Most Popular
1. Dow Max Drawdown Bear Stock Market 2022 - Accumulating Deviations from the Highs - 21st Feb 22
2.Putin Starts WW3 in Ukraine, Will Use Tactical Nuclear Weapons, China Prepares Taiwan Blitzkrieg - 28th Feb 22
3.World War 3 Phase 1 - Putin WINS Ukraine War! - 25th Feb 22
4.INVESTORS SEDUCED by CNBC and the STOCK CHARTS COMPLETELY MISS the BIG PICTURE! - 10th Feb 22
5.Will There Be A 2024 US Presidential Election? - 3rd Mar 22
6.Gold and SIlver, Precious Metals Sector Is at a Terrific Buy Spot - 6th Feb 22
7.Why Putin Wants the WHOLE of Ukraine - World War 3 Untended Consequences - 6th Feb 22
8.Dow Stock Market Expected Max Drawdown 2022 - 19th Feb 22
9.Stock Market Calm In the Eye of the Inflation Storm - 4th Mar 22
10.M = F - Everything is Waving! Stock Market Forward Guidance - 7th Mar 22
Last 7 days
Cathie Wood Goes All in on Teladoc, ARKK INSANE Noob Investing Strategy! - 17th May 22
This is Anything but Positive for US Housing Market - 17th May 22
What Should We Do If There Is No Fed Monetary Policy Pivot? - 17th May 22
All Possible Ways to Earn Free Litecoin - 17th May 22
How low Could the Amazon Stock Price Fall? - 16th May 22
Cathy Wood ARKK INSANITY There is NO Coming Back! - 16th May 22
NASDAQ 100 Stock Market LOWER LOWS & LOWER HIGH - 16th May 22
Sanctions, trade wars worsen US inflation - 16th May 22
AI Tech Stocks Earnings BloodBath Buying Opportunity - 14th May 22
Futures Contract – Trading Crude Oil With USO - 14th May 22
How to Get Kaspersky Internet Security for 80% Discount! Do not Pay Renewal Price! - 14th May 22
Sagittarius A* Super Massive Black Hole Monster at Centre of Our Galaxy REVEALED! - 14th May 22
UK Public Debt Smoking Inflation Gun - 13th May 22
What Happens When the Stock Market Dip Keeps Dipping? - 13th May 22
Biden Seeks Inflation Scapegoats; Gold Advocate Wins GOP Primary - 13th May 22
Apple and Microsoft Nuts Are About to CRACK and Send Stock Market Sharply Lower - 12th May 22
The War on Gold Ensures the Dollar’s Downfall - 12th May 22
Crypto Investors Stable Coins TERROR as Terra USD COLLAPSEs towards ZERO, Tether Next! - 11th May 22
INFLATION IS KILLING SILVER - 11th May 22
The Dominant Investing Theme of the Decade - 11th May 22
Is Bitcoin Headed to Zero? - 11th May 22
RECESSION RISKS 2023 - 10th May 22
The Future of the Dollar Seems So Bright It’s Blinding Gold - 10th May 22
Take Advantage When Markets Succumb to Fear - 10th May 22
How to Recognize a Less\ Than Obvious Opportunity (In focus: Corn) - 10th May 22
How to Ensure Financial Stability for Your Family - 10th May 22
The Stocks Stealth BEAR Market - 9th May 22
A Strengthening US Dollar Is A Double-Edged Sword - 9th May 22
Making Wise Investment Decisions - 9th May 22
Ways to legalize a Moving Company - 9th May 22

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

FXA Bearish Cycle From The July 2011 Highs

Companies / Exchange Traded Funds Aug 27, 2019 - 02:21 PM GMT

By: ElliottWaveForecast

Companies

Firstly the FXA ETF fund is the Australian dollar tracking fund that has an Inception Date of 06/21/2006.  With that said the fund mainly reflects the currency spot price of the AUDUSD forex pair. The data available from the Reserve Bank of Australia at their website suggests the spot price was 1.4875 back in 1973 to 1974 that would translate into an FXA price of  around 148.75.  It should be obvious that is a long term downtrend. I believe the bearish cycle analysis suggests it can go lower to possibly retest those lows eventually.

Back before the FXA fund inception date, the AUDUSD spot currency price reached what is still the currency low in April 2001 at .4778. From there the currency pair went up in three swings until July 2011 at a high of 1.1080. That translated into the FXA ETF fund price high of 110.99 in July 2011. This is where the monthly Elliott wave analysis  begins on the chart below.


The analysis continues below the monthly chart.

Secondly the decline from the aforementioned July 2011 highs at least in this FXA ETF fund does not seem legitimately able to count the whole cycle from there down to the January 2016 lows as a regular impulse by itself as a whole.  The cycle lower in the blue wave (a) has been subdivided as an a-b-c in red. The instrument has since then bounced in three swings in what appeared to be a zig zag Elliott wave (b) that ended in January 2018.

The analysis continues below the weekly chart.

Thirdly in conclusion since the wave (b) highs from January 2018 the instrument has declined in a relatively clean & clear 5 wave impulse in wave a to the October 2018 lows. A bounce to the December 2018 highs was technically strong. It suggested it was correcting the cycle from the January 2018 highs. The instrument has since made new lows under the January 2016 lows. That now gives it a bearish sequence again to go along with the obvious down trend.

The equal legs of the larger blue (a) -(b) on the two charts shown above comes in at the 38.70 area.  I only drew a proposed decline toward the 61.8 extension area of the (a)-(b) which is at 55.00. I think this area can be seen realistically later in the coming years. The decline should continue lower most immediately while below the July 2019 highs, more importantly while below the December 2018 highs.

Thanks for looking. Feel free to come visit our website. Please check out our services Free for 14 days and see if we can be of help. Kind regards & good luck trading. Lewis Jones of the ElliottWave-Forecast.com Team

By EWFHendra

https://elliottwave-forecast.com

ElliottWave-Forecast has built its reputation on accurate technical analysis and a winning attitude. By successfully incorporating the Elliott Wave Theory with Market Correlation, Cycles, Proprietary Pivot System, we provide precise forecasts with up-to-date analysis for 52 instruments including Forex majors & crosses, Commodities and a number of Equity Indices from around the World. Our clients also have immediate access to our proprietary Actionable Trade Setups, Market Overview, 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily & Weekly Wave Counts. Weekend Webinar, Live Screen Sharing Sessions, Daily Technical Videos, Elliott Wave Setup .

Copyright © 2019 ElliottWave-Forecast - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cann


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in