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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Global Debt Crisis

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Politics

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Strauss-Kahn, IMF Scam Fails, the Debt Crisis Crescendo / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen Dominique Strauss-Kahn, then director of the IMF, fled his Manhattan hotel room in a vain attempt to take an Air France plane to Europe, Roman Polanski style, he inexplicably left his cellphone in the room where he had alledley attempted to rape a hotel maid. The cellphone was of course loaded with a list of very interesting names and numbers, pored over by New York police and Federal US officials.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Sovereign Debt, The Biggest Bubble of Them All / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we turn from the crisis brewing in the US to the one that is coming to a slow boil in Europe. We visit our old friends Greece and Ireland and ponder how this will end. It is all well and good to kick the can down the road, but what happens when you come to the end of the road? The European answer seems to be to haul in the heavy equipment and extend the road.

I am asked all the time what my biggest worry is, and I quickly answer, the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. Of course, then we have to think about the Japanese Sovereign Debt Crisis, followed by the one in the US; but today we will focus on Europe. The biggest bubble in history is the bubble of government debt. It is a bubble in a world full of pins. It will take a great deal of luck and crisis management to keep it afloat, without wreaking havoc on the financial system and markets of the world.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Goldman Sachs Using Currency Swaps to Hide Greek Debt Iceberg / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy now, most realize that Greece used currency swaps with Goldman to hide debt. However, Bloomberg has some new details about those transaction in its report Greece Had 13 Currency Swaps With Goldman, Eurostat Says

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 18, 2011

Next Phase of Global Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greek Government in Denial / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Greek newspaper reported that Greece is in talks with the IMF regarding debt restructuring. However, Greek Finance Minister issued this denial "Restructuring is not an issue we’re discussing".

Last week, the media went gaga over a no-news announcement from German officials that restructuring was on the table. It should not have caused a stir because anyone watching the market knows perfectly well a restructuring is coming. Denials from Greece cannot stop it.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 18, 2011

Investing in Irish Bonds - Heads You Win, Tails You Probably Win Also / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Rory_Gillen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Irish government finally overcapitalises the Irish banks and then Portugal gets a bail out. In response, investors buy Irish bonds aggressively signalling, in my view, the end of the banking crisis in Ireland and the possibility that the periphery Euro-zone crisis ended with Portugal. A strong Euro is consistent with this reading. That being the case, there is an opportunity for all Irish savers and investors, and particularly pension investors, to earn much higher returns from Irish government bonds than can be earned from either bank deposits or An Post’s National Solidarity Bond.

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Economics

Sunday, April 10, 2011

Is Compounding Debt Mankind’s Kryptonite? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSilverDoctors writes: Throughout history, mankind has struggled to end the boom/bust economic cycle, and usher in a new age of economic prosperity.  The middle ages saw monarchy/ feudal/ serf systems.  Marx and Lenin believed economic prosperity could be achieved through socialism or communism- complete sharing of economic wealth and resources.  The modern Western world-influenced by the likes of Adam Smith, Keynes, and Friedman, has tried to achieve this through capitalism- the private ownership of goods with the incentive for personal profit.   The Chinese have developed a modern hybrid of capitalism and communism.  Hard money advocates believe fiat currency is the issue, and a return to sound money such as gold and silver will finally usher in the era of economic prosperity. 

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 04, 2011

Will Portugal Send European Debt Crisis Out of Control? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost Americans have no idea just how bad the financial problems over in Europe are right now. The truth is that the entire European financial system is teetering on the brink of disaster. Ireland and Greece have already received bailouts and Portugal, Spain, Italy, France and Belgium are all drowning in an ocean of unsustainable debt. Sovereign credit ratings all over Europe have being slashed in recent months. For example, a while back Moody's Investors Service cut Ireland's bond rating by five levels. Up until now Europe has weathered all of this financial instability fairly well, but now huge new financial problems in Portugal threaten to send the European debt crisis spinning out of control.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Europe Whispers “Crisis” While the Market Continues Screaming / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jason_Kaspar

Last year the Europe Union (and the euro) teetered on the verge of collapse when the Greek financial crisis strained the viability of the EU construct. This year, as other EU countries domino in similar fashion, no one seems to care – certainly not the markets. Portugal’s government collapsed last Friday, and Standard and Poor has downgraded Portugal twice in the last week from A- to BBB-.  S&P then proceeded to cut Greece’s rating further from BB+ to BB-. Yet, defying all reason, the markets have gone up.

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Politics

Friday, March 25, 2011

The Burden of Portugal is Not Debt but Education? / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Justin_John

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePortugal is the poorest country in Western Europe. It is also the least educated, and that has emerged as a painful liability in its gathering economic crisis. Wednesday night, the economic crisis became a political crisis as Portugal’s parliament rejected Prime Minister José Sócrates’s plan for spending cuts and tax increases. Mr. Sócrates handed in his resignation even though he will hang on as a caretaker until a new government is formed.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

E.U. Politicians Seek to Unload PIIGS Bonds / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince last Friday all eyes have been geared toward the catastrophe in Japan. That’s indeed understandable. However, there has been another important development with far-reaching implications that is worth discussing today …

While the media was totally focused on the Japanese disaster, German Chancellor Merkel and her European brethren insidiously decided to make a major change within the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), the EU’s euro rescue fund …

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 11, 2011

ECB Stuck in Sovereign Debt Garbage, Germany Sets High Price for Bailout Changes on Greence and Ireland / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLeaders of 17 eurozone countries meet on Friday in Brussels to discuss the sovereign debt crisis and the stabilization pact, but don't expect much of anything to come from it. Instead, expect to see a lot of bickering interspersed with agreements to agree on non-critical issues.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 28, 2011

European Sovereign Debt Crisis Wake Up Call for US? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: ECR_Research

Andy Langenkamp writes: The American fiscal condition faces a perfect storm. The outlook for the medium term has deteriorated markedly. Some important causes are the Big Recession and the extension of the Bush tax cuts. Nor are the projections cheerful in the long term. In the coming period these issues will come to a head.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 27, 2011

Ireland Crippled by Debt Votes for More of the Same / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen Irish eyes are smiling,
Sure, 'tis like the morn in Spring.
In the lilt of Irish laughter
You can hear the angels sing.
When Irish hearts are happy,
All the world seems bright and gay.
And when Irish eyes are smiling,
Sure, they steal your heart away.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 12, 2011

The Future Public Debt Trajectory, Projections and Drastic Measures / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Bit of Background
Drastic Measures
The Future Public Debt Trajectory
Debt Projections

This week I find myself in Bangkok, and I must admit to enjoying the experience a great deal, so much so that I am going to preview a portion of my coming book, Endgame, so that I can go back out and play tourist. Next week I get back to my more or less regular schedule, but I think you will enjoy this first portion of chapter six, where we look at an important paper from the Bank of International Settlements on “The Future of Public Debt.” It is not a pretty one. We are watching one of the last great bubbles begin to deflate – the bubble of government and government debt – all over the developed world. This is a serious weight that will be a drag on our growth, and it is interesting to contemplate as I sit in Bangkok, a city that is vibrant and teeming with opportunity.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 24, 2011

The Great Global Debt Shift / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Browne

If one were asked to describe the major global economic changes that have unfolded since the financial crisis began, a good starting place would be the massive shift of debt from the private to the public sector. Attempting to arrest a deepening crisis, governments all around the world have bailed out businesses and companies by transferring bad debts to the public books. Although these moves have provided some current stability (after all, governments are much less likely to default), the long-term consequences may be dire.

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Politics

Friday, January 21, 2011

Irish Government Collapses, Election March 11; How To Negotiate Debt Bond Market Haircuts / Politics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a fitting tribute to a disgraceful performance by Irish Prime Minister Brian Cowen in which Cowen crammed losses of Irish banks down the throats of taxpayers, his government has at long last collapsed. Six cabinet members (40%) resigned representing justice, health, trade and enterprise, defense and transport. Earlier in the week his foreign minister resigned making the total six.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Financial Chaos and Debt Default in the European Union / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBetween now and the end of the year, most likely in the fall, we’ll see major financial and economic problems in Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Belgium, Spain and Italy. Those events will sorely test Germany, France, Holland and Austria.

Over and over we hear announcements from Brazil of trade wars. Brazil is deliberately reining in their currency, the real, due to its strength. They have imposed reserve requirements on domestic banks’ foreign exchange positions. These are taxes on investments and de facto currency controls. Such actions are very good moves that cause indirect higher gold prices.

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Systemic Global Economic Crisis At the Crossroads of Three Roads of Global Chaos / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis GEAB issue marks the fifth anniversary of the publication of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. In January 2006, on the occasion of the first issue, the LEAP/E2020 team indicated that a period of four to seven years was opening up which would be characterized by the “Fall of the Dollar Wall”, an event similar to the fall of the Berlin Wall which resulted, in the following years, in the collapse of the communist bloc then that of the USSR. Today, in this GEAB issue, which presents our thirty-two anticipations for 2011, we believe that the coming year will be a pivotal year in the roll out of this process between 2010 and 2013. It will be, in any case, a ruthless year because it will mark the entry into the terminal phase of the world before the crisis (1).

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 17, 2011

Financial Meltdown 2011 Fast Approaching / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Midas_Letter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDespite the best efforts by the American mainstream financial media, the eager PR division of the United States Dollar Ponzi Scheme, to paint the rosiest of rosy pictures for blindly optimistic readers, the stubborn image of a debt-swollen jobless behemoth economy slowly toppling persists. No matter how much U.S. departmental data is primped, polished, and primed, no amount of lipstick is going to transform this fat pig into a princess.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 15, 2011

European Debt Crisis Thinking the Unthinkable, The Threat of the Irish / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed Adds a Third Mandate
A Rational Voice in Dallas
Thinking the Unthinkable
The Threat of the Irish
Has China Found a Miracle Business Cycle?

Last week, in the first part of my annual forecast, I suggested that 2011 would be better than Muddle Through, with GDP growth in the US north of 2.5%. World GDP growth should be even better. This week we look at what I see as the real downside risks to that prediction. Oddly enough, the risks are not in the US but on the other side of both our oceans, in Europe and China. Plus, we will visit a few other items, assuming we have space (Bernanke's recent speech just screams for some comments).

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