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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Trend Forecast Oct - Dec 2019 by Nadeem Walayat

Stocks Wedge At The Edge – Front And Center

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019 Sep 23, 2019 - 08:25 AM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stock-Markets

We continue to alert our followers of the extended Wedge (Flag or Pennant) formation that has setup over the past 16+ months in most of the US major indexes.  The reason these are so important for skilled technical traders is because the Apex of these formations typically result in a violent price move  that may result in a dramatic profit opportunity (or massive risk event).  The most interesting facet of the current Wedge formation is that it is happening just 12 months before the US Presidential Election cycle.

It is our believe that a major price reversion event will begin to take place over the next 2 to 6+ weeks and complete near the end of 2019 or into early 2020.  This reversion event is and continues to align with our super-cycle event analysis from earlier this year.  Our researchers believe this reversion event is essential for price to establish “true valuation levels” and to begin a renewed future price trend.  We believe that trend will begin between June 2020 and August 2020 and will result in a strong bullish price trend.  We also believe this bullish price trend in the US stock market may last well beyond 12+ months – well into 2021 and beyond.


Custom Technology Weekly Index Chart

This Custom Technology Index chart highlights the Wedge formation that is one of our main concerns.  The Technology sector is one of the most heavily weighted sectors in the US stock market and the one that typically has the highest price to earnings multiple.  Over the past 5+ years, billions have poured into the Technology sector chasing the rally and the security of the US stock market/US Dollar.  A breakdown in this sector (like the DOT COM crash) could be devastating for the global markets.  As you can see, the price is already very close to the lower price channel and could breakdown within the next 2 to 5+ weeks.  Pay attention to weakness in the NASDAQ and/or the technology sector overall.

Monthly S&P 500 Chart

This S&P 500 chart highlights the rising Wedge formation that is set up and nearly complete.  This Monthly chart also highlights the extended volatility within the global markets compared to levels prior to 2018.  It is our opinion that the Apex of this Wedge will result in a breakdown/price reversion event targeting levels below 2600 on the SPX.  This reversion could extend to levels below 2000 on extended price weakness.  Our opinion is that the bottom will form sometime between December 2019 and April 2020 where a new Wedge formation will setup before reaching the Apex and starting a new upside price trend near August/October 2020.

We prepared for a very volatile price rotation/reversion event as these Wedges reach their Apex moment.  Skilled technical traders should be able to find lots of opportunity for profits over the next 6+ months with these big price rotations.

Weekly US Dollar Chart

The US Dollar will likely rotate within the Magenta price channel as this has continued to provide very clear price support over the past 20+ months.  We don’t believe the US Dollar will decline by more than 5% to 7% throughout the reversion event.  The fact is that the US Dollar has regained a level of dominance within the world and the US Dollar may continue to strengthen for many months into the future.

Remember, these reversion events are essential for proper price exploration and future price trends to establish.  They are fundamental to all price activity.  A healthy price rotation will allow for future trends to establish and mature well into 2021~2024.  The current Wedge formations must complete and the Apex rotation must happen in order for price to conduct “true price exploration” and “true price valuation”.  From these levels, price will establish a new price trend that may continue for many years into the future.

Concluding Thoughts:

We strongly suggest all readers consider the risks of their open portfolio positions and take steps to protect against any unwanted risk exposure.  As we are suggesting, we believe the Apex event will begin within 2 to 4+ weeks – possibly sooner.  If you want to know what we are advising our clients about this event, visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can assist you.

I urge you visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1 or 2-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar!

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong sie of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris was also featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and contributes articles to several leading financial hubs like MarketOracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: Nothing in this report should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned. Technical Traders Ltd., its owners and the author of this report are not registered broker-dealers or financial advisors. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. Never make an investment based solely on what you read in an online or printed report, including this report, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn’t well known. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report has been paid by Cardiff Energy Corp. In addition, the author owns shares of Cardiff Energy Corp. and would also benefit from volume and price appreciation of its stock. The information provided here within should not be construed as a financial analysis but rather as an advertisement. The author’s views and opinions regarding the companies featured in reports are his own views and are based on information that he has researched independently and has received, which the author assumes to be reliable. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content of this report, nor its fitness for any particular purpose. Lastly, the author does not guarantee that any of the companies mentioned in the reports will perform as expected, and any comparisons made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

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