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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 03, 2013

U.S. Interest Rates - Three Days Away From a Market Decision / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

By Monday night, October 7th 2013, the first chart below will very likely show a resolution. Technically, the probabilities favour an upside break of the 10 year yield. Note how the MACD histograms have been rising

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 01, 2013

Looking for a Bounce in the “ten-year” U.S. Treasury Note / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ed_Carlson

TNX is the symbol for the interest rate on the ten-year, US Treasury note. One observation which has kept me from getting bullish about TNX (despite the break out above the long-term trendline) is the level of the red line in the chart below. The red line represents the distance between TNX and its 200 day moving average.  Since last July it has far exceeded its highs at past tops in TNX (which is probably long-term bullish) but, not only did that level appear stretched, but it failed to confirm the higher highs in TNX seen in August and September.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Hidden Panic at the U.S. Fed as Flash Trading Hits Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The USTreasury Bond market breakdown is in progress, all part of the general USDollar global rejection that is taking the world by storm. Of course, residents inside the US Dome do not notice, since they only perceive it as the native currency. From conversations with common folk, discussions with investor types, and general observations for over 20 years, the Jackass belief is that only 5% to 10% of Americans are aware that the USDollar serves as a global financial instrument in contracts, the basis for trade settlement (mostly crude oil), with some extremely important consequences. A major development has begun, much like a metabolic life support system in concert with the Interest Rate Swap derivative contract. For two years or more, the USTreasury Bond market has been deeply dependent upon artificial demand derived from the derivatives. Entire bond rallies have been fabricated with 50:1 leverage, fully supported by the financial network propaganda. Without derivative flying buttress support, the giant USTBond Tower would have collapsed a couple of years ago. Now a new support system has been begun, a dangerous musical chairs long entrenched in the stock market. It has entered the bond market finally. Flash Trading!!

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 23, 2013

Madoff’s Ponzi Scheme Looks Like a Joke Compared to U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: The “Bernie” Madoff name became famous while the stock market was falling during the credit and financial crisis. He was responsible for running one of the biggest Ponzi schemes in U.S. history—if I recall correctly, it was a $65.0-billion scheme. But as the scam got bigger, Madoff couldn’t go on. He was caught, prosecuted, and sentenced to more than 100 years in jail.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

US Treasury Bonds Corrective Rally Could Forecast / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gregor_Horvat

I hate to say this again, but major pairs on the FX market place still have a very unclear price action and no direction at all on the intra-day basis. It’s probably “calm before the storm” ahead of highly anticipated FOMC press conference of the last few years, when Bernanke could announce tapering.  Statement will be out at 18:00GMT and press conference will be scheduled 30 minutes later. So until then we may not see a lot of price action today.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 13, 2013

Which Way Will the US Federal Reserve Jump? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Adam Green writes: The next 2-day monthly conference meeting of the US Federal Reserve is scheduled to begin on Tuesday, 17th September. Speculation has now been rampant for months about when the Fed will commence tapering its influential stimulus policies and what impact such actions would have on the financial markets. This article sets out to define the most likely possibilities. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Bond Markets Are No Longer Safe Havens From Stock Market Risks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Bond yields spike to a 2-year high

Two months ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he was puzzled by the upward surge in Treasury yields. And bond yields are even higher now, reaching a two-year high on August 15.

But the rise in bond yields - and the concomitant drop in bond prices since they move inversely to yields - is no surprise to EWI analysts. EWI's June 2012 Special Report on bonds noted: "If rates do begin to rise as we expect, most observers will probably be fooled. Bulls on the economy may take the new trend as a sign of economic expansion."

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 03, 2013

Bond Markets Offer No Protection From Stock Market Risk / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Bond yields spike to a 2-year high

Two months ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he was puzzled by the upward surge in Treasury yields. And bond yields are even higher now, reaching a two-year high on August 15.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Bond Markets No Safe Haven from Stock Market Risk / Stock-Markets / US Bonds

By: EWI

Bond yields spike to a 2-year high

Two months ago, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said he was puzzled by the upward surge in Treasury yields. And bond yields are even higher now, reaching a two-year high on August 15.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Monday, August 26, 2013

Will the Last Person to Exit the Treasury Market Please Turn Out the Lights / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pento

Wall Street and Washington love to spread fables that facilitate feelings of bliss among the investing public. For example, recall in 2005 when they inculcated to consumers the notion that home prices have never, and will never, fall on a national basis. We all know how that story turned out. Along with their belief that real estate prices couldn't fall, is one of their favorite conciliatory mantras that still exists today. Namely, that foreign investors have no choice but to perpetually support the U.S. debt market at any price and at any yield.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 23, 2013

Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds, Your No1 Choice for Big Gains / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: As I'm writing this, halfway through Wednesday's session, stocks are in danger of closing in the red for a fifth straight day. And this is all you'll hear about today.

Yet bonds are telling you the real story.

In fact, at this point, they are the next best thing to the Holy Grail if you've got the right perspective and understand what's happening.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 23, 2013

Major Bond Market Top, Dangerous Myths About Rising Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Myth 1 of 3: Bond Yields Are Rising Due to the Fed's Insinuation at Tapering

Editor's note: The following article is the first in a series of three, reprinted with permission from market-leading financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International. To read the full three-part report now, follow this link and download it for free

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Dangerous Myths About Rising U.S. Treasury Bond Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Myth 1 of 3: Bond Yields Are Rising Due to the Fed's Insinuation at Tapering

Editor's note: The following article is the first in a series of three, reprinted with permission from market-leading financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International. To read the full three-part report now, follow this link and download it for free

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Friday, August 16, 2013

Is the U.S. 30 year Treasury Bond Market Top Finally In? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: WavePatternTraders

After hitting my long awaited target, the reversal we have seen over the past 12 months strongly suggests a multi-decade top is now in for bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 02, 2013

Detroit Bankruptcy Could Shake Muni Bonds to the Core / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Detroit went bankrupt, but so what?

Its own decades-long gross political mismanagement, corruption and incompetence pushed the city over the cliff into bankruptcy.

Why should we care?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

After 32 Years Bond Bull Market is Officially Dead / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: I'm announcing that the 32-year bull market in bonds is officially dead. Be prepared for the consequences from rising interest rates in 2014. They could be catastrophic for bond market investors.

Higher bond rates look enticing, like they'll provide you with more income. But as interest rates move up, the value of bonds goes down. It's an inverse relationship. The value of your fixed-income portfolio could be devastated if rates rise rapidly beginning next year. Start protecting your portfolio today.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

What the Detroit Bankruptcy Means for Municipal Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: You can't blame investors in municipal bonds for being worried about how the Detroit bankruptcy will affect the muni market - it's by a factor of four the largest municipal bankruptcy in U.S. history.

Last Thursday Detroit filed for Chapter 9 bankruptcy to seek relief for $18 billion in debt obligations, a debt driven primarily by years of soaring public pension obligations and shrinking tax revenue.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 18, 2013

How to Succeed in the Low-Yield Inflationary Bond Market Matrix / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Robert Hsu writes: In the 1999 sci-fi film, "The Matrix," the mentor Morpheus turns to the protagonist Neo and says, "Do you think that's air you're breathing now?"

The quote has become somewhat of a modern classic movie line, as the words serve to enlighten Neo that all is not what it seems in the world he perceives.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Mirror Cracks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

Michael Lewitt is one of my favorite credit analysts. If I want to know what is happening in the credit markets, one of my first calls is to Michael. He has been doing deep dives into some rather esoteric markets as well as traditional bonds over the course of his career, and he really understands what is happening under the surface.

In the latest issue of The Credit Strategist, which Michael has given me special permission to pass on to you as today's Outside the Box, he gets our attention right off the bat by comparing the recent big move in the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield to a comparable two-month move in 1994, a year that, as he says, was "generally viewed as Armageddon for bond investors." But in percentage terms, the 1994 move was only 20% over that period while the recent move was 40%.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Municipal Bonds: While Others Bail, It Might Be a Good Time to Buy / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Gary Gately writes: Investors have been bailing out of beleaguered municipal bonds in droves, worried that higher interest rates will drive down the prices of the bonds.

About two weeks ago, weekly net outflows from muni bond mutual funds and ETFs soared to a record $4.53 billion, Lipper data shows.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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