Category: Recession 2008 - 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, September 04, 2009
The Economic Black Hole / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
have been receiving many interesting emails lately from all areas of the country, international as well. I would like to share some of them with you.
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Thursday, September 03, 2009
Keynesian Economists Push the US Economy Over the Cliff / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Chris_Clancy
Do you remember the old joke about a guy who jumps off a fifty-storey building?
As he passes each floor he thinks to himself, "Well … so far so good."
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Global Economic Recession And Low Carbon : A Complex Mixture / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Andrew_McKillop
Keynesian Boom and Bust - Like we know, the recent and continuing massive spending spree by nearly all G20 governments and their central banks, described as "fighting recession", is also called Keynesian. One important point is that Keynesian-type deficit spending as a way to fight recession was never applied as Keynes himself recommended and advised, simply because he explained it in such strange ways, and because the idea of deficit spending did not become official policy and mainstream economic thinking in his lifetime. To be sure, arguments can be made that 'the Bretton Woods world', creation of the IMF and IBRD, state economic interventionism and macro management, and sometimes micro management of local economies and sectors inside them, were all 'Keynesian inspired'.
Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Economic Recovery Underway But Double-Dip Recession Risk Remains / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Francois_Soto
Consumers Are Not Saving Yet - Over the last months, we have seen articles discussing the dramatic surge of Personal Saving Rate as % of Disposable Income and how America shifted from consumer-driven to saving-driven. Most observers forgot to mention Personal Saving Rate Ex Transfer Payments As % of Disposable Income actually kept declining since May 2008 and this can be seen on the chart below. This means such frugal lifestyle is not happening yet although it might occur in a not so distant future once consumers decrease their Financial Obligations Ratio, a measure of debt.
Monday, August 31, 2009
Consumer Woes to Continue as Confidence Slumps and Incomes Stagnate / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes: With unemployment hovering at 9.4% consumers continued to show reluctance in July as incomes stagnated. Furthermore, with the jobless rate expected to exceed 10% later this year, consumer confidence fell in August, keeping hopes of a sustained economic recovery at bay.
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Sunday, August 30, 2009
Mish on the Edge with Max Discussing Deflation and the State of the U.S. Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
On August 23 I was On the Edge with Max Keiser in a pair of videos discussing deflation and the state of the US economy.
Friday, August 28, 2009
What a Changing U.S. Savings Ratio and Chinese Falling Export Rate Tell Us / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
What can we learn from the insight that the U.S. consumer is saving more and Chinese exports are falling? The chart below from Bloomberg has an interesting story to tell. The yellow line represents the falling growth rate of Chinese exports vs. last year. The white line shows the rising savings rate of the U.S. consumer.
Thursday, August 27, 2009
Growing Poverty and Despair in America / Politics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Stephen_Lendman
In 1962, Michael Harrington's "The Other America" exposed the nation's dark underside enough for John Kennedy to ask his Council of Economic Advisor chairman, Walter Heller, to look into the problem and for Lyndon Johnson to say (on January 8, 1964) that his administration "today, here and now, declares unconditional war on poverty in America."
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Gloom Versus Optimism: Is the Global Economic Recession Over? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Global_Research
Shamus Cooke writes: Few would consider the opinions of the world's central bankers to be unbiased or even accurate. These self-proclaimed wise men of international finance didn't see the recession coming until it blew up in their faces — a blast that destroyed their credibility.
Monday, August 24, 2009
Death of the Consumer / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Moses_Kim
Moving forward, the most critical indicator of the viability of our economy will be consumer spending. Simply put, without a buoyant consumer, there will be no recovery. Due no doubt to the negative characteristics of consumer data, the death of the consumer is receiving scant coverage.
Thursday, August 20, 2009
O Obama, Where is the Economic Recovery? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Bill Bonner writes: Oh woe! Oh woe!
O! Bama! Where is thy recovery?
Yesterday, the world’s stock markets took a hit. The Dow lost 186 points…following a very bad showing in China.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
How to Profit as Consumers Tighten Their Purse Strings / Stock-Markets / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MoneyWeek
If you're expecting a brief round of belt-tightening before things return to normal, you'll be disappointed. It's time to get defensive, says David Stevenson.
A seismic shift is starting, both in Britain and America, in the way that people spend – or save – their cash. And it could flag the biggest change in consumer behaviour for 50 years.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2009
U.S. Heading for Structurally High Unemployment For A Decade / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are digging into the July 2009 Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices.
The survey shows that bank lending standards continue to tighten at varying rates by loan category.
Monday, August 17, 2009
Economic Recovery Foundation Built on Sand / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Michael_Pento
A Brief Review - Instead of allowing a cathartic and reconciling recession to run its course, the Fed decided last year to again bail out the economy by greatly expanding the money supply. In this latest case of artificial intervention, the expansion in the monetary base was a record-breaking trillion dollars, but that intervention has abated in the last few months. What should become clear fairly soon is that the apparent recovery in the markets and the economy has been built primarily on the devaluation of the US dollar, not from a healing of the economy’s fundamentals. That clarity will become evident once the dollar begins to make a brief rebound.
Sunday, August 16, 2009
Recession Ending, Celebrate Economic Growth in Third Quarter / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
We had been expecting that real economic growth would emerge in the fourth quarter of this year, coinciding with the celebrations of the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays. We now think that it might emerge, albeit, just barely, in the third quarter, in time for the Labor Day celebration - although labor will have little to celebrate. We arrive at this conclusion from observing some economic variables that typically signal the end of a recession. And these economic variables are subject to little, if any, revisions.
Friday, August 14, 2009
Peas In The Deflationary Economic Pod / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
In the face of mounting job losses with the only real demand coming from cash for clunkers and other silly stimulus programs doomed to fail, it should not be surprising to anyone for retail sales to drop. Nonetheless, Bloomberg notes the following surprise: Sales Unexpectedly Decrease as Job Losses Mount.
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Green Shoots Recovery Are a Mirage, Economy Will Deteriorate Further / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Moses_Kim
If there's one thing you can bank on, it's that the public will be controlled by emotional whims rather than rational judgment. I do my best to lay out the facts, and whenever possible, support my claims with hard data. When the characteristics of the the data change, my outlook will as well.
Thursday, August 13, 2009
UK Unemployment Continues to Soar Towards 3Million as Mervyn King Makes Excuses / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK Unemployment continues its inexorable rise by hitting 2.435 million despite desperate and unprecedented government measures to prevent electoral suicide that would accompany a 3 million unemployment figure by the date of the next general election due within the next 10 months. Unemployment jumped by 220,000 in the three months to May 2009 to the highest level since Labour came to power, with the jobless rate now standing at 7.8%.
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
No Economic Recovery, United States the Pink Slip Nation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: I don't know when the term "pink slip" originated. The term is at least a century old. It refers to a "your fired" notice.
The American economy shows no signs of reversing its relentless increase in the rate of unemployment. Jobs are disappearing at a rate not seen since the 1981–82 recession.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Expanding Balance Sheets and Monetizing Debt to Engineer Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo
Economy - Green shoots are starting to sprout all over the place - so say the talking heads, as they spin, spin, spin - adding new dimensions to the ancient craft of whirling dervishes.
When you go out to pick tomatoes or weed the garden this weekend, appreciate the natural beauty of green shoots and how they come to be, both in germination and fruition, and notice what fights hard to take over their place in your garden.
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