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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Recession 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Economics

Friday, July 28, 2017

One Of These 3 Black Swans Will Likely Trigger A Global Recession By End Of 2018 / Economics / Recession 2018

By: John_Mauldin

Exactly 10 years ago, we were months way from a world-shaking financial crisis.

By late 2006, we had an inverted yield curve steep to be a high-probability indicator of recession. I estimated at that time that the losses would be $400 billion at a minimum. Yet, most of my readers and fellow analysts told me I was way too bearish.

Turned out the losses topped well over $2 trillion and triggered the financial crisis and Great Recession.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 05, 2017

Asset Diversification Won’t Be Enough In The Next Recession / Stock-Markets / Recession 2018

By: John_Mauldin

Investment diversification may not help in the next global recession. Diversifying among asset classes will simply be diversifying your losses.

The entire world is getting ready to enter a period that I call the “Great Reset.” It is a period of enormous and unpredictable volatility in all asset classes. What do we do?

I think that the answer lies in diversifying among trading strategies that are not correlated to each other. And using managers who have a mandate to invest in any asset class their models tell them to.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 25, 2017

The Yield Curve Is the Best Recession Indicator / Interest-Rates / Recession 2018

By: John_Mauldin

By Shannara Johnson : Every investor wishes he had a crystal ball. But there’s one thing, says David Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff, that has predicted imminent recessions without fail.

Speaking at the Strategic Investment Conference in Orlando, Florida, Rosenberg pointed out that since 1950, there have been 13 cycles where the Federal Reserve tightened interest rates… and 10 of them ended in recession.

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Economics

Friday, October 14, 2016

The Next Recession Will Blow Out the Budget / Economics / Recession 2018

By: John_Mauldin

The odds that the next US President will face a recession during his or her first four years in office are quite high. Maybe not in the first year, but it’s highly unlikely he or she will get more than two to three years without one.

Given this fiscal reality and the dwindling number of arrows left in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy quiver, the administration will have a hard time dealing with the fallout from a recession.

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