UK Covid-19 Deaths Analysis - Danger Real or Exaggerated?

Politics / Pandemic Apr 14, 2020 - 04:34 AM GMT

This is part 1 of 2 that updates the current trend trajectories for the coronavirus mega-trend, where whilst the pandemic itself may not last more than a year nevertheless the magnitude of which is likely to impact many aspects of our lives for decades to come. Where the purpose of this analysis is to ensure that we are not all getting carried away by media headlines that could be over exaggerating covid-19 that has resulted in unprecedented government measures. Especially as a significant percentage of people, usually those yet to experience the first hand consequences of the Coronavirus, see it largely in terms of being a corona hoax, fake news, a grab for power, a plandemic, the elites once more playing their power games to enrich themselves just as they did during the financial crisis.

My next analysis will update the UK and US trend trajectories and stock market implications thereof, and update AI stocks buying levels for Q2, to be posted soon after release of Tuesday's ONS data that will first be made available to Patrons who support my work. So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Nadeem Walayat has over 30 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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Comments

JustAnotherExBanker
15 Apr 20, 14:32

But what about the economy?

Hi, Nadeem.

Any idea how the UK Government is financing their £350+ billion package? Is it through borrowing or money printing?

Won't this action by governments around the world end up trashing the sovereign bond markets? As far as I see it, investors are front-running bonds by buying them despite their crazy low yields. As QE programmes lead to increased demand via government purchases then bond prices increase, giving investors profits. However, surely there's only so much of this the markets can take before prices have to reduce and interest rates rise.

Do you think we'll end up with much higher inflation or deflation?

Thanks, Rob.

Nadeem_Walayat
02 May 20, 00:04

REAL INFLATION

The official statistics are bogus, why I generate my own.

If the government prints money and pays people 80% of their wage to sit at home then that will send REAL INFLATION ROCKETIGN!

lIKELY real UK inflation rate right now is about 10%!

Lets see how much shows through in the inflation indicies.

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