Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Stock Markets and the History Chart of the End of the World (With Presidential Cycles) - 28th Aug 20
2.Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook... AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels and Valuations Q3 2020 - 31st Aug 20
3.The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! - 11th Sep 20
4.Is this the End of Capitalism? - 13th Sep 20
5.What's Driving Gold, Silver and What's Next? - 3rd Sep 20
6.QE4EVER! - 9th Sep 20
7.Gold Price Trend Forecast Analysis - Part1 - 7th Sep 20
8.The Fed May “Cause” The Next Stock Market Crash - 3rd Sep 20
9.Bitcoin Price Crash - You Will be Suprised What Happens Next - 7th Sep 20
10.NVIDIA Stock Price Soars on RTX 3000 Cornering the GPU Market for next 2 years! - 3rd Sep 20
Last 7 days
Gold Price Drops Amid Stimulus and Poor Data - 21st Jan 21
Protecting the Vulnerable 2021 - 21st Jan 21
How To Play The Next Stage Of The Marijuana Boom - 21st Jan 21
UK Schools Lockdown 2021 Covid Education Crisis - Home Learning Routine - 21st Jan 21
General Artificial Intelligence Was BORN in 2020! GPT-3, Deep Mind - 20th Jan 21
Bitcoin Price Crash: FCA Warning Was a Slap in the Face. But Not the Cause - 20th Jan 21
US Coronavirus Pandemic 2021 - We’re Going to Need More Than a Vaccine - 20th Jan 21
The Biggest Biotech Story Of 2021? - 20th Jan 21
Biden Bailout, Democrat Takeover to Drive Americans into Gold - 20th Jan 21
Pandemic 2020 Is Gone! Will 2021 Be Better for Gold? - 20th Jan 21
Trump and Coronavirus Pandemic Final US Catastrophe 2021 - 19th Jan 21
How To Find Market Momentum Trades for Explosive Gains - 19th Jan 21
Cryptos: 5 Simple Strategies to Catch the Next Opportunity - 19th Jan 21
Who Will NEXT Be Removed from the Internet? - 19th Jan 21
This Small Company Could Revolutionize The Trillion-Dollar Drug Sector - 19th Jan 21
Gold/SPX Ratio and the Gold Stock Case - 18th Jan 21
More Stock Market Speculative Signs, Energy Rebound, Commodities Breakout - 18th Jan 21
Higher Yields Hit Gold Price, But for How Long? - 18th Jan 21
Some Basic Facts About Forex Trading - 18th Jan 21
Custom Build PC 2021 - Ryzen 5950x, RTX 3080, 64gb DDR4 Specs - Scan Computers 3SX Order Day 11 - 17th Jan 21
UK Car MOT Covid-19 Lockdown Extension 2021 - 17th Jan 21
Why Nvidia Is My “Slam Dunk” Stock Investment for the Decade - 16th Jan 21
Three Financial Markets Price Drivers in a Globalized World - 16th Jan 21
Sheffield Turns Coronavirus Tide, Covid-19 Infections Half Rest of England, implies Fast Pandemic Recovery - 16th Jan 21
Covid and Democrat Blue Wave Beats Gold - 15th Jan 21
On Regime Change, Reputations, the Markets, and Gold and Silver - 15th Jan 21
US Coronavirus Pandemic Final Catastrophe 2021 - 15th Jan 21
The World’s Next Great Onshore Oil Discovery Could Be Here - 15th Jan 21
UK Coronavirus Final Pandemic Catastrophe 2021 - 14th Jan 21
Here's Why Blind Contrarianism Investing Failed in 2020 - 14th Jan 21
US Yield Curve Relentlessly Steepens, Whilst Gold Price Builds a Handle - 14th Jan 21
NEW UK MOT Extensions or has my Car Plate Been Cloned? - 14th Jan 21
How to Save Money While Decorating Your First House - 14th Jan 21
Car Number Plate Cloned Detective Work - PY16 JXV - 14th Jan 21
Big Oil Missed This, Now It Could Be Worth Billions - 14th Jan 21
Are you a Forex trader who needs a bank account? We have the solution! - 14th Jan 21
Finetero Review – Accurate and Efficient Stock Trading Services? - 14th Jan 21
Gold Price Big Picture Trend Forecast 2021 - 13th Jan 21
Are Covid Lockdowns Bullish or Bearish for Stocks? FTSE 100 in Focus - 13th Jan 21
CONgress "Insurrection" Is Just the Latest False Flag Event from the Globalists - 13th Jan 21
Reflation Trade Heating Up - 13th Jan 21
The Most Important Oil Find Of The Next Decade Could Be Here - 13th Jan 21

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

FIRST ACCESS to Nadeem Walayat’s Analysis and Trend Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Continues to Consolidate Ahead of Non Farm Payrolls

Currencies / Forex Trading Dec 03, 2008 - 07:26 AM GMT

By: ForexPros

Currencies Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite a weaker open and a test of near-term S/R the USD has recovered to post highs against some pairs as intraday volatility continues. Equities faded into the middle of the day unable to hold early gains helping to push the majors to lower prices in two-way volatility. Crude giving up gains also was a factor for lower EURO pricing traders say but for the most part the majors are struggling to hold support against negative sentiment as traders continue to wait for signs that the financial crisis is mitigating.


GBP had early highs at 1.5072 before dropping two full handles in late trade; traders note selling sympathy with EURO and cross-spreaders adding to the volatility.

EURO high prints looking for stops at 1.2767 but traders note they were not in size over the 1.2750 area suggesting that stops are higher up or that they were cleared last week making for a potential rotation lower in the works as the rate failed to advance past the weekly opening range.

USD/CHF continued to sketch out a tight range failing to extend in either direction as early highs and lows held all day. Traders note that stops are likely building in size on both sides of the rate as other pairs extend ranges suggesting more volatility may be due soon.

USD/CAD rallied through upside resistance for a high print at 1.2585 clearing stops above the 1.2540/50 area; traders note that uncertainty in the new Canadian government likely has pressured Loonie lower against the USD. Traders note that the rate has had really thin volume and today’s moves may have been exaggerated but the fact is the rate has extended above near-term resistance suggesting that the rate may try for the next resistance level above the 1.2700 area. In my view, today’s action is two-way within existing ranges with a few exceptions but volumes haven’t been that impressive.

Most likely the USD is continuing to trade in a consolidation bias until Friday’s NFP report. Tomorrow’s data will likely provide a bit of volatility but I think the market is waiting to see the extent of the employment data this week. Look for the USD to quiet down overnight as the market prepares for US data in the morning.

GBP/USD Daily

Resistance 3: 1.5680, Resistance 2: 1.5620 , Resistance 1: 1.5550 , Latest New York: 1.4898

Support 1: 1.4770 , Support 2: 1.4700/10, Support 3: 1.4650

Comments

Rate forced lower into early Asia overnight but reverses into Europe. Analysts suggest 100 BP rate cut coming on Thursday; probably already fully factored in. Good bids reported but supply seen from semi-official names. Stops in range helps to pressure but support has failed at 1.5050 area. Traders note solid two-way action with stops cleared across several levels. Sellers hold control above 1.5100 area so far; OK to buy if flat on a dip. Profit-taking likely to result in a squeeze on the further strength. Technical trade overnight again. BOE rate cut increasingly likely but that is likely completely factored in at this point. Traders note liquidity is only moderate and still on the lower side. Aggressive traders can look to buy the next dip.

Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)

4:30am GBP Services PMI

5:30am GBP BRC Shop Price Index y/y

EURO/USD Daily

Resistance 3: 1.2950 , Resistance 2: 1.2880 , Resistance 1: 1.2750/60 , Latest New York: 1.2709

Support 1: 1.2580 , Support 2: 1.2550 , Support 3: 1.2480

Comments

Late break with spillover from GBP clears stops under the 1.2700 area and 1.2620/30 area. Possible reversal now in play but the rate needs to firm above the 1.2850 area in my view. Bids are building under the 1.2600 area as expected; sell-off likely to be bought hard now. OK to try the long side again on a dip. Traders note stops building above the market around the 1.2750 area in size likely to help create some two-way action but initial try for stops misses with a high print at 1.2767. Support also from cross-spreaders as they unwind Yen. Rate is an absolute screaming buy in my view—I can’t see further weakness being ignored by the buyers.

Traders note the rate is finding profit-taking bids on dips so far despite the uncertainty in the market.

Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)

4:00am EUR Final Services PMI

5:00am EUR Retail Sales m/m

Analysis by: http://www.Forexpros.com - Written by Jason Alan Jankovsky

Forexpros offers the most definitive Forex portal on the web. It contains industry leading market analysis, up-to-the minute news and advanced trading
tools which provides brokers, traders and everyone involved in the financial market with an all-round guide to Forex.

Copyright © 2008 by ForexPros.com All rights reserved.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex transactions involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

ForexPros Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules