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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: US Bonds

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

I Guarantee You'll Lose Money in The U.S. Treasury Bond "Comfort Trap" / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: You'll sleep soundly at night. Your neighbors won't laugh at you. Your pulse won't budge. But if you make this trade, I guarantee you'll lose money...

One year ago, I opened an essay with the paragraph above. Then I showed you why a certain trade was a foolish proposition, even though it appeared to be a "no brainer."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

How to Profit From the “Widow-Maker” Trade, Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Although we're in the midst of a U.S. Treasury bond bubble so big that pundits are calling for investors to short the government paper, resist the urge to jump in with both feet.

Doing so right now is nothing more than a "widow-maker" trade that will test both your patience and your pocket book. And yet, "shorting" the U.S. Treasury bond market is an opportunity you can't afford to pass up - so long as you execute the trade correctly.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

Exhaustion Gap on Yields Chart! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSummary: The charts are signalling an important change in market attitudes to risk – and by implication, the Fed’s attitude to risk. If yields are to rise from here it will be because investors in treasury bonds are expecting to incur capital losses. Why would this be? This article comes to the conclusion that we are heading for a period of tight capital markets. If money is tight, credit will be tight. If credit is tight, then, to borrow money will require the borrower to pay higher rates of interest to compensate the lender for his higher level of risk. If credit is tight, consumer demand will, at best, not grow and, at worst, fall. In the former case, we can expect a steady-as-she-goes outcome. In the latter case, the result will be a slow down in economic activity and a so-called “double dip” recession.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Blowing Bubbles, U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Charles_Maley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommon sense is the knack of seeing things as they are, and doing things as they ought to be done – C.E. Stowe

The American media is officially obsessed with sensational terminology when describing the financial markets these days. Nothing trends, it either explodes higher or melts down. We have “flash crashes”, a “new normal” and the frightening “double dip”. We also see bubbles about to burst everywhere.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

US Must Displace Global Treasury Bonds Activity / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Extremely low Treasury rates have been a boon for the Federal Government's bottom line, but they haven't helped attract any global interest in US debt.  Instead, nations around the world are cutting back on their Treasury positions, internalizing the financing of new debts and deficits.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 30, 2010

It is the FedOnomics, Stupid! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeth Barani writes: It was 1913, year when US Federal Reserve Bank was established. Coincidently, the 16th amendment on income taxation was also passed in the same year. America was getting ready to wage wars. Fed was getting ready to print (aka "create") money and supply it in plenty. All done at your cost.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 29, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Rally Hits Bernanke Brick Wall / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market continued to power ahead – until Thursday.  On Friday morning the All-mighty Ben Bernanke opened his mouth and the words of wisdom that were emitted have caused great joy and happiness for the risk trade and got the long bond futures to tank 2½ points on the day.  For a day it appears that Ben can walk on water, but I have to wonder how long before the deeply and increasingly disturbing reality will make this mirage disappear. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 27, 2010

Gold and Stocks Yield Relationship and Buy Signals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTime was, stocks were riskier than bonds and should have the higher yield. But then came inflation...

AT THE START of this week, stocks on the Dow Jones, Tokyo Nikkei and FTSE100 in London offered a bigger dividend-yield than you'd earn in interest from their local government bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 27, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Rally Tiring, Gold Moving Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat might Bernanke's speech have said or implied that triggered the market response that we have witnessed so far today? How about: Don't fight the Fed...The economy is anemic, and the outlook might be uncertain-to-poor, but the Fed will pump, buy, and do whatever it takes to turn it around. The Fed will keep short rates at ZERO for a long time, and force companies and investors to take risk....

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Play the Treasury Bond Market Yield Curve with New ETNs / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany individual investors spend their time thinking about stocks. Which stocks are going up? How high are they going? Should I buy now?

These can be important questions, but stocks aren’t the only financial market. So why do eyes glaze over when the bond news comes on? My guess is that people don’t understand how big the bond market is — or how much influence it has on everything else.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Marc Faber and Peter Schiff on the U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I've been saying for some time that the bond market is screaming for an imminent burst, now Dr. Marc Faber and Mr. Peter Schiff also spoke with CNBC on Aug. 23 warning of a bond bubble trouble.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Spike High for Treasuries / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Based on my near- and intermediate-term work, the patter and momentum configuration in the iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas Bond ETF (TLT) argue that the price structure hit a spike high this morning at 109.50, reflecting the flight to safety surge in buying of US Treasury paper despite the puny yields.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Why Are You Buying a Stinkin' Bond Fund Now? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: You're guilty... You're busted.

But it's not just you... Everybody is doing it. Everybody is buying bond funds.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Is the U.S. Treassury Bond Bubble About to Burst? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: Bonds have provided a welcome safe-haven for investors seeking shelter from the financial maelstrom of the past two years. But now many analysts fear bonds have entered bubble territory and pose a rising threat to their holders.

The amount of money flowing into bonds is "probably not sustainable on a consistent basis" Joel Levington, managing director of corporate credit at Brookfield Investment Management Inc., told Bloomberg News. "Eventually it won't be sustainable. Whether that means five years from now or five weeks is a little difficult to tell."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

Self Fulfilling Prophecy: The U.S. Treasury Bond Trade / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 10 year T-Note is currently yielding 2.5%, and the Fed`s latest quantitative easing initiative is becoming counterproductive to their stated purpose of trying to stimulate the economy by encouraging more risk taking, i.e., private capital utilization seeking attractive return on investment opportunities. The issue is that Mr. Ben Bernanke and the Fed governors although great academicians have failed to take account for how traders and financial markets impact and take advantage of Fed policy.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 25, 2010

At Least Be Aware Of The Current Risk In Treasury Bonds! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMoney continues to pour into bonds at a ferocious pace, with investors confident they are a safe and conservative holding in the midst of all the economic and stock market uncertainty.

With last week’s further rally, the 30-year Treasury bond had its biggest weekly gain in price since May, pushing their yield down to just 3.66%. The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was pushed down to 2.61%, while the yield on two-year notes fell to 0.496%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds, The Fed's Biggest Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pento

I've made a living out of exposing economic fallacies, but there's one whale that I can't seem to harpoon. Even top-flight Wall Street analysts seem to believe that the Fed's doubling of the monetary base after the credit crunch has not had an inflationary impact on our economy. Their logic can be summed up like so: "The money the Fed created and dropped from helicopters has all been caught in the trees." In other words, the Fed is creating money, but it is just being held as excess reserves by the banking system instead of being loaned to the public. Therefore, the money supply hasn't truly increased, there is no money multiplier effect, and aggregate price levels are behaving themselves.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Why US Treasury Notes Will Eventually Yield Nothing / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor all investors seeking income, I have some bad news for you. US Treasury notes and bonds will eventually yield nothing. That’s right, I said it. “Zero percent interest coupons”. Many pundits would argue the opposite. And yes, the argument for higher interest coupons in the future is valid and sound. The US is currently following a strategy of debt destruction such that as I write, the nation is closing in on $13.5 trillion in debt. To see the number is quite startling. It is: $13,500,000,000,000.00. Mercy! The number is so large, most calculators can’t account for all the numeric placeholders. The number is so large, we now round up by hundred billions. The number is so large, the late astronomer, Carl Sagan, referred to really large numbers as “billions and billions”.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

A U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble? Not Likely! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy thoughts on the bond bubble can be summarized in two words: "not likely". When commentators have to tell you it is a bubble, it isn't a bubble. Or to put this in another context, name me one market top in the last 10 years where the commentators on CNBC where not imploring their audience to buy at the top. If anything, the commentators have this aura of incredulousness. "How dare bonds head higher and stocks head lower. Doesn't everyone know how undervalued equities are?" When CNBC throws in the towel and when they utter those famous words - "is it to late to buy now?" - then we can consider the possibility of a bond bubble.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Bill Gross Pushing for MORE Bailouts for PIMCO Bond Fund / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Stathis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTwo years ago when Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were collapsing, former Goldman Sachs CEO and U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson repeated the promise of “no more bailouts,” so as to calm worried Americans who feared they would be on the hook for hundreds of billions of dollars of toxic mortgages held by these GSEs. 

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