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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Mirror Cracks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

Michael Lewitt is one of my favorite credit analysts. If I want to know what is happening in the credit markets, one of my first calls is to Michael. He has been doing deep dives into some rather esoteric markets as well as traditional bonds over the course of his career, and he really understands what is happening under the surface.

In the latest issue of The Credit Strategist, which Michael has given me special permission to pass on to you as today's Outside the Box, he gets our attention right off the bat by comparing the recent big move in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield to a comparable two-month move in 1994, a year that, as he says, was "generally viewed as Armageddon for bond investors." But in percentage terms, the 1994 move was only 20% over that period while the recent move was 40%.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Municipal Bonds: While Others Bail, It Might Be a Good Time to Buy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Gary Gately writes: Investors have been bailing out of beleaguered municipal bonds in droves, worried that higher interest rates will drive down the prices of the bonds.

About two weeks ago, weekly net outflows from muni bond mutual funds and ETFs soared to a record $4.53 billion, Lipper data shows.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 15, 2013

Wading Through the Bond Market Bloodbath / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Robert Hsu writes: If you're an investor who has been following a traditional income-style portfolio allocation that includes a lot of U.S. Treasury bonds, then you are likely having a very uncomfortable summer.

Indeed, since the Federal Reserve's "taper" narrative was first introduced to Wall Street by Chairman Ben Bernanke on May 22, there's been a virtual bloodbath in the bond market.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 12, 2013

How to Play the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Rout / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: This week Goldman Sachs forecast that 10-year Treasury yields would reach 3% by the end of this year and 4% by 2016. Of course, Goldman doesn’t have a crystal ball, and neither do we.

But the bloom is clearly off the rose. Ben Bernanke’s announcement last month that the Fed intends to end its $85 billion a month bond-buying program by the middle of next year has turned the $11.9 trillion U.S. Treasury bond market upside down. The 10-year yield has soared from 1.76% at the end of 2012 to a recent high of 2.75%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Meredith Whitney on Muni Bonds and Red State-Blue State Migration / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Frank Marchant writes: In 2010 Meredith Whitney made an earth shattering statement during a CBS's "60 Minutes" interview that rocked the municipal bond investment world.

"There is not a doubt in my mind that you will see a spate of municipal-bond defaults,"said Meredith Whitney on Dec 19. She continued, "You could see 50 sizable defaults, and 50 to 100 sizeable defaults, more. This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of defaults."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

How to Take Advantage of the U.S. Bond Market Panic / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Investors beware: the bond market is treading in very rough waters. The sell-off we have seen of U.S. bonds might just lead to more troubles ahead for the bond market. Just take a look at the chart below:

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 01, 2013

U.S. 30 Year Treasury Bonds – A Rally To Sell? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Noonan

Trading opportunities arise every day, however, quality trades that offer an edge do not. We use developing market activity, as depicted in charts, to find trade potentials with a defined limited risk and greater reward potential. 30 Year Bonds appear to be advertising weakness and a shorting opportunity.

When seeking trades, we use the “If, Then,” approach. IF the market does this, THEN we do that. The latter is acted upon only if the former requirements are met. Following this scenario, there is no guesswork or predicting involved, and the emotional element is not in play, either. Discipline is required, but it leads to more profitable trading potentials, so it is worth the effort.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 21, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Implosion Has Officially Begun / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

The QE Infinite parade officially ended yesterday when Bernanke hinted at tapering QE later this year or in mid-2014.

I first warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers about this in mid-May writing,

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

What the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Says About Likelihood of Fed QE Tapering / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

The big question on every investors’ lips today and tomorrow is: “will the Fed announce or hint at tapering QE?”

Over the last two years, one of the biggest tools in the Fed’s arsenal has been verbal intervention: the act of saying something in order to push the market up. Time and again 2011-2012 saw various Fed Presidents appear at key points to push the market higher by promising more action or stimulus.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Red Alert, QE Taper Talk Puts Bonds at Risk – Where to Hide? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Axel_Merk

Induced by “taper talk,” volatility in the bond market has been surging of late. Is there a bond bubble? Is it bursting? And if so, what are investors to do, as complacency might be financially hazardous.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Sell Signal / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

On reflection, the two weekly charts below should have been included in the equity market overview that I sent out yesterday (http://www.beyondneanderthal.com/equity-market-risks-are-rising-3/ ).

A significant “sell” signal has been given on the weekly bond price chart.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

U.S. Bond Market - If There’s a Time to Panic… It’s Now / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: I received several letters from readers concerning my recent column opining that the 30-year bull market in bonds is over.

Some asked if it was really that big a deal that bonds fell by 2% in May. The answer is yes. It is a big deal, especially when 10-year Treasurys yielded just 1.7% a month ago. That slight sell-off erased more than a year’s worth of interest.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 05, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bonds Will be Returned to Sender / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The USTreasury Bond is the primary vehicle for the USDollar. Nations do not hold the USDollar in raw currency form, except for the crime syndicates. They hold them in USTBond form, in order to gather some interest income. In the last few years, not few months, but years, the interest has been next to nothing, and surely far less than what it should be, given the risk and the nasty undermine to value by the monetary action by the central bank itself. Paltry interest aside, with all its unfortunate deterrent toward investment in USGovt debt, the USFed has been kicking out the value pillars for a very long time, far longer than the limit imposed loosely by Sir Alan Greenspasm of six to eight months. With the cost of money near zero, all markets are distorted, all assets improperly priced, and Gold marked for illicit ambush on a regular basis by the fascists.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 31, 2013

Is the US Treasury Bond Market Turning? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Simit_Patel

Perhaps the biggest macroeconomic event to watch for is the potential that the US Treasury bond market is turning south -- and that bond yields will rise significantly. This has many implications for the global economy, as capital flowing out of the US Treasury bond market -- the largest non-currency financial market -- will drastically impact values in other markets.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 31, 2013

Why U.S. Treasury Bonds Are Still the Worst Investment / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: Savers have had a difficult time finding suitable places to allocate capital from which they can derive income. I’ve previously warned against allocating new funds to the investment strategy of U.S. Treasuries, as this would likely be the worst investment over the next decade.

Now, it appears that investors are increasingly coming to the same conclusion that I stated several months ago in these pages: U.S. Treasuries are set for a significant drop in price.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 17, 2013

The Biggest Financial Bubble About to Burst! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Nothing is normal: not the economy, not the financial system, not the financial markets and not the political system.  The system remains still in the throes and aftershocks of the 2008 panic and the near-systemic collapse, and from the ongoing responses to same by the Federal Reserve and federal government.  Further panic is possible and hyperinflation is inevitable. 

“The economic and systemic solvency crises of the last eight years continue.  There never was an actual recovery following the economic downturn that began in 2006 and collapsed into 2008 and 2009.  What followed was a protracted period of business stagnation that began to turn down anew in second- and third-quarter 2012.  The official recovery seen in GDP has been a statistical illusion generated by the use of understated inflation in calculating key economic series (see Public Comment on Inflation).  Nonetheless, given the nature of official reporting, the renewed downturn likely will gain recognition as the second-dip in a double- or multiple-dip recession.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Warning: How the Bond Market Bubble Will Secretly Sabotage Your Retirement / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: A tool intended to make retirement investing easier may result in many Americans taking an unwitting hit to their portfolios when the bond bubble finally pops.

We're talking about target-date funds, designed to be "set it and forget it"-style retirement vehicles for people who don't want to bother with actively managing a portfolio.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Warning U.S. Treasury Bond Bull Market May Be Over / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: When the financial crisis took grip on the U.S. economy, investors fled the stock market and ran towards bonds—more specifically, high-quality U.S. government bonds. The reason behind this was very simple: they would rather invest their money in something where they knew their capital was safe than in the stock market, which was uncertain at the very best.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

U.S. Bond Market Breakdown / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_M_Williams

"Facts are the enemy of truth."- Don Quixote - "Man of La Mancha"

Last week we had the FOMC decision by the US Federal Reserve in which they said that they would continue purchasing US $85 billion a month with basically no end in sight. Aside from that they stated for the first time that they would consider increasing the amount purchased (QE) if the economy were to weaken further. So I don’t have to be able to read the tea leafs to know that puts the Fed squarely on it’s chosen path of monetary stimulus, or QE as it is called, where they go into the bond market and continue to buy debt while holding rates at zero. During the first quarter the Fed purchased 72% of all new debt issued, so you could say it is a market maker. Some might go so far as to say that they are the market.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 06, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Sell-Off Imminent? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: In its most recent statement, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) said it will continue to print $85.0 billion a month. With this money, it will buy $45.0 billion worth of long-term government debt and $40.0 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) each month.

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