Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

Gold Decoupling from other Commodities Hit by Demand Destruction

Commodities / Gold & Silver Sep 30, 2008 - 08:08 AM GMT

By: Mark_OByrne

Commodities Gold rose yesterday on bank failures and systemic fears in Europe and after the U.S. Congress voted against the Paulson and Bush bailout plan ( gold closed at $88 8.4 0 up $ 7.2 0 while silver closed at $12.93 down 45 cents ). Subsequently, gold surged in after hours and in early Asian trading rising to over $923/oz.


We are living in i ncredi b le, tumultuous  and unprecedented financial and economic times and given the extent of the increasingly uncertain outlook for the global equity, property, money market, interest rate and currency markets it is surprising that gold prices did not surge by a larger amount. Astute analysts contend that there is a highly motivated and non profit motivated aggressive seller who wishes to keep the price around the $900/oz mark.

As we have continually pointed out it is inevitable that financial and economic conditions will get worse before they get better given the systemic nature of the crisis and the fact that we are now experiencing financial contagion. The bailout's failure is not the end of the world as it would have proved another in a long line of short term panaceas to be latched onto by complacent politicians, economists and analysts.

W hile stock markets in Europe have experienced a bounce so far this morning, unfortunately it is likely to be another bounce of the dead cat variety. While the bailout failed, central banks are printing and injecting billions into the global money markets (some estimates are as high as $180 billion per day in recent days and  $630 billion yesterday alone) and thus fiat currencies internationally are being debased at an unprecedented rate.  

As expected, gold is decoupling from other commodity markets as demand destruction affects non safe haven and non monetary commodities and metals. Oil fell some 10% yesterday and every single commodity was down on the day except for gold. Inflation has not gone away yet though and the Reuters Jefferies Commodities Index remains up 17.7% for the year and oil even after yesterday's meltdown is still up some 14% in the last year and 255% in the last 5 years.

Gold prices are set to move higher on broad based retail, high net worth, institutional and central bank demand. The news was incredibly bullish yesterday with the German Bundesbank and the Swiss National Bank confirming that they will not be selling any more of their gold reserves. The SNB said it doesn't plan a further reduction of its gold reserves, which now stand at 1040 metric tons.

Meanwhile, the London Bullion Market Association Conference in Kyoto heard that HNW individuals have been asking to buy gold for "wealth preservation".
Something we have been recommending for some years.

The global financial crisis will support gold prices at near-record levels, according to the chairman of the London Bullion Market Association.  Speaking at the LBMA's annual conference on Monday, Jeremy Charles told delegates that gold's important role as a haven had returned. Mr Charles, who also acts as head of precious metals at HSBC in London, said "Those who traditionally have shied away from gold as part of an investment portfolio can no longer afford to ignore this unique asset. "It is my opinion that, even when the crisis draws to an end as it inevitably will at some point, that gold will be looked at in a very different light going forward."

"High bullion prices are here to stay".

Both technically and fundamentally gold is looking as good as it has ever done and prices are set to surge in the coming months.  There will soon be fireworks in these markets and a price surge akin to that seen in the late 1970's. In the four years after the election of Jimmy Carter, gold surged by more than 700% and given the confluence of even more bullish factors in this election year, we are likely to see a similar price surge in the coming years .

By Mark O'Byrne, Executive Director

Gold Investments
63 Fitzwilliam Square
Dublin 2
Ireland
Ph +353 1 6325010
Fax  +353 1 6619664
Email info@gold.ie
Web www.gold.ie
Gold and Silver Investments Limited
No. 1 Cornhill
London,
EC3V 3ND
United Kingdom
Ph +44 (0) 207 0604653
Fax +44 (0) 207 8770708
Email info@www.goldassets.co.uk
Web www.goldassets.co.uk

Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. have been awarded the MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analyst of 2006.

Mission Statement
Gold and Silver Investments Limited hope to inform our clientele of important financial and economic developments and thus help our clientele and prospective clientele understand our rapidly changing global economy and the implications for their livelihoods and wealth.
We focus on the medium and long term global macroeconomic trends and how they pertain to the precious metal markets and our clienteles savings, investments and livelihoods. We emphasise prudence, safety and security as they are of paramount importance in the preservation of wealth.

Financial Regulation: Gold & Silver Investments Limited trading as Gold Investments is regulated by the Financial Regulator as a multi-agency intermediary. Our Financial Regulator Reference Number is 39656. Gold Investments is registered in the Companies Registration Office under Company number 377252 . Registered for VAT under number 6397252A . Codes of Conduct are imposed by the Financial Regulator and can be accessed at www.financialregulator.ie or from the Financial Regulator at PO Box 9138, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland. Property, Commodities and Precious Metals are not regulated by the Financial Regulator

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

All the opinions expressed herein are solely those of Gold & Silver Investments Limited and not those of the Perth Mint. They do not reflect the views of the Perth Mint and the Perth Mint accepts no legal liability or responsibility for any claims made or opinions expressed herein.

Mark O'Byrne Archive

© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in