Most Popular
1. Banking Crisis is Stocks Bull Market Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
2.The Crypto Signal for the Precious Metals Market - P_Radomski_CFA
3. One Possible Outcome to a New World Order - Raymond_Matison
4.Nvidia Blow Off Top - Flying High like the Phoenix too Close to the Sun - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Apple AAPL Stock Trend and Earnings Analysis - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI, Stocks, and Gold Stocks – Connected After All - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Stock Market CHEAT SHEET - - Nadeem_Walayat
8.US Debt Ceiling Crisis Smoke and Mirrors Circus - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Silver Price May Explode - Avi_Gilburt
10.More US Banks Could Collapse -- A Lot More- EWI
Last 7 days
Stock Market Volatility (VIX) - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Investor Sentiment - 25th Mar 24
The Federal Reserve Didn't Do Anything But It Had Plenty to Say - 25th Mar 24
Stock Market Breadth - 24th Mar 24
Stock Market Margin Debt Indicator - 24th Mar 24
It’s Easy to Scream Stocks Bubble! - 24th Mar 24
Stocks: What to Make of All This Insider Selling- 24th Mar 24
Money Supply Continues To Fall, Economy Worsens – Investors Don’t Care - 24th Mar 24
Get an Edge in the Crypto Market with Order Flow - 24th Mar 24
US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions - 18th Mar 24
US Recession Already Happened in 2022! - 18th Mar 24
AI can now remember everything you say - 18th Mar 24
Bitcoin Crypto Mania 2024 - MicroStrategy MSTR Blow off Top! - 14th Mar 24
Bitcoin Gravy Train Trend Forecast 2024 - 11th Mar 24
Gold and the Long-Term Inflation Cycle - 11th Mar 24
Fed’s Next Intertest Rate Move might not align with popular consensus - 11th Mar 24
Two Reasons The Fed Manipulates Interest Rates - 11th Mar 24
US Dollar Trend 2024 - 9th Mar 2024
The Bond Trade and Interest Rates - 9th Mar 2024
Investors Don’t Believe the Gold Rally, Still Prefer General Stocks - 9th Mar 2024
Paper Gold Vs. Real Gold: It's Important to Know the Difference - 9th Mar 2024
Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling - 9th Mar 2024
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course - 9th Mar 2024
Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! - 4th Mar 2024
US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot - 1st Mar 2024
S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield - 29th Feb 2024
US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic - 29th Feb 2024
U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets - 29th Feb 2024
What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! - 29th Feb 2024
Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend - 29th Feb 2024
Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks - 19th Feb 24

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

NASDAQ: Some Historical Insights into Tech Stocks Mania

Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks Jun 18, 2020 - 10:41 AM GMT

By: EWI

Stock-Markets

No doubt, you've heard: The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite just passed the 10-thousand mark for the first-time ever, even as the DJIA remains below its February high.

This infatuation with technology is nothing new.

Indeed, EWI's publications have long noted that the most important peaks of the past 200 years have been associated with periods of intense technological advance.

As far back as the 1835 peak, market participants were enamored with electricity, photography, blast furnaces for the mass production of iron and indoor plumbing. In 1929, investors placed their hopes on commercial air flight and radio. In 1966, futurists were envisioning colonies on the Moon. And, in the year 2000, the shares of internet companies were skyrocketing.


At the time, our January 2000 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a monthly publication which provides analysis and forecasts for major U.S. financial markets, offered the following assessment of the technology sector:

In a bear market, reason, technology and science do not get the same respect. The prominence of its recent veneration suggests that a flight from them may be just around the corner.

As the chart shows, the NASDAQ topped in March 2000 -- two months after the January 2000 peak in the DJIA -- and declined 78% over the next 31 months.

The same topping sequence happened at the October 2007 peak on a shorter-term time basis. The Dow peaked on October 11, 2007 and the NASDAQ held up for several more weeks, topping on October 31, 2007. The market then declined more than 55% until March 2009.

How about here in mid-2020? Are investors facing another top in the technology sector?

After all, the DJIA peaked in February while the Nasdaq Composite just hit an all-time high.

Of course, it remains to be seen whether the current juncture unfolds in the same way.

Yet, Elliott Wave International's June 8 U.S. Short Term Update, a thrice weekly publication which provides near-term forecasts for key U.S. financial markets, provided this insight:

History shows the NASDAQ topping last at the end of strong rallies.

Right now, EWI's analysts are discussing an Elliott wave formation in the NASDAQ's price chart.

If you're new to Elliott wave analysis or need to brush up on your Elliott wave knowledge, you can read the online version of the "must read" book, Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior, 100% free.

As this Wall Street classic notes:

The primary value of the Wave Principle is that it provides context for market analysis. This context provides both a basis for disciplined thinking and a perspective on the market's general position and outlook. At times, its accuracy in identifying, and even anticipating, changes in direction is almost unbelievable.

All that's required to enjoy free access to Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior is a Club EWI signup. Club EWI is the world's largest Elliott wave educational community and membership is also free.

Simply follow this link to get started: Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior, free access.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline NASDAQ: Some Historical Insights into Techno-Mania. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2022 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in