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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

What the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Says About Likelihood of Fed QE Tapering / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

The big question on every investors’ lips today and tomorrow is: “will the Fed announce or hint at tapering QE?”

Over the last two years, one of the biggest tools in the Fed’s arsenal has been verbal intervention: the act of saying something in order to push the market up. Time and again 2011-2012 saw various Fed Presidents appear at key points to push the market higher by promising more action or stimulus.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Red Alert, QE Taper Talk Puts Bonds at Risk – Where to Hide? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Axel_Merk

Induced by “taper talk,” volatility in the bond market has been surging of late. Is there a bond bubble? Is it bursting? And if so, what are investors to do, as complacency might be financially hazardous.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Sell Signal / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

On reflection, the two weekly charts below should have been included in the equity market overview that I sent out yesterday (http://www.beyondneanderthal.com/equity-market-risks-are-rising-3/ ).

A significant “sell” signal has been given on the weekly bond price chart.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

U.S. Bond Market - If There’s a Time to Panic… It’s Now / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: I received several letters from readers concerning my recent column opining that the 30-year bull market in bonds is over.

Some asked if it was really that big a deal that bonds fell by 2% in May. The answer is yes. It is a big deal, especially when 10-year Treasurys yielded just 1.7% a month ago. That slight sell-off erased more than a year’s worth of interest.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 05, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bonds Will be Returned to Sender / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The USTreasury Bond is the primary vehicle for the USDollar. Nations do not hold the USDollar in raw currency form, except for the crime syndicates. They hold them in USTBond form, in order to gather some interest income. In the last few years, not few months, but years, the interest has been next to nothing, and surely far less than what it should be, given the risk and the nasty undermine to value by the monetary action by the central bank itself. Paltry interest aside, with all its unfortunate deterrent toward investment in USGovt debt, the USFed has been kicking out the value pillars for a very long time, far longer than the limit imposed loosely by Sir Alan Greenspasm of six to eight months. With the cost of money near zero, all markets are distorted, all assets improperly priced, and Gold marked for illicit ambush on a regular basis by the fascists.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 31, 2013

Is the US Treasury Bond Market Turning? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Simit_Patel

Perhaps the biggest macroeconomic event to watch for is the potential that the US Treasury bond market is turning south -- and that bond yields will rise significantly. This has many implications for the global economy, as capital flowing out of the US Treasury bond market -- the largest non-currency financial market -- will drastically impact values in other markets.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 31, 2013

Why U.S. Treasury Bonds Are Still the Worst Investment / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: Savers have had a difficult time finding suitable places to allocate capital from which they can derive income. I’ve previously warned against allocating new funds to the investment strategy of U.S. Treasuries, as this would likely be the worst investment over the next decade.

Now, it appears that investors are increasingly coming to the same conclusion that I stated several months ago in these pages: U.S. Treasuries are set for a significant drop in price.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 17, 2013

The Biggest Financial Bubble About to Burst! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Nothing is normal: not the economy, not the financial system, not the financial markets and not the political system.  The system remains still in the throes and aftershocks of the 2008 panic and the near-systemic collapse, and from the ongoing responses to same by the Federal Reserve and federal government.  Further panic is possible and hyperinflation is inevitable. 

“The economic and systemic solvency crises of the last eight years continue.  There never was an actual recovery following the economic downturn that began in 2006 and collapsed into 2008 and 2009.  What followed was a protracted period of business stagnation that began to turn down anew in second- and third-quarter 2012.  The official recovery seen in GDP has been a statistical illusion generated by the use of understated inflation in calculating key economic series (see Public Comment on Inflation).  Nonetheless, given the nature of official reporting, the renewed downturn likely will gain recognition as the second-dip in a double- or multiple-dip recession.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Warning: How the Bond Market Bubble Will Secretly Sabotage Your Retirement / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: A tool intended to make retirement investing easier may result in many Americans taking an unwitting hit to their portfolios when the bond bubble finally pops.

We're talking about target-date funds, designed to be "set it and forget it"-style retirement vehicles for people who don't want to bother with actively managing a portfolio.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Warning U.S. Treasury Bond Bull Market May Be Over / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: When the financial crisis took grip on the U.S. economy, investors fled the stock market and ran towards bonds—more specifically, high-quality U.S. government bonds. The reason behind this was very simple: they would rather invest their money in something where they knew their capital was safe than in the stock market, which was uncertain at the very best.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

U.S. Bond Market Breakdown / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_M_Williams

"Facts are the enemy of truth."- Don Quixote - "Man of La Mancha"

Last week we had the FOMC decision by the US Federal Reserve in which they said that they would continue purchasing US $85 billion a month with basically no end in sight. Aside from that they stated for the first time that they would consider increasing the amount purchased (QE) if the economy were to weaken further. So I don’t have to be able to read the tea leafs to know that puts the Fed squarely on it’s chosen path of monetary stimulus, or QE as it is called, where they go into the bond market and continue to buy debt while holding rates at zero. During the first quarter the Fed purchased 72% of all new debt issued, so you could say it is a market maker. Some might go so far as to say that they are the market.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 06, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Sell-Off Imminent? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: In its most recent statement, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) said it will continue to print $85.0 billion a month. With this money, it will buy $45.0 billion worth of long-term government debt and $40.0 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) each month.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 03, 2013

Expert Forecasts U.S. Treasury Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Not only is a bond market crash inevitable, but it will hit sooner than many think - by 2015 or 2016 at the latest, according to Michael Pento, president of Pento Portfolio Strategies.

"It's the most overpriced, over-owned, oversupplied market in the history of American economics," Pento said of the bond market in an interview with The Street.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 19, 2013

U.S. Bond Market Trouble Ahead / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Warren Buffett recently opined that bonds should come with a warning label these days.

That is doubly true of most bond funds. Many investors are about to get steamrolled. But if you act now, you can avoid getting hurt.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 06, 2013

Forget About The Fed Dialing Back QE3 – U.S. Buy Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Sy_Harding

The economic recovery has been progressing so well that it had become almost a sure thing the Fed will begin phasing out its easy money policy and QE stimulus programs much earlier than planned, possibly beginning as early as this summer.

Even the Fed seems to be preparing markets for that probability with its recent statements, and speeches by individual Fed governors.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 05, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

As I scanned my charts I thought I’d got a little off the beaten track to highlight something that is deeply affecting us. That is Treasury yields.

The reason I said this is because Treasury yields may have made their Master Cycle low today, or may do so in the next few trading days. The Cycles Model captures this event by showing that yields may have been stopped at the mid-Cycle support line at 17.53. There may be a challenge or a probe lower, but the uptrend line is just beneath it, so we will know very soon whether it is successful in turning Yields back up or not. If so, the uptrend in yields is preserved.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 09, 2013

The Coming Ponzi U.S. Treasury Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Casey_Research

It is my contention that the 70-year debt supercycle has come to an end.

To put the current financial situation in perspective, here's a long-term history of the debt-to-GDP ratio, which reached a record high at the beginning of the current crisis. It was a dramatic change in 2009, unlike anything since the aftermath of the Great Depression.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 02, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market's Last Bull Run / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Investment_U

Steve McDonald writes: When the Italians couldn’t agree on one candidate, and the U.S. faced it’s so called sequester, it may have been the last shot of life support for the bond market, for a long time.

This is very likely the last hurrah for the 30-year bond bull market. It may also be the last chance for the multitudes that have been plowing money into bond funds to take profits and save their retirements.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 28, 2013

US Treasury Bonds The Biggest Bubble In History About to Pop / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jeff_Berwick

The US Treasury Bond market is the longest unbroken bull market known to the financial world. For more than 30 years it has trended higher in nominal US dollar terms.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 25, 2013

How the Fed Will Crash the U.S. Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Richard Moyer writes: When you or I buy bonds, we pay a certain amount of money to buy someone elses debt. In return, they pay us a certain amount of interest for a fixed period of time.

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