday, April 06, 2017

EU-UK Trade Will Continue Because Germany Needs It To / Politics / BrExit

By: John_Mauldin

BY JACOB SHAPIRO : British Prime Minister Theresa May has signed a letter officially invoking Article 50. That starts the process of the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the European Union.

Almost a year has passed since 52% of British voters opted to leave the EU. But the process for separation has now been initiated. The next issue is how to understand what will happen during the two years of UK-EU negotiations that lie ahead.

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Politics

Thursday, April 06, 2017

The BrExit War, Game Theory Strategy for What UK Should Do to Win / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The BrExit Story - BrExit is the latest big story for the people of Britain to believe in, a story that has split the population in half between the Remainer's and the Leavers. The BrExit vote was a reaction to the slow dissolution of what was once the world’s most powerful nation into just another bolt on to the European Union Superstate. For Leavers BrExit is seen as a last ditched effort for Britain to resurrect its golden age. So whilst you read part 2 of my comprehensive BrExit analysis, remember that BrExit is just the latest story built on past stories of glory and it won't be too long before we all move onto the next big story, as that is what humans do best, tell stories and believe them to be true, be they religious, political, social, personal, ethnic or economic stories. But today's story is BrExit.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

What Happens to Britain’s Borders After the Brexit? Potential to Fracture the U.K. / Politics / BrExit

By: STRATFOR

Splitting from the European Union will inevitably strain the United Kingdom's territorial integrity. Those pushing for Scotland and Northern Ireland to secede from the United Kingdom are using Brexit to justify their agendas. Brexit will also open a debate between the central government in London and the country's devolved governments about who will control the powers that will be repatriated from Brussels. With authority over policy areas such as agriculture, fisheries, industry and the environment returning to the United Kingdom after Brexit, the administrations of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland will push London to transfer many of those attributions to them.

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Politics

Monday, April 03, 2017

The Brexit War! EU Fearing Collapse Set to Stoke Scottish Independence Proxy War / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

On Wednesday 29th May 2017 Theresa May's post man in Brussels hand delivered a 6 page letter to Donald Tusk the President of the European Council, triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty starting the formal process for the UK exiting the European Union within 2 years' time, with the negotiations expected to begin during May following the conclusion of the French Presidential elections.

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Politics

Sunday, April 02, 2017

BrExit War - Spain Warned Remember Falklands Over Gibraltar Subversion Attempts / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With barely the Brexit process begun, Spain has already started to play their age old we want Gibraltar card with the EU issuing the following statement in support of Spain's claims on Gibraltar:

"After the United Kingdom leaves the Union, no agreement between the EU and the United Kingdom may apply to the territory of Gibraltar without the agreement between the Kingdom of Spain and the United Kingdom."

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Politics

Saturday, April 01, 2017

The BrExit War - Britain Intelligence Super Power Covert War With the EU / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain may have stopped being a military super power shortly after winning World War 2, a war that virtually bankrupted the British Empire leading to its dissolution. However the cold war, another war that Britain played a pivotal role in winning, where despite Britain having one of the world’s most effective intelligence apparatus that apart from the bond movies has done a good job of mostly remaining secret, instead letting the CIA and NSA take the public limelight, however did abysmally fail to avert BrExit from becoming manifest, that virtually all saw as an impossible outcome as the following video of Brexit night illustrates.

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Politics

Friday, March 31, 2017

The Brexit Has Begun: Now What? / Politics / BrExit

By: STRATFOR

Until now, the Brexit had mostly been a succession of public statements, declarations of intent, veiled threats and wishful thinking. But today, the British government made the United Kingdom's departure from the European Union manifest by officially invoking Article 50 of the EU treaty and delivering formal notification of its departure from the Continental bloc, the first member ever to do so. This started the clock on negotiations over the terms of the divorce and their future relationship, which will leave both the United Kingdom and the European Union considerably changed.

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Politics

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Brexit: The Chaotic Divorce Saga Continues / Politics / BrExit

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

"It will be a formidable challenge for Britain’s next prime minister to make an economic, diplomatic and political success out of Brexit. Or, to set the bar at a more realistic level, to contain the damage." –  Andrew Rawnsley

Much has been, and continues to be written in the press about Great Britain and her extraction from the European Union (EU), and by the looks of things, it is turning out to be a very messy divorce. The bad news is that Theresa May, the British Prime Minister, has not triggered Article 50. For the uninformed and confused among us, Article 50 is the formal notice that the UK needs to give the EU that she intends to withdraw from the European Union.

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Politics

Thursday, March 16, 2017

Scotland Second Independence Referendum War - SNP Determined to Destroy the UK / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In the run up to Scotland's September 2014 Independence Referendum, the Scottish Nationalists from Alex Salmond to Nichola Sturgeon down promised that they would abide by the results of the referendum, declaring that it was at least a once in a generation decision if not once in a life time decision. So here's a reminder of why the SNP cannot be trusted who blindly only see Independence as the answer to every question, and thus remain fanatically determined to destroy the United Kingdom at every opportunity.

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Politics

Sunday, March 12, 2017

Counting Down to BrExit Triggering Article 50 in the Face of Establishment FEAR Propaganda / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Article 50 could be triggered as early as this Tuesday which will ser in motion the process of Britain leaving the European Union. Which has galvanised both Britain's and the European Unions establishment political elite to throw up a propaganda smokescreen of confusion in an attempt at subverting the will of the British people. We have the IS fundamentalists north of Hadrian's Wall threatening to blow the UK apart, despite the fact that it is Scotland that would be blown apart, fragmenting into regions demanding to stay within the UK, and then there are the discredited former Prime Ministers spouting propaganda aimed at scaring the British people away from their prescient decision of June 23rd 2016.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Why EU BrExit Single Market Access Hard line is European Union Committing Suicide / Politics / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Some 8 months on from the British people voting against the interests of the establishment elite, most notable of which was for the emergence of an undemocratic european super state that further concentrated power into their own hands to the detriment of ordinary people. Britain is counting down to the triggering of Article 50, the formal request to LEAVE the European Union within a technical 2 year time limit for completion of but in practice may extend to several more years beyond. However, the EU elite even before the June 23rd 2016 vote, have been persistently warning the British people that they will be punished for voting for freedom from the EU super state, where the unsaid reason being so as to prevent a total collapse of the European Union as other states take Britians cue to rush for exit freedom.

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Politics

Wednesday, February 01, 2017

Britain Needs Trump for Smooth Brexit / Politics / BrExit

By: John_Browne

At the Washington joint press conference with Prime Minister May held on January 27th, President Trump told the watching world, "Brexit is going to be a wonderful thing." The meeting did much to clear the way for Britain to stand alone and enter trade with the United States without the European Union (EU). Their talk of a U.S.-UK free trade agreement could do much to ease the fears of some key English Members of Parliament and counterbalances the fears that Britain will be punished by a bitter EU. The positive meeting occurred at a fortuitous moment. Only four days prior, the UK's Supreme Court had ruled that Parliamentary approval must be specifically obtained before Her Majesty's Government can sign trigger negotiations to exit the EU.

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