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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: CRB Index

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 02, 2018

CRB Commodity Index Chart Analysis Trend Forecast / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price has been in a downtrend since the 2011 high and the current price action looks corrective in nature. An ABC correction looks to be playing out with price still to put in a wave C high.

Bollinger Bands – price is back at the middle band and I am looking for support to kick in here.

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Commodities

Friday, December 22, 2017

Short-term CRB Rally Driven Mainly by Oil / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

The recent rebound strength in the Commodity Research Bureau Index (CRB) has been underpinned by only a select few natural resources.

The CRB having completed a basing pattern in Q2/Q3 has rallied largely on the back of a single commodity - Light crude oil.

Copper prices have also contributed to the rebound, but the heavy lifting has gone to WTIC.

As near-term futures contracts point to $61 for oil and $3.25 for copper, the rebound maybe short-lived.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Australian Dollar vs Japanese Yen Signalling Commodity Inflation / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Submissions

The $AUD Australian Dollar continues to strengthen against the $JPY, Japanese Yen. All the commodity currencies are strong against the $USD also. Below is a weekly chart of $AUDJPY showing a break of the downtrend, a backtest and now price moving higher. We had a yearly cycle low last June, so the next yearly cycle low is not due until mid 2018, so there is plenty of TIME for the $AUDJPY to continue to strengthen.

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Commodities

Monday, February 06, 2017

CRB Commodities Index Deep Dive / Commodities / CRB Index

By: SurfCity

If you are going to trade the commodity sector, you had best follow the USD, which is why I do. If I am correct that the USD’s longer 15 Year Super Cycle is toping in 2017, then the CRB will be a fun sector where we will focus.

With respect to Weinstein’s 4 Stage Model, here is a great site that is the best I have found that covers his model quite well.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 21, 2016

US Dollar's Rise Spells the End of Commodities' Run / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

A steady stream of strengthening fundamentals are driving the U.S. dollar higher. Healthier data from jobs, consumer spending and housing have put a tailwind on the greenback.

Moreover, America's economy is outperforming the weaker economies aboard. And this is setting a backdrop for improved prospects for another rate hike in the months ahead.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 14, 2016

The Scariest Commodity Market Chart on the Planet / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Rambus_Chartology

Excerpt from Tonight's Wednesday Report

The implications of this 60 year quarterly chart for the CRB index is staggering if it completes this impulse move down which so far has been working out beautifully. Again on this massive time scale you can see an unbalanced H&S top that measures out to just below the major support zone at the bottom of the chart.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Ignore the Commodity Message at Your Own Peril / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Michael_Pento

The Thompson Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index (CRB) is back down to the panic lows of early 2009. For those who think the CRB Index says nothing about global growth...invest accordingly at your own peril.

If you believe this commodity crunch is all about some temporary oil supply glut, think again. There are 19 commodities that make up the CRB Index: Aluminum, Cocoa, Coffee, Copper, Corn, Cotton, Crude Oil, Gold, Heating Oil, Lean Hogs, Live Cattle, Natural Gas, Nickel, Orange Juice, Silver, Soybeans, Sugar, Unleaded Gas and Wheat. The value of the weighted average of these commodities is screaming one thing loudly: the rate of global growth is plummeting just as it was at the height of the Great Recession.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 14, 2015

Commodities on the Rebound / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Tony_Caldaro

The last commodity update, https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2013/05/19/commodity-bear-market/, detailed our bearish view on most of the sectors. Since then many of the commodity sectors have sold off during 2013/2014. This update will suggest some sectors may have just started Primary wave counter-trend rallies that could last for a few years. First a look at commodities in general.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Commodity Prices Set To Plunge Below 2008 Lows / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Austin_Galt

This analysis will cover the CRB Continuous Commodity Index, the US Dollar index and one of the main commodity currencies, the Australian dollar.

We’ll begin with the CRB Continuous Commodity Index which comprises a mixture of components from sectors including energy, metals, soft commodities and agriculture.

Let’s take a top down approach to the analysis beginning with the yearly chart.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Tradable Rally in Commodities / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Ed_Carlson

Throughout 2014 my commentaries warned of no bottom in commodities until near year-end. Gold got an early start in November but, looking at the S&P GS commodity index, it appears the remainder of that group found a low in January. However, while this may be a tradable rally, cycles point to the bear market getting started again by later this year.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 05, 2014

CRB Heading into its Three Year Cycle Low / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Toby_Connor

Now that oil has made a lower intermediate low warning bells are ringing that the commodity complex has more than likely begun the move down into its three-year cycle low. That bottom isn’t due until May or June of next year at the earliest.

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Commodities

Friday, June 29, 2012

CRB Commodities Index Just Formed a Final Three Year Cycle Low / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI think it's clear by the action in the dollar index this morning and the response by risk assets in general, that the bottom I have been looking for is here.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Climbing U.S. Dollar's Potential Impact on Commodities / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The most salient feature of our comparison chart between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodities Index (CRB) is the recent climb in the DXY off of its May 1 low at 78.60 towards another test of a 2-year resistance plateau at 81.40/80.

If this plateau is hurdled, the DXY has the potential to trigger a very powerful advance into the 86 area initially and then towards 89-90. Such a powerful advance in the U.S. dollar could crush the commodity complex (CRB), which already is showing signs of stress as it breaks beneath its prior two significant pivot lows in the vicinity of 292-293 and is pointing next to 275-272.

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Commodities

Friday, July 08, 2011

Commodities Upleg and Correction Cycles / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThanks to their powerful decade-old secular bull, commodities are growing increasingly popular among investors and speculators.  Naturally the prudent ones are always looking for insights to optimize their timing in buying low and selling high.  Knowledge of this bull’s upleg and correction cycles helps define probability bands for future trade timing.

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Commodities

Monday, May 09, 2011

The Commodities Bubble Hasn't Burst, It's Just Taking a Breather / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: Panicked investors retreated from silver, oil and copper this week, leading many to believe the commodities bubble had finally popped - but experts say this bull market will pick up again.

The Standard & Poor's GSCI Index that follows 24 raw materials fell as much as 11.4% in five days, the longest losing streak since August.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 05, 2011

Commodities Bull Market and the Cheapest Money in History / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo the cheapest money in history played no role in killing the century-long downtrend in commodity prices...?

A LITTLE over three years ago, we published this chart here at BullionVault – now updated so you can see just how much mischief cheap money is causing...

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2011

World Non-Energy Commodity Price BubbleOmiX: Crash Warning / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a pretty little chart doing the rounds, put up originally by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic policy Analysis; that has been seized on by the Fed and her acolytes to prove that “easy-money” from that source did NOT cause a bubble in commodity prices, or perversely, by the Fed-Bashers to prove the opposite.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 12, 2011

The Commodity Price Rollercoaster and the CRB Golden Ratio Failure / Commodities / CRB Index

By: David_Knox_Barker

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommodity prices have been on a rollercoaster ride as central banks have pumped trillions in liquidity into the global system, trying to prevent a deflationary long wave debt collapse from delivering the economic coup de gras, and driving the global economy into a natural Kondratieff (aka Kondratiev) long wave winter season bottom. Commodities are the ingredients of global economic production; they go into almost everything you buy. Investors in commodities, stocks, bonds and gold should all take note of the most powerful resistance line the CRB Index has encountered since the 2009 bottom.

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Commodities

Friday, January 28, 2011

CRB Index Up Against Long Term Resistance / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

After a major low in 2009 the CRB Index started its recovery, a second upleg getting underway in May last year. Fairly steady progress has now seen the Index starting to test the next key resistance area, and we currently await reaction here.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Commodities Outlook 2011 Remains Positive / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Given a basket of commodities, as measured by the CRB Index, is up a healthy 9.72% this month, it may be a good time to revisit the longer-term outlook. While the daily chart of the CRB is showing some signs of short-term fatigue, the outlook for the next three-to-six months still appears to be encouraging.

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