Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II - Chris_Vermeulen
2.The Coronavirus Greatest Economic Depression in History? - Nadeem_Walayat
3.US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop - Chris_Vermeulen
4.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
5. Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?- Nadeem_Walayat
6.Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels - Nadeem_Walayat
7.US Fourth Turning Accelerating Towards Debt Climax - James_Quinn
8.Dow Stock Market Trend Analysis and Forecast - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Britain's FAKE Coronavirus Death Statistics Exposed - Nadeem_Walayat
10.Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts - Rambus_Chartology
Last 7 days
A Simple Way to Preserve Your Wealth Amid Uncertainty - 11th Aug 20
Precious Metals Complex Impulse Move : Where Is next Resistance? - 11th Aug 20
Gold Miners Junior Stcks Buying Spree - 11th Aug 20
Has the Fed Let the Inflation Genie Out of the Bottle? - 10th Aug 20
The Strange Food Trend That’s Making Investors Rich - 10th Aug 20
Supply & Demand For Money – The End of Inflation? - 10th Aug 20
Revisiting Our Silver and Gold Predictions – Get Ready For Higher Prices - 10th Aug 20
Storm Clouds Are Gathering for a Major Stock and Commodity Markets Downturn - 10th Aug 20
A 90-Year-Old Stock Market Investment Insight That's Relevant in 2020 - 10th Aug 20
Debt and Dollar Collapse Leading to Potential Stock Market Melt-Up, - 10th Aug 20
Coronavirus: UK Parents Demand ALL Schools OPEN September, 7 Million Children Abandoned by Teachers - 9th Aug 20
Computer GPU Fans Not Spinning Quick FIX - Sticky Fans Solution - 9th Aug 20
Find the Best Speech Converter for You - 9th Aug 20
Silver Bull Market Update - 7th Aug 20
This Inflation-Adjusted Silver Chart Tells An Interesting Story - 7th Aug 20
The Great American Housing Boom Has Begun - 7th Aug 20
NATURAL GAS BEGINS UPSIDE BREAKOUT MOVE - 7th Aug 20
Know About Lotteries With The Best Odds Of Winning - 7th Aug 20
Could Gold Price Reach $7,000 by 2030? - 6th Aug 20
Bananas for All! Keep Dancing… FOMC - 6th Aug 20
How to Do Bets During This Time - 6th Aug 20
How to develop your stock trading strategy - 6th Aug 20
Stock Investors What to do if Trump Bans TikTok - 5th Aug 20
Gold Trifecta of Key Signals for Gold Mining Stocks - 5th Aug 20
ARE YOU LOVING YOUR SERVITUDE? - 5th Aug 20
Stock Market Uptrend Continues? - 4th Aug 20
The Dimensions of Covid-19: The Hong Kong Flu Redux - 4th Aug 20
High Yield Junk Bonds Are Hot Again -- Despite Warning Signs - 4th Aug 20
Gold Stocks Autumn Rally - 4th Aug 20
“Government Sachs” Is Worried About the Federal Reserve Note - 4th Aug 20
Gold Miners Still Pushing That Cart of Rocks Up Hill - 4th Aug 20
UK Government to Cancel Christmas - Crazy Covid Eid 2020! - 4th Aug 20
Covid-19 Exposes NHS Institutional Racism Against Black and Asian Staff and Patients - 4th Aug 20
How Sony Is Fueling the Computer Vision Boom - 3rd Aug 20
Computer Gaming System Rig Top Tips For 6 Years Future Proofing Build Spec - 3rd Aug 20
Cornwwall Bude Caravan Park Holidays 2020 - Look Inside Holiday Resort Caravan - 3rd Aug 20
UK Caravan Park Holidays 2020 Review - Hoseasons Cayton Bay North East England - 3rd Aug 20
Best Travel Bags for 2020 Summer Holidays , Back Sling packs, water proof, money belt and tactical - 3rd Aug 20
Precious Metals Warn Of Increased Volatility Ahead - 2nd Aug 20
The Key USDX Sign for Gold and Silver - 2nd Aug 20
Corona Crisis Will Have Lasting Impact on Gold Market - 2nd Aug 20
Gold & Silver: Two Pictures - 1st Aug 20
The Bullish Case for Stocks Isn't Over Yet - 1st Aug 20
Is Gold Price Action Warning Of Imminent Monetary Collapse - Part 2? - 1st Aug 20
Will America Accept the World's Worst Pandemic Response Government - 1st Aug 20
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More – Part II - 1st Aug 20
Trump White House Accelerating Toward a US Dollar Crisis - 31st Jul 20
Why US Commercial Real Estate is Set to Get Slammed - 31st Jul 20
Gold Price Blows Through Upside Resistance - The Chase Is On - 31st Jul 20
Is Crude Oil Price Setting Up for a Waterfall Decline? - 31st Jul 20
Stock Market Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More - 30th Jul 20
Why Big Money Is Already Pouring Into Edge Computing Tech Stocks - 30th Jul 20
Economic and Geopolitical Worries Fuel Gold’s Rally - 30th Jul 20
How to Finance an Investment Property - 30th Jul 20
I Hate Banks - Including Goldman Sachs - 29th Jul 20
NASDAQ Stock Market Double Top & Price Channels Suggest Pending Price Correction - 29th Jul 20
Silver Price Surge Leaves Naysayers in the Dust - 29th Jul 20
UK Supermarket Covid-19 Shop - Few Masks, Lack of Social Distancing (Tesco) - 29th Jul 20
Budgie Clipped Wings, How Long Before it Can Fly Again? - 29th Jul 20
How To Take Advantage Of Tesla's 400% Stock Surge - 29th Jul 20
Gold Makes Record High and Targets $6,000 in New Bull Cycle - 28th Jul 20
Gold Strong Signal For A Secular Bull Market - 28th Jul 20
Anatomy of a Gold and Silver Precious Metals Bull Market - 28th Jul 20
Shopify Is Seizing an $80 Billion Pot of Gold - 28th Jul 20
Stock Market Minor Correction Underway - 28th Jul 20
Why College Is Never Coming Back - 27th Jul 20
Stocks Disconnect from Economy, Gold Responds - 27th Jul 20
Silver Begins Big Upside Rally Attempt - 27th Jul 20
The Gold and Silver Markets Have Changed… What About You? - 27th Jul 20
Google, Apple And Amazon Are Leading A $30 Trillion Assault On Wall Street - 27th Jul 20
This Stock Market Indicator Reaches "Lowest Level in Nearly 20 Years" - 26th Jul 20
New Wave of Economic Stimulus Lifts Gold Price - 26th Jul 20
Stock Market Slow Grind Higher Above the Early June Stock Highs - 26th Jul 20
How High Will Silver Go? - 25th Jul 20
If You Own Gold, Look Out Below - 25th Jul 20
Crude Oil and Energy Sets Up Near Major Resistance – Breakdown Pending - 25th Jul 20
FREE Access to Premium Market Forecasts by Elliott Wave International - 25th Jul 20
The Promise of Silver as August Approaches: Accumulation and Conversation - 25th Jul 20
The Silver Bull Gateway is at Hand - 24th Jul 20
The Prospects of S&P 500 Above the Early June Highs - 24th Jul 20
How Silver Could Surpass Its All-Time High - 24th Jul 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Get Rich Investing in Stocks by Riding the Electron Wave

U.S. Dollar to Weaken on FOMC Announcement

Currencies / Forex Trading Mar 18, 2009 - 06:03 AM GMT

By: ForexPros

Currencies Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD continued to consolidate today reaching highs against the majors in early New York but failing to advance into key bullish levels. The majors recovered after the London fix rising off lows and in some pairs flirting with highs into the close. Today’s PPI and Housing Data was benign helping to underpin the possibility that inflation is not a problem and housing is beginning to recover but more data will be needed according to most analysts.


Aggressive traders are suggesting that a positive response for Wall Street today signals that investor confidence is beginning to turn positive from neutral or negative. Should that be the case moving forward the “flight-to-quality” buying of USD will likely end and underlying fundamentals will probably begin to weaken the USD into the end of month at least.

Traders are suggesting that the possibility of China reducing its holdings of US debt and curtailing their purchase of US debt moving forward works against the USD near-term; time will tell if a larger fall in the USD is likely but for now sentiment is turning neutral for the Greenback.

GBP fell to a low print at 1.3963 missing large stops said to be resting under the 1.3940 area and the rate recovers t the 1.4050 area into the close.

Lifting EURO with it, EURO has regained the 1.3000 handle and is pressuring highs at 1.3034 into the close with a positive tone noted by traders. Overnight action will likely see a test of the weekly highs at 1.3070 area and traders note stops from large shorts likely in the 1.3080 and above areas. A push to 1.3120 will likely result in short-covering adding to the underlying positive tone; traders note RHS interest in both EURO and GBP into the London fix.

USD/CHF is flirting with lows on the day at 1.1811 and a late break would likely trigger close-in stops into the start of Asia tonight; traders note that volumes have remained subdued as large players have already likely sold into the rally this week and are sitting tight leaving only small time frame traders on the bid.

USD/CAD has failed at the 1.2700 handle into the close after making highs at 1.2766 early; the rate is still within striking distance of the stops said to be resting in the 1.2660 area and 1.2620 area.

The only rate to hold gains on the day of any size is USD/JPY trading to a high print at 98.98 before dropping back to the 98.40 area late in the day. Exporters remain on the offer above the 98.50 area and the failure to score the 99.0 handle today is likely a psychological negative to the bulls. Expect stops to be rolled-up closer to the 98.10 area overnight increasing the possibility of a stop-driven long-liquidation break. With the strong bullish sentiment combined with a failure at the recent highs a one-way liquidating break is increasingly likely. Look for the USD to continue in two-way trade with a weaker bias. Tomorrow’s data will likely be overshadowed by the FOMC announcement and the BOJ rate decision overnight.

GBP/USD Daily

Resistance 3: 1.4350, Resistance 2: 1.4320, Resistance 1: 1.4250

Latest New York: 1.4050, Support 1: 1.3860, Support 2: 1.3780, Support 3: 1.3720

Comments

Rate two-way, holds gains and has inside range day overnight; stops seen above weekly highs around the 1.4250 area. Tests support on pullback and holds for now. Lows likely remain secure. Reversal off weekly lows a positive technical but the volume needs to come up and I think the shorts have yet to bail as a group. Traders report stops in-range adding for two-way action. Long-term tech resistance now at 1.5000 area likely to cap near term but stops are building above 1.4400 and the 1.5000 handle is a big psychological number. Two-way action continues suggesting that shorts are aggressively adding and longs are trying to find a bottom. Short squeeze back on the board I think. Next upside target is 1.4400 area

Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-4 GMT)

5:30am GBP Claimant Count Change

5:30am GBP MPC Meeting Minutes

5:30am GBP Average Earnings Index 3m/y

5:30am GBP Unemployment Rate

EURO/USD Daily

Resistance 3: 1.3100, Resistance 2: 1.3080, Resistance 1: 1.3050

Latest New York: 1.3008, Support 1: 1.2850, Support 2: 1.2720, Support 3: 1.2680

Comments

Rate follows GBP in two-way action, holding support now above the 1.2950 area. Upside stops likely now in-range around 1.3040/50 area. Overhead resistance is thick up to 1.3100 area so a pullback might be in the works. Aggressive traders can liquidate some longs above 1.3000 area and hold base positions. Traders note big names on the buy side on dips overnight; semi-officials buying 1.2900 area. Close above key 1.3030 area needed for further upside until then rallies likely to be sold so expect more two-way action. Bulls are still attempting to find a bottom. Technical levels around the 1.2920/50 area now likely to offer support on further weakness so expect two-way action and consolidation underneath.

Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-4 GMT)

5:00am EUR Italian Industrial Production m/m

Analysis by: http://www.Forexpros.com - Written by Jason Alan Jankovsky

Forexpros offers the most definitive Forex portal on the web. It contains industry leading market analysis, up-to-the minute news and advanced trading
tools which provides brokers, traders and everyone involved in the financial market with an all-round guide to Forex.

Copyright © 2009 by ForexPros.com All rights reserved.

Disclaimer: Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex transactions involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time.

ForexPros Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules