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Gold Falls ahead of G20 Summit

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009 Mar 31, 2009 - 04:58 AM GMT

By: Mark_OByrne

Commodities Gold fell yesterday (both gold and silver were down some 1%) in volatile trade which saw some very determined selling each time gold looked set to break out above $930/oz. There appears to be support at $890/oz to $910/oz and resistance between $930/oz and $960/oz.


As usual gold’s safe haven properties were seen yesterday as most international equity indices were down some 3% to 5% while gold fell only marginally. This has been the pattern in recent months and years when gold can be somewhat correlated to equity markets in the very short term (often falls but falls by less than stock markets) but is inversely correlated over the medium to long term (as seen in tables below).

Besides the uncertain outlook for equity markets, gold is also being supported by weakness in the dollar today and expected dollar weakness in the coming months as the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet deteriorates further and US budget deficits and the national debt rise very significantly.

Oil has recovered somewhat from yesterday’s sell off (up 1.7% this morning to over $49 per barrel). Gold has clearly decoupled from oil in recent weeks and months but should oil begin to creep up again as many analysts believe is probable, gold will likely move up in unison as investors attempt to hedge themselves from the burgeoning threat of inflation.

The first quarter has seen gold (and especially silver) again outperform most asset classes with gold rising in all major currencies (as it did in 2007 and 2008). Gold is up more than 4% in US dollar terms, nearly 10% in Euro terms and 7% in British pound terms.

This outperformance is set to continue as the international financial and economic system remains close to collapse (as warned of by George Soros at weekend) and governments are attempting to avert deflation by debasing their currencies in an unprecedented manner and this will likely lead to stagflation in the coming months.

By Mark O'Byrne, Executive Director

Gold Investments
63 Fitzwilliam Square
Dublin 2
Ireland
Ph +353 1 6325010
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Gold and Silver Investments Limited
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London,
EC3V 3ND
United Kingdom
Ph +44 (0) 207 0604653
Fax +44 (0) 207 8770708
Email info@www.goldassets.co.uk
Web www.goldassets.co.uk

Gold and Silver Investments Ltd. have been awarded the MoneyMate and Investor Magazine Financial Analyst of 2006.

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Gold and Silver Investments Limited hope to inform our clientele of important financial and economic developments and thus help our clientele and prospective clientele understand our rapidly changing global economy and the implications for their livelihoods and wealth.
We focus on the medium and long term global macroeconomic trends and how they pertain to the precious metal markets and our clienteles savings, investments and livelihoods. We emphasise prudence, safety and security as they are of paramount importance in the preservation of wealth.

Financial Regulation: Gold & Silver Investments Limited trading as Gold Investments is regulated by the Financial Regulator as a multi-agency intermediary. Our Financial Regulator Reference Number is 39656. Gold Investments is registered in the Companies Registration Office under Company number 377252 . Registered for VAT under number 6397252A . Codes of Conduct are imposed by the Financial Regulator and can be accessed at www.financialregulator.ie or from the Financial Regulator at PO Box 9138, College Green, Dublin 2, Ireland. Property, Commodities and Precious Metals are not regulated by the Financial Regulator

Disclaimer: The information in this document has been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable. We cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness. It does not constitute a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any investment. Any person acting on the information contained in this document does so at their own risk. Recommendations in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Individual circumstances should be considered before a decision to invest is taken. Investors should note the following: The value of investments may fall or rise against investors' interests. Income levels from investments may fluctuate. Changes in exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value of, or income from, investments denominated in foreign currencies. Past experience is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

All the opinions expressed herein are solely those of Gold & Silver Investments Limited and not those of the Perth Mint. They do not reflect the views of the Perth Mint and the Perth Mint accepts no legal liability or responsibility for any claims made or opinions expressed herein.

Mark O'Byrne Archive

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