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The SPY Is Nearing Resistance @ $410… What Is Next?

Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021 Apr 14, 2021 - 10:41 AM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stock-Markets

My shorter-term analysis for the markets continues to stay Bullish and suggests the US reflation trade, the strengthening of the US and the global economy, and recovery from the COVID-19 restrictions will likely prompt a moderately strong upside price trend leading into at least mid Q2:2021.  The recent strength of the US Dollar is helping to push capital into the US markets as foreign investors attempt to shift capital away from Emerging Market and currency weakness and the Treasury Yield rallies seem to have indicated a moderate warning related to global central banks attempting to front-run inflation concerns.


SPY Targeting $410, then $425 or higher

If the US Dollar continues to strengthen and foreign capital continues to flow into the US stock market, then my research team and I believe a continued “melt-up” bullish price trend will continue, similar to what happened in 2018~2019.  As we can see on the chart below, the upside price target for the SPY is $410.15.  Once that level is reached, we believe a moderate sideways Bull Flag will set up and prompt another upside price rally targeting $425~$430.

The rally in the US stock market will likely continue until key factors break down.  We don’t know what those key factors are going to be, but we are watching our custom indexes and proprietary price modeling systems to identify if and when that breakdown takes place.  Currently, we don’t see any real risk to a sudden downside price trend based on our research.  Of course, some sudden collapse in the global credit/banking industry, war, or some other unknown externality could easily disrupt the current balance of the markets.

Right now, we are targeting the $410 level on the SPY and expect the next leg higher to target $425~430.  We believe the current market environment supports a continued $24~$28 Fibonacci Expansion range stepping higher as moderate pullback events take place after reaching subsequent upside targets.  This “upward stepping” price pattern will likely continue as the reflation trade pushes a continued “melt-up” price event. Remember, our research may change suddenly if needed and the best way to stay ahead of these market setups/trends is to get my daily BAN Trader Pro pre-market video that covers the charts of the major indexes, bonds, gold and silver, and other asset classes and sectors delivered top your inbox every morning. 

As with all things, we make decisions based on what we know right now and not based on what may or may not happen as a guess.  Our research and custom indicators suggest a strengthening US Dollar will pull foreign capital investments into US sectors/stocks and likely prompt another “melt-up” type of trend over the next few weeks and months.

Don’t miss the opportunities in the broad market sectors over the next 6+ months.    Staying ahead of these sector trends is going to be key to developing continued success in these markets.  As some sectors fail, others will begin to trend higher.  Learn how BAN Trader Pro can help you spot the best trade setups. Learning to profit from these bigger trends and sector rotation will make a big difference between success and failure.  If you are not prepared for these sector rotations, then you can sign up now for my FREE webinar that teaches you how to find, enter, and profit from only those sectors that have the most strength and momentum. Staying ahead of sector trends is going to be key to success in volatile markets.

For those who believe in the power of trading on relative strength, market cycles, and momentum but don’t have the time to do the research every day then my BAN Trader Pro newsletter service does all the work for you with daily market reports, research, and trade alerts. More frequent or experienced traders have been killing it trading options, ETFs, and stocks using my BAN Hotlist ranking the hottest ETFs, which is updated daily for my premium subscribers.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris was also featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and contributes articles to several leading financial hubs like MarketOracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: Nothing in this report should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned. Technical Traders Ltd., its owners and the author of this report are not registered broker-dealers or financial advisors. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. Never make an investment based solely on what you read in an online or printed report, including this report, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn’t well known. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report has been paid by Cardiff Energy Corp. In addition, the author owns shares of Cardiff Energy Corp. and would also benefit from volume and price appreciation of its stock. The information provided here within should not be construed as a financial analysis but rather as an advertisement. The author’s views and opinions regarding the companies featured in reports are his own views and are based on information that he has researched independently and has received, which the author assumes to be reliable. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content of this report, nor its fitness for any particular purpose. Lastly, the author does not guarantee that any of the companies mentioned in the reports will perform as expected, and any comparisons made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

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