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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 16, 2010

U.S. Treasury TLT ETF Downmove Nearing Completion? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's have a look at the pattern that continues to unfold in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Very interesting and tricky set-up in the TLTs now. Let's notice that it plunged to new lows at 100.85 for the decline off of the 8/25 high at 109.50 and in so doing has broken the Apr-Sep up trendline at 102.15 (for a second consecutive session).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

If You Own These Popular Income Investments, Watch Out / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIncome investments are on fire right now...

Take the MLP sector as an example. MLP stands for "master limited partnership." It's a special corporate structure used by about 100 small companies – mostly natural gas pipelines. MLPs can make excellent dividend investments. You can usually expect to earn around 9% a year in dividends from them.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 11, 2010

U.S. Monetary System is in Serious Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is no question the US monetary system is in serious trouble and the situation continues to deteriorate. The smug elitist owners of the system are not getting the desired results and there is great consternation among the players. Since 1913 in running US monetary policy the Fed has had one recession after another and two depressions. The second one is the one we are now in. The Fed’s creation was mainly to end recessions and depressions, something obviously they have been quite unsuccessful at.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Is This Where the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Gets Into Trouble? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Marty_Chenard

Bonds prices up, bond yields down. Bonds prices down, bond yields up.

This is an important day for watching bond yields, because the odds are now starting to increase for an upside move on bond yields ... and that would mean down movement on bond prices.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

TLTs Should Hold / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Let's notice that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) is testing the 102.00-101.80 area, which represents the lower channel support line off of the April low (87.30), as well as the mid-August upside breakaway gap area.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Investor Fixed Income Feeding Frenzy, Bond Markets Hoovering Up Cash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMore than a decade ago, investors speculated wildly in dot-com stocks. You don’t need me to remind you how that ended.

Then a half-decade ago, investors went hog wild in real estate. That didn’t work out so well, either.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Investor Shift from U.S. Treasury Bonds and into Gold and Commodities? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the past decade, prices in Japan have been stable or fallen, in an economy where the central bank has pegged its overnight loan rate near zero-percent, and where 10-year bond yields haven’t climbed above 2-percent. Between 1991 and 1995, Tokyo spent $2.1-trillion on public works, in an economy that’s less than half the size of the United States, in order to lift its economy out of a severe downturn caused by the bursting of a real estate and stock market bubble in the early 1990’s.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Investors Searching for Yield: At Any Cost? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Kieran_Osborne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an environment with historically low interest rates, fixed income investors have been pouring money into longer-duration securities, substituting 3 and 6 month T-Bills with 10-year Treasures or bond funds. To an extent, this should not be so surprising: the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) extraordinary monetary policies have resulted in extremely low yields at the short end of the yield curve. Investors seeking yield have been forced out the yield curve or into increasingly risky investments in an attempt to gain higher investment returns. However, this is not a strategy without risks, both at the individual investor level and for the economy as a whole. Are the Fed’s monetary policies, combined with the government’s decision to issue increasing levels of longer duration debt, having the unintended consequence of stoking the fire for further financial stress?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

I Guarantee You'll Lose Money in The U.S. Treasury Bond "Comfort Trap" / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: You'll sleep soundly at night. Your neighbors won't laugh at you. Your pulse won't budge. But if you make this trade, I guarantee you'll lose money...

One year ago, I opened an essay with the paragraph above. Then I showed you why a certain trade was a foolish proposition, even though it appeared to be a "no brainer."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

How to Profit From the “Widow-Maker” Trade, Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Although we're in the midst of a U.S. Treasury bond bubble so big that pundits are calling for investors to short the government paper, resist the urge to jump in with both feet.

Doing so right now is nothing more than a "widow-maker" trade that will test both your patience and your pocket book. And yet, "shorting" the U.S. Treasury bond market is an opportunity you can't afford to pass up - so long as you execute the trade correctly.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

Exhaustion Gap on Yields Chart! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSummary: The charts are signalling an important change in market attitudes to risk – and by implication, the Fed’s attitude to risk. If yields are to rise from here it will be because investors in treasury bonds are expecting to incur capital losses. Why would this be? This article comes to the conclusion that we are heading for a period of tight capital markets. If money is tight, credit will be tight. If credit is tight, then, to borrow money will require the borrower to pay higher rates of interest to compensate the lender for his higher level of risk. If credit is tight, consumer demand will, at best, not grow and, at worst, fall. In the former case, we can expect a steady-as-she-goes outcome. In the latter case, the result will be a slow down in economic activity and a so-called “double dip” recession.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Blowing Bubbles, U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Charles_Maley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommon sense is the knack of seeing things as they are, and doing things as they ought to be done – C.E. Stowe

The American media is officially obsessed with sensational terminology when describing the financial markets these days. Nothing trends, it either explodes higher or melts down. We have “flash crashes”, a “new normal” and the frightening “double dip”. We also see bubbles about to burst everywhere.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

US Must Displace Global Treasury Bonds Activity / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Extremely low Treasury rates have been a boon for the Federal Government's bottom line, but they haven't helped attract any global interest in US debt.  Instead, nations around the world are cutting back on their Treasury positions, internalizing the financing of new debts and deficits.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 30, 2010

It is the FedOnomics, Stupid! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeth Barani writes: It was 1913, year when US Federal Reserve Bank was established. Coincidently, the 16th amendment on income taxation was also passed in the same year. America was getting ready to wage wars. Fed was getting ready to print (aka "create") money and supply it in plenty. All done at your cost.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 29, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Rally Hits Bernanke Brick Wall / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market continued to power ahead – until Thursday.  On Friday morning the All-mighty Ben Bernanke opened his mouth and the words of wisdom that were emitted have caused great joy and happiness for the risk trade and got the long bond futures to tank 2½ points on the day.  For a day it appears that Ben can walk on water, but I have to wonder how long before the deeply and increasingly disturbing reality will make this mirage disappear. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 27, 2010

Gold and Stocks Yield Relationship and Buy Signals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTime was, stocks were riskier than bonds and should have the higher yield. But then came inflation...

AT THE START of this week, stocks on the Dow Jones, Tokyo Nikkei and FTSE100 in London offered a bigger dividend-yield than you'd earn in interest from their local government bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 27, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Rally Tiring, Gold Moving Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat might Bernanke's speech have said or implied that triggered the market response that we have witnessed so far today? How about: Don't fight the Fed...The economy is anemic, and the outlook might be uncertain-to-poor, but the Fed will pump, buy, and do whatever it takes to turn it around. The Fed will keep short rates at ZERO for a long time, and force companies and investors to take risk....

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Play the Treasury Bond Market Yield Curve with New ETNs / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany individual investors spend their time thinking about stocks. Which stocks are going up? How high are they going? Should I buy now?

These can be important questions, but stocks aren’t the only financial market. So why do eyes glaze over when the bond news comes on? My guess is that people don’t understand how big the bond market is — or how much influence it has on everything else.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Marc Faber and Peter Schiff on the U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I've been saying for some time that the bond market is screaming for an imminent burst, now Dr. Marc Faber and Mr. Peter Schiff also spoke with CNBC on Aug. 23 warning of a bond bubble trouble.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Spike High for Treasuries / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Based on my near- and intermediate-term work, the patter and momentum configuration in the iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas Bond ETF (TLT) argue that the price structure hit a spike high this morning at 109.50, reflecting the flight to safety surge in buying of US Treasury paper despite the puny yields.

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