Most Popular
1. THE INFLATION MONSTER is Forecasting RECESSION - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Why APPLE Could CRASH the Stock Market! - Nadeem_Walayat
3.The Stocks Stealth BEAR Market - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Inflation, Commodities and Interest Rates : Paradigm Shifts in Macrotrends - Rambus_Chartology
5.Stock Market in the Eye of the Storm, Visualising AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
6.AI Tech Stocks Earnings BloodBath Buying Opportunity - Nadeem_Walayat
7.PPT HALTS STOCK MARKET CRASH ahead of Fed May Interest Rate Hike Meeting - Nadeem_Walayat
8.50 Small Cap Growth Stocks Analysis to CAPITALISE on the Stock Market Inflation -Nadeem_Walayat
9.WE HAVE NO CHOICE BUT TO INVEST IN STOCKS AND HOUSING MARKET - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Apple and Microsoft Nuts Are About to CRACK and Send Stock Market Sharply Lower - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
Why PEAK INFLATION is a RED HERRING! Prepare for a Decade Long Cost of Living Crisis - 9th Aug 22
FREETRADE Want to LEND My Shares to Short Sellers! - 8th Aug 22
Stock Market Unclosed Gap - 8th Aug 22
The End Game for Silver Shenanigans... - 8th Aug 22er
WARNING Corsair MP600 NVME2 M2 SSD Are Prone to Failure Can Prevent Systems From Booting - 8th Aug 22
Elliott Waves: Your "Rhyme & Reason" to Mainstream Stock Market Opinions - 6th Aug 22
COST OF LIVING CRISIS NIGHTMARE - Expect High INFLATION for whole of this DECADE! - 6th Aug 22
WHY PEAK INFLATION RED HERRING - 5th Aug 22
Recession Is Good for Gold, but a Crisis Would Be Even Better - 5th Aug 22
Stock Market Rallying On Slowly Thinning Air - 5th Aug 22
SILVER’S BAD BREAK - 5th Aug 22
Stock Market Trend Pattren 2022 Forecast Current State - 4th Aug 22
Should We Be Prepared For An Aggressive U.S. Fed In The Future? - 4th Aug 22
Will the S&P 500 Stock Market Index Go the Way of Meme Stocks? - 4th Aug 22
Stock Market Another Upswing Attempt - 4th Aug 22
What is our Real Economic and Financial Prognosis? - 4th Aug 22
The REAL Stocks Bear Market of 2022 - 3rd Aug 22
The ‘Wishful Thinking’ Fed Is Anything But ‘Neutral’ - 3rd Aug 22
Don’t Be Misled by Gold’s Recent Upswing - 3rd Aug 22
Aluminum, Copper, Zinc: The 3 Horsemen of the Upcoming "Econocalypse" - 31st July 22
Gold Stocks’ Rally Autumn 2022 - 31st July 22
US Fed Is Battling Excess Global Capital – Which Is Creating Inflation - 31st July 22
What it's like at a Stocks Bear Market Bottom - 29th July 22
How to lock in a Guaranteed 9.6% return from Uncle Sam With I Bonds - 29th July 22
All You Need to Know About the Increase in Building Insurance Premiums for Flats - 29th July 22
The Challenges on the Horizon for UK Landlords - 29th July 22
The Psychology of Investing in a Stocks Bear Market - 26th July 22
Claiming and Calculating The Research and Development Tax Credit - 26th July 22
Stock Market Bearish Test - 26th July 22
Social Media Tips and Writing an Effective Call to Action - 26th July 22
Has Rishi Sunak Succeeded in Buying His Way Into No 10 - Fake Tory Leadership Contest - 26th July 22
The Psychology of Investing in a Stocks Bear Market - 26th July 22
Claiming and Calculating The Research and Development Tax Credit - 26th July 22
Stock Market Bearish Test - 26th July 22
Social Media Tips and Writing an Effective Call to Action - 26th July 22
Has Rishi Sunak Succeeded in Buying His Way Into No 10 - Fake Tory Leadership Contest - 26th July 22

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

UK Christmas Early Sales, 50% Discounts for European Shoppers

Personal_Finance / Money Saving Dec 24, 2008 - 12:50 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Personal_Finance Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK retail sales are experiencing a Christmas boom that looks set to hit a new record, boosted by buying from our European cousins as distressed retailers bring forward the January sales in the face of fierce competition for foot fall between retailers. The ongoing crash of the British Pound has taken sterling to just a a whisker away from parity to the Euro, now down by more than 30% from its high which means the already liberally advertised 20% discounts translate into a 50% discount for European shoppers, much as Briton's benefited not so long ago from the cheap shopping trips to New York at an exchange rate north of £/$2.00.


However as earlier analysis suggested that the fall in sterling will result in much higher high street consumer prices during 2009 as those retailers that have not gone bust seek to replenish stocks at much higher prices during 2009. This again suggests that the January Sales for Britons may prove to be more illusionary than real as the fall in sterling has already soaked up corporate margins, which again confirms that those UK shoppers seeking to make large purchases are probably better off to do so sooner rather than later.

Christmas Sales 2008

  • WH Smith - up to 75% off - Already started
  • Tesco - 70% off clothes - Already started
  • Matalan - Already started
  • New Look - Already started
  • B&Q - up to 75% off - Christmas Eve 6pm.
  • Boots - Up to 50% off, online only - Christmas Eve
  • John Lewis - 6pm Christmas Eve
  • Super Drug - Up to 90% - Online Christmas Eve, 25th in store.
  • M&S - midnight Christmas day
  • Debenhams - Online 25th December, 26th in store.
  • Selfridges - Up to 50% off, 26th in store.
  • PC World - 26th Dec in store - can reserve earlier online
  • House of Fraser - Up to 70% off - 26th in store.
  • River Island , 26th in store.
  • Boots - Up to 50% off, 26th in store.
  • Argos, 26th in store.
  • Harrods, 27th in store.

Inflation Deflating

The fall in sterling is highly inflationary, however at the same time we are experiencing the crash of the UK economy which is highly deflationary, this coupled with the crash in commodity prices such as crude oil falling from $147 to $33 in less than 5 months ensures that the immediate trend is for deflation i.e. falling prices, but primarily in terms of asset prices. Meanwhile the risk of all of the money printing that the Labour government is undertaking is stoking future inflation. A full depth analysis of UK deflation and inflation prospects during 2009 is under way, to receive this in your email inbox on the day of publication subscribe to our always free newsletter. Also due to be published this month is the in depth housing market analysis and forecast for 2009 to 2011 which is an update to what has proved to be the highly accurate analysis of August 2007 - UK Housing Market Crash of 2007 - 2008 and Steps to Protect Your Wealth, that forecast a 15% fall minimum and 25% fall for London.

Related Recent Graphs and Charts

UK Retail Sales Deflation, Many Retailers expected to go bust during January & February 2009.

Crude Oil Price Crash Deflation, falling from $147 to $33

UK Inflation Deflating at a fast pace as the economy plunges over the cliff

British Pound Crash of 2008

UK House Prices Crash Accelerates

UK Economic Crash - Unemployment Now above 2,000,000

Soaring Real Public Debt and Liabilities as Gordon Brown is Bankrupting Britain to win the Next Election

By Nadeem Walayat
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-08 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on the housing market and interest rates. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 150 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Attention Editors and Publishers! - You have permission to republish THIS article. Republished articles must include attribution to the author and links back to the http://www.marketoracle.co.uk . Please send an email to republish@marketoracle.co.uk, to include a link to the published article.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in