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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Forex Trading

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, November 24, 2008

U.S. Dollar Putting in a Top as Risk Aversion Diminishes / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is under pressure this morning after starting a holiday-shortened week about flat in Asia. Tokyo had a holiday today leaving a lot of Asian players on the sidelines making for slow and thinner trade; traders report that stops are building on both sides of the market after last week’s neutral close and Friday’s USD retreat. Equities provided a bit of lift to the majors as follow-on buying of Asian markets and Europe holding firm ahead of US trade. DJOA futures are called to open higher on Wall street which is no doubt keeping the majors on the offensive to start the day. USD/JPY rallied higher with equities as expected but was unable to clear above the 96.00 handle with any conviction; high prints at 96.09 were offered to cap the rate before heading lower.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Seasonal Currency Reversals and Implications of Zero Fed Interest Rates / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough currencies ended up adopting their usual path of following the swings in risk appetite, it's worth explaining Wednesday's earlier spikes in EURUSD and GBPUSD. The moves were a result of broad dollar selling (also seen in a $25 rally jump in gold) on reports that Iran was pushing ahead with its nuclear program. The International Atomic Energy Agency found stated an increasing build up of enriched uranium stockpiles, which could be converted into weapons-grade material.

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Currencies

Friday, October 24, 2008

British Pound Biggest Crash Since 1971 and USD/JPY Cycles / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSterling collapses by over 800 points (8 cents) to $1.5260, posting its biggest intraday decline since exchange rates became freely floated in 1971, reinforced by a bigger than expected 0.5% q/q decline in UK Q3 GDP, and a 0.3% y/y rise, versus expectations of a 0.2% q/q decline and below expectations. EURs decline vs USD is not as pronounced as GBP, hence the prolonged spike in EURGBP to a 2-month high of 81.00 pence from Wednesdays 77.5 pence. World equity markets are in virtual free fall, with trading on S&P500 mini contracts suspended for reaching limit down.

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Currencies

Friday, October 17, 2008

USD/JPY Strategy and Yield Curve Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleViolent volatility maintains its daily routine of aggressive swings, as US equities close 5% higher after more than a 9% decline yesterday, dragging risk appetite and currencies along with them. Wednesday's trading session saw a short-lived attempt for economic reports to reassert their dominance on financial markets before risk took over on Thursday. Market players were astounded by the fact that neither the 34-year lows in US industrial production, nor 18-year lows in the Philadelphia Fed index nor the record lows in the US National Association of Homebuilders' index dipping managed to bring down US stocks.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Don't Miss the Next Big US Dollar Move / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar has been in a long-term bear market since 2001, having bottomed earlier this year in March at USD 71, the Dollar has since attempted to form a bottom up until the most recent price action.

The following video presents my dollar view for several months.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Risk Aversion Drives JPY and GBP in Opposite Directions / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNow that US equity indices have erased all of Monday's gains less than 24-hours after the US Treasury's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie, we can further better deduce the extent of negative sentiment prevailing in US and overseas markets. We illustrated on Monday how the number of "up" days in US equity indices following the various interventions from the Fed and the Treasury of the past 9 months has declined over time. The Fed-backed takeover of Bear Stearns in mid March produced a rally lasting 2 months.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Forex Currency Market Forecasts for US Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

There is a reason why more websites talk about trading forex than trading stocks: Online currency trading is quickly becoming a mainstream activity.

Forex already is THE largest and most liquid market on the planet. Its daily volume is ten times larger than the combined daily turnover on all of the world's stock exchanges. And it's attracting more currency speculators every day.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 17, 2008

US Dollar's Dramatic Rise Helps Level Currency Playing Field / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crook writes: After a dramatic two weeks in the currency market, I figured now is a good time to run through the recent action. Plus, I'll give you my outlook for the major currencies making the most noise. Let's get started ...

A Good Couple of Weeks for the Buck
I'll keep it simple: The U.S. dollar and the U.S. economy have undergone no structural changes. Their relatively improved status seems to rest mostly on the worsening state of their major competitors — especially the euro.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Crisis Currencies Poised to Surge as Frightened Capital Flows from Risk to Safety / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: On various occasions in the past couple months, my editorial has tried to bring to light some of the bright spots, or shall I say "relatively less dark spots", in the U.S. economy.

Ultimately, I've tried to connect it to the dollar and its potential to temporarily buck (pun intended) its long-term bearish trend. Sometimes I've had it right, for a little while anyway, and other times I've had it wrong, or at least the market told me I did.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

British Pound, Euro Racing Lower Against a Resurgent US Dollar? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

The story so far this week was fired up yesterday via dollar positive comments from Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson (same old stuff) and monetary policy comments from Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser.

Bottom line: the US dollar zipped higher and is continuing its rocket-ride today.

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Currencies

Monday, July 14, 2008

Swiss Franc to Benefit from European Carry Trade Against British Pound / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ramp-up in credit risk in the market is huge. The pound is acting well today on the back of market risk.  But, in the recent past the Swiss franc has been the star currency that has acted very well on risk, for two reasons we think:

1) Switzerland still hanging on to some reservoir of safe haven status in times of global trouble (and despite severing its gold link to its currency, it is still has a larger gold backing than any other of the major currencies).

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Currencies

Monday, July 14, 2008

New Zealand Dollar Runs Out of Steam as Interest Rate Cuts Beckon / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: Last week I told you the U.K. could see a worse economic downturn than the U.S., and said that would weigh heavily on the British currency.

Meanwhile, one of my readers who resides Down Under recently told me that he's afraid to trade the Australian dollar.

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Currencies

Friday, July 04, 2008

Three Conditions for Day Trading the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Yvonne_L_Marchant

Low Risk - High Reward – Does it exist? My friend who lives in Perth , Australia , has just come back from two weeks surfing in the beautiful blue waters of Sydney . Can you believe it? It is meant to be the middle of winter over that side of the world! Needless to say he hadn't been doing much trading. So to get him back into the swing of things, I was telling him about how I trade the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP).

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Currencies

Tuesday, July 01, 2008

FX Forecasts: Fundementals Remain Weak for the US Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat began the month with an unexpected bang in currency markets ended with a not so unexpected whimper. Fed Chairman Bernanke's eventful speech of June 3rd to the International Monetary Conference supporting the dollar was seen as the possible end of Washington's policy of benign neglect towards its currency. But the economic fundamentals wouldn't play along.

US Treasury Secretary urged the Gulf States not to end their pegs to the dollar or not to even revalue their currencies against the greenback. Saudi Arabia conformed to Paulson's requests urging the rest of GCC states to do the same. And in order to make that possible, i.e. to combat the inflationary pressures of pegging their currencies to a falling dollar, Saudi Arabia increased oil supply by 200K barrels per day and even hosted an extraordinary summit in Jeddah where oil producers and consumers could work out their differences.

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Currencies

Monday, June 30, 2008

Aussie Dollar: A Short Set-up Developing … / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSometimes we like to give you a free glimpse into what types of trade set-ups we watch for and act on in our premium services. Here’s an interesting set-up that’s caught our eye ...

There are a couple things going on that are impacting the price of the Australian dollar versus the US dollar. Among them: interest rates, economic developments and the global risk-taking environment.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

US Dollar / Japanese Yen Low Risk Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe’re wondering: How credible is the Japanese yen risk-aversion play? Stocks have been less than stellar lately yet the yen has pretty much been sliding against the buck. That’s not exactly how it worked when subprime, credit crunch and writedowns were the new buzz words on Wall Street.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, May 02, 2008

Learn How To Trade Forex / Currency Markets- Video Lesson / InvestorEducation / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Watch Jim Martens, Senior Currency Strategist at Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm, give tips on how to trade forex with Elliott wave analysis – FREE. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Forex Currency Market Strategy EURNZD, AUDCAD, EURCAD, CADJPY, USDJPY / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe surging euro hasn't only been a case of broad dollar weakness but also of improving confidence in the Euro zone's biggest economy as the currency posted broad gains even versus the soaring Aussie, Kiwi and loonie.

Our FX Charts strategy yesterday was bullish EURGBP, EURCAD and bearish USDJPY. EURGBP pushed up from 0.7545 to 0.7616, surpassing our 0.7575 objective. EURCAD bounced off its 1.4684 low to 1.4849, exceeding our 1.4780 objective. USDJPY dropped from 107.77 to 106, reaching towards 105.98 and overshooting our 106.80 target.

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Currency Market Strategy and Forecasts for February 2008 / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe expect the dollar and the yen to emerge as the broad winners in February, dragging the European and antipodean currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) lower amid deepening signs of a slowdown in the Eurozone and the UK , and further reduction in global risk appetite. We do not anticipate the Fed to be forced into an inter-meeting rate cut this month partly due to Fed Chairman Bernanke's scheduled Congressional testimony on the economy next Thursday, which will act as the next driver of market interest rates.

Renewed sharp losses in equities will inevitably trigger speculation of an inter-meeting move, but the Fed is expected to hold off as the past 225-bps cuts have yet to take effect into the full economy. We expect another 125-bps in fed funds rate cuts for the year.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 07, 2007

The Aussie Dollar Revisited / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Mario_Innecco

Three months ago we wrote about the fact that the Aussie dollar had broken through a key technical level in an article entitled Is the Aussie Dollar Ready to Take a Big Hop? . Today as we write the currency from down under is making a seventeen-year high at $0.8476. The 1990 high was at $0.8405 and the next big target will be the 1989 high at $0.8905.

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