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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Forex Trading

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

U.S. Dollar Under Pressure / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was a disappointing day today for equities traders as the follow-on buying seen overnight failed to inspire traders in New York today; the DJIA shed over 200 points near the end of the day putting pressure on USD bears. Crude oil lost over $1.50/BBL as well putting conflicting fundamentals in play for equities traders. The net result for traders in the majors was solid two-way whipsaw over the course of New York trade; EURO rallying to post a nine-day high at 1.3002 looking very much like a test of the resting stops rumored to be at the 1.3030 area untouched before dropping back as equities gave back recent gains.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

U.S. Dollar Weakens Amidst Signs of Easing Credit Crisis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHigher equities on follow-on strength from overnight positive stock prices helped to lift the majors against the USD with most pairs setting new highs against the Greenback in late trade. GBP regained the 1.4900 handle but still off the Asian highs of 1.5051 in New York; traders note that spillover strength from EURO is helping to hold GBP firmer. Additionally, cross-spreaders continued to buy Sterling on the crosses also bringing the upside in focus. Today’s close over the 1.4940 area is the highest close in six days suggesting a near-term bottom may be forming in that rate.

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Currencies

Monday, December 08, 2008

U.S. Dollar Two Way Action Following Interest Rate Cuts / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is lower to start New York after a quiet steady open in Asia overnight; traders note trading was subdued in early trade but appetite for the Yen crosses finally began to push the USD lower. Technical trade was the rule as no real unexpected news was released . Falling back from Friday’s highs the Greenback failed at several key technical support levels across all major pairs to start the week on the defensive. Equities were higher across the board with all major bourses in the black by several percent helping to support their respective currencies.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

U.S. Dollar Continues to Consolidate Ahead of Non Farm Payrolls / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite a weaker open and a test of near-term S/R the USD has recovered to post highs against some pairs as intraday volatility continues. Equities faded into the middle of the day unable to hold early gains helping to push the majors to lower prices in two-way volatility. Crude giving up gains also was a factor for lower EURO pricing traders say but for the most part the majors are struggling to hold support against negative sentiment as traders continue to wait for signs that the financial crisis is mitigating.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

US Dollar Strength Likely to Stall Due to Dismal Fundamentals / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFalling equities, weaker US economic data and fear of larger than expected rate cuts by the ECB and the ECB later this week kept the pressure on the majors today as GBP, EURO, Swissy and CAD gave back recent gains. Traders note stops were part of today’s trade but thin conditions remained a contributing factor likely making the moves a bit bigger than would normally be the case.

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Currencies

Monday, December 01, 2008

US Dollar Strong on Seasonal Tendencies / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is mixed in early New York after trading two-way and technical during the holiday shortened week. Traders note that a weak start to the week in Gold and Crude Oil is helping to support the USD overnight. Traders note the USD is holding roughly within existing ranges but that some stops were noted as the EURO and GBP crossed last weeks’ opening range suggesting some technical trading continues in two-way action.Poor UK economic data pressured GBP in overnight action pushing the rate to a low print of 1.5010 in late European trade; traders note stops on a break of the 1.5120 area in size.

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Currencies

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

U.S. Dollar Continues to Sketch in a Significant Top / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD continued to slide today after the release of benign US Q3 GDP estimates; traders note that early USD strength was stop-driven on low volume suggesting that the Greenback is running out of committed buyers as we head into a holiday shortened week. Analysts remind that year-end book-squaring will likely add a bit of pressure to the USD and technical factors are not positive after the turnaround seen the past 72 hours or so.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

U.S. Fed's Quantitative Easing Extends Dollar Seasonal Reversals / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday's latest liquidity drive from the Federal Reserve gives a fresh jolt to risk-seeking trades, extending my scenario of seasonal reversals in currency and commodity markets put forth last week , typical of the last 5-6 weeks of the calendar year, whereby markets reverse the flows prevailing in Sept and Oct. In this case, the lower yielding dollar and yen sustain fresh damage, reversing the gains posted in Oct and Sept. Such reversal is seen prolonged into mid December.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

U.S. Dollar Continues to Slide as Equities Rally / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD continued to slide into late afternoon trade pushing the majors to late highs as equities continued to climb posting solid gains and holding them into the close. Traders note that much of the day’s action was driven by stops as the majors climbed to new weekly highs in some pairs. Major support/resistance in several pairs helped to drive fresh USD selling as well and the speculation is high that the USD will face follow-on long-liquidation into Tuesday’s trade.

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Currencies

Monday, November 24, 2008

U.S. Dollar Putting in a Top as Risk Aversion Diminishes / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: ForexPros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe USD is under pressure this morning after starting a holiday-shortened week about flat in Asia. Tokyo had a holiday today leaving a lot of Asian players on the sidelines making for slow and thinner trade; traders report that stops are building on both sides of the market after last week’s neutral close and Friday’s USD retreat. Equities provided a bit of lift to the majors as follow-on buying of Asian markets and Europe holding firm ahead of US trade. DJOA futures are called to open higher on Wall street which is no doubt keeping the majors on the offensive to start the day. USD/JPY rallied higher with equities as expected but was unable to clear above the 96.00 handle with any conviction; high prints at 96.09 were offered to cap the rate before heading lower.

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Currencies

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Seasonal Currency Reversals and Implications of Zero Fed Interest Rates / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough currencies ended up adopting their usual path of following the swings in risk appetite, it's worth explaining Wednesday's earlier spikes in EURUSD and GBPUSD. The moves were a result of broad dollar selling (also seen in a $25 rally jump in gold) on reports that Iran was pushing ahead with its nuclear program. The International Atomic Energy Agency found stated an increasing build up of enriched uranium stockpiles, which could be converted into weapons-grade material.

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Currencies

Friday, October 24, 2008

British Pound Biggest Crash Since 1971 and USD/JPY Cycles / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSterling collapses by over 800 points (8 cents) to $1.5260, posting its biggest intraday decline since exchange rates became freely floated in 1971, reinforced by a bigger than expected 0.5% q/q decline in UK Q3 GDP, and a 0.3% y/y rise, versus expectations of a 0.2% q/q decline and below expectations. EURs decline vs USD is not as pronounced as GBP, hence the prolonged spike in EURGBP to a 2-month high of 81.00 pence from Wednesdays 77.5 pence. World equity markets are in virtual free fall, with trading on S&P500 mini contracts suspended for reaching limit down.

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Currencies

Friday, October 17, 2008

USD/JPY Strategy and Yield Curve Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleViolent volatility maintains its daily routine of aggressive swings, as US equities close 5% higher after more than a 9% decline yesterday, dragging risk appetite and currencies along with them. Wednesday's trading session saw a short-lived attempt for economic reports to reassert their dominance on financial markets before risk took over on Thursday. Market players were astounded by the fact that neither the 34-year lows in US industrial production, nor 18-year lows in the Philadelphia Fed index nor the record lows in the US National Association of Homebuilders' index dipping managed to bring down US stocks.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Don't Miss the Next Big US Dollar Move / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar has been in a long-term bear market since 2001, having bottomed earlier this year in March at USD 71, the Dollar has since attempted to form a bottom up until the most recent price action.

The following video presents my dollar view for several months.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Risk Aversion Drives JPY and GBP in Opposite Directions / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNow that US equity indices have erased all of Monday's gains less than 24-hours after the US Treasury's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie, we can further better deduce the extent of negative sentiment prevailing in US and overseas markets. We illustrated on Monday how the number of "up" days in US equity indices following the various interventions from the Fed and the Treasury of the past 9 months has declined over time. The Fed-backed takeover of Bear Stearns in mid March produced a rally lasting 2 months.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Forex Currency Market Forecasts for US Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

There is a reason why more websites talk about trading forex than trading stocks: Online currency trading is quickly becoming a mainstream activity.

Forex already is THE largest and most liquid market on the planet. Its daily volume is ten times larger than the combined daily turnover on all of the world's stock exchanges. And it's attracting more currency speculators every day.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 17, 2008

US Dollar's Dramatic Rise Helps Level Currency Playing Field / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crook writes: After a dramatic two weeks in the currency market, I figured now is a good time to run through the recent action. Plus, I'll give you my outlook for the major currencies making the most noise. Let's get started ...

A Good Couple of Weeks for the Buck
I'll keep it simple: The U.S. dollar and the U.S. economy have undergone no structural changes. Their relatively improved status seems to rest mostly on the worsening state of their major competitors — especially the euro.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Crisis Currencies Poised to Surge as Frightened Capital Flows from Risk to Safety / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: On various occasions in the past couple months, my editorial has tried to bring to light some of the bright spots, or shall I say "relatively less dark spots", in the U.S. economy.

Ultimately, I've tried to connect it to the dollar and its potential to temporarily buck (pun intended) its long-term bearish trend. Sometimes I've had it right, for a little while anyway, and other times I've had it wrong, or at least the market told me I did.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

British Pound, Euro Racing Lower Against a Resurgent US Dollar? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

The story so far this week was fired up yesterday via dollar positive comments from Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson (same old stuff) and monetary policy comments from Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser.

Bottom line: the US dollar zipped higher and is continuing its rocket-ride today.

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Currencies

Monday, July 14, 2008

Swiss Franc to Benefit from European Carry Trade Against British Pound / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ramp-up in credit risk in the market is huge. The pound is acting well today on the back of market risk.  But, in the recent past the Swiss franc has been the star currency that has acted very well on risk, for two reasons we think:

1) Switzerland still hanging on to some reservoir of safe haven status in times of global trouble (and despite severing its gold link to its currency, it is still has a larger gold backing than any other of the major currencies).

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