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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Copper

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, November 12, 2015

Copper Monthly, Aussie Jobs Soar, but Capex far from Done / Commodities / Copper

By: Ashraf_Laidi

It's not the first time an Australian jobs report shows employment growth rise five times more than expected. Whether it will be revised downwards or not, it is undoubtedly reflecting partial strength in the nation's labour market. Australia added a net 58.8K jobs in September; over four times expectations, the highest increase in 3 ½ years and the 3rd biggest jump over the last 15 years. Remarkably, 40K of the 58.8K increase emerged from full time jobs, while only 18.6K was from part time employment. The 231.7K increase jobs in the first 10 months of the year showed the its biggest annual gain since 2010.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 08, 2015

Dr Copper Back from the Dead - Time to Buy or Blink / Commodities / Copper

By: Sol_Palha

Anxiety is a thin stream of fear trickling through the mind. If encouraged, it cuts a channel into which all other thoughts are drained.Arthur Somers Roche

Once upon a time, in the good old days, before QE changed everything, any signs of strength from copper could be construed as a sign that the economy was on the mend.  After QE, this story came to an end, and a new reality came into play.  The Fed manipulated the markets in favour of short-term gains through what could be determined as borderline illegal monetary policy; a policy that has maintained an ultra-low interest rate environment that favours speculators and punishes savers.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Copper Bear Market Rally Underway / Commodities / Copper

By: Austin_Galt

Copper has rallied recently and I believe this to be the start of a significant bear rally. Let's analyse the technicals of the daily, weekly and monthly charts.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 27, 2015

Chinese Medicine not Impressing Dr Copper / Commodities / Copper

By: Dan_Norcini

Dr. Copper apparently does not approve of the prescription ordered by the Chinese authorities to stem the slowdown in that nation, namely another 25 basis point interest rate reduction and a lowering of bank reserve requirements.

The red metal cannot sustain any upside action for long before sellers emerge to whack it again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Dr. Copper is Speaking, are you Listening? ... / Commodities / Copper

By: Rambus_Chartology

Copper is an important commodity when it comes to the health of the world economies and how it does often reflects how strong or weak the economy is. Its been awhile since we took an indepth look at Dr. Copper to see how healthy it is so tonight we'll look at a few charts starting with a daily look.

The daily chart for Copper is showing it has completed a double headed, double H&S top, which is having a somewhat ugly breakout and backtest of the lower neckline #2. The smaller H&S #1 was picture perfect complete with a small blue expanding falling wedge for the left shoulder and a blue bearish rising wedge as the right shoulder. H&S #2 was very symmetrical as shown by the neckline symmetry line which shows the height for the left and right shoulders. Outside of the messy breakout and backtest, which happens sometimes, this chart is still very bearish looking.

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Commodities

Friday, March 06, 2015

China Copper Con / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

If you needed upwards of 50ml tonnes of copper over the next 5 years, and had very little production of your own, what would you do?

I'm thinking you'd manipulate the market like crazy trying to get everyone to believe there's a huge surplus instead of a major deficit.

How would you do it? Well, we can look at the last time the Chinese manipulated the copper market - they invited every analyst they could find and invited them to China. Showed them all a few warehouses stacked with copper to the roof. Why there was so much copper the ground was compacting said one guy, another said the stacks were falling over like dominos. The world bought the surplus story, swallowed it hook line and sinker. Headlines screamed 'China Has Enough Copper!'

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Commodities

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Copper Commodity Price Technical Outlook / Commodities / Copper

By: Austin_Galt

Copper got a bit of press attention recently with headlines of a plunge in price. This was in early January and I hadn't looked at the copper chart for a few days and I was gobsmacked when I did. A plunge they say?! What a load of baloney!! If that was a plunge then they are in for a big shock later this year if my analysis is correct.

But let's not get ahead of ourselves. Let's start with the small picture and then come back to the big picture which will reveal the likely shock in store.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 25, 2014

The Chinese Copper Elephant / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

Wood MacKenzie sees stronger prices for copper.

"Over the last 10 years, copper's annual average growth rate in demand has been 13% for China. The annual growth rate over the next five years is going to be 5%. Over the last 10 years, average annual copper consumption has been 600,000 tonnes, and going forward it's going to be 500,000 tonnes..." - Northern Miner

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Commodities

Saturday, September 27, 2014

The Global Middle Class and Copper Consumption, A Stop Spike Event / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

Population growth reports say we can expect, barring WW lll or a virus like Ebola going airborne, upwards of 11.4 billion people on the planet by the 2060s. There's just over 7 billion of us now. A possible 50 percent plus gain in our numbers over such a short time is going to put enormous strain on our abilities to source the needed inputs for survival let alone bring those in the developing world up to the same level of amenities that we in the developed world have or expect to obtain.

Rising global scarcity of minerals - the metals our industrial and connected society uses every day to sustain its lifestyle - is a subject we will all become very familiar with. That's because there's no getting around the fact we live on a planet with a finite resource base and a growing population.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2014

This Metal Problem Could Ignite China's Smoldering Economic Crisis / Commodities / Copper

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: China is about to step on the gas and boost bank lending once again.

That's despite both the IMF and World Bank thinking it's unnecessary.

But concerns of China's growth moderating and housing prices dropping 5% this year aside, this might be the real reason for renewed easing:

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Commodities

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Copper Is Pathological and Suffers from SAD, but It Has Value / Commodities / Copper

By: The_Gold_Report

Dr. Copper may be in a supercycle, but there are serious problems. In this interview with The Gold Report, Salman Partners' Vice President of Commodity Economics Raymond Goldie explains why even though the base metal acts pathologically and has a bad case of seasonal affective disorder, these six equities are priced below their intrinsic value.

The Gold Report: You are giving a presentation at the Society for Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration Current Trends in Mining Finance Conference called Diagnosing the Doctor, which refers to assessing the supply and demand problems for Dr. Copper as a way to understand what is ailing all the mining products today. Are we in a supercycle? What is the meaning of a sustainable supercycle?

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Depressed Copper Prices Presenting Perfect Buy-Low, Sell-High Opportunity? / Commodities / Copper

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: By now, you have probably noticed one phenomenon: the speculations regarding China’s growth are increasing each day. Turning on the TV or flipping through the pages of the newspaper, you’ll likely hear and read all about how the second-biggest economic hub in the global economy will tumble.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Copper Capitulation / Commodities / Copper

By: Ed_Carlson

Copper lost an additional 4.50% last week bringing the three week loss to a total of 9.68% - the biggest three week drop since October 2011.  Thursday’s intra-day low of 2.99 was only 0.03 from my price target of 2.96.

The Coppock Curve (not shown) has reached a level seen at previous bottoms in copper. Given the proximity of last week’s low to my price target and the explosion of volume in the copper ETF, JJC, I’d say that was the bottom of the decline in copper. However, if 2.96 is broken, all bets are off!

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Commodities

Monday, March 17, 2014

What’s Happening in the Copper Market Should Alarm You… / Commodities / Copper

By: DailyGainsLetter

Sasha Cekerevac writes: There is something going on right now in the copper market that should alarm you. Over the past week, the price of copper has plunged, recently hitting a four-year low.

Why should this matter?

Most investors and analysts are placing bets that economic growth is about to re-accelerate globally. Never before has the world been so interlinked, so we must pay attention to what is occurring internationally.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Copper Price Crash / Commodities / Copper

By: Ed_Carlson

It seems like yesterday that we were being constantly barraged with stories in the media of vandals ripping up and stealing copper pipes, wires, etc. from housing projects, airports and the like. With the price of copper down over 40% from its peak in 2011 those stories are few and far between.

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Commodities

Monday, March 10, 2014

Copper limit Down in Full Crash Mode, Commodities in Peril / Commodities / Copper

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

DBA has just completed a 65.6% retracement of its previous decline. This is a typical bear market rally propelled by shorts having to cover. This is why shorting the market can be a zero sum game, if profits aren’t taken early. On the other hand, this presents another opportunity to short agricultural products. The decline may be breathtaking, as DBA goes into a Primary Cycle decline.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 09, 2013

Copper Demand Catch Up / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

Until roughly 12,000 years ago - at least 90 percent of our history - we humans eked out a living by hunting and gathering. Our hunter-gatherer ancestors were replaced by farmers and herders who crowded into villages following the invention of agriculture.

Over the last 200 years a major resettlement pattern has emerged:

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Commodities

Saturday, May 25, 2013

Riding A Copper Commodity Horse / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

My last article, 'Give It A Doubt' was about population growth, urbanization in developing countries and the one billion people predicted to join the consuming classes by 2025.

"One billion people will enter the global consuming class by 2025. They will have incomes high enough to classify them as significant consumers of goods and services..." McKinsey Global Institute, Urban world: Cities and the rise of the consuming class

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Commodities

Sunday, April 28, 2013

Bad News for Copper Bulls, Trouble in China / Commodities / Copper

By: Investment_U

Jason Jenkins writes: There’s been a lot written about gold over the past two weeks and with good reason. But let’s be clear about something…

In our current environment, governments printing absorbent amounts of money will not translate into high inflation. And if you play gold strictly as an inflation hedge, you will get burned.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Why Commodities Traders Are Hoarding Copper / Commodities / Copper

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: The only thing that investors have heard recently about the copper market is that there is vast oversupply ahead as evidenced by a buildup in copper warehouse inventories globally.

Inventories at LME (London Metals Exchange) warehouses have risen in excess of 190% since October alone. Inventories are now at levels not seen since 2003 at more than 590,000 tons.

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