Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, December 11, 2010
Stocks Risking Taking, Bonds Take a Beating and Gold Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A&P May File for Bankruptcy as Soon as Weekend After 151 Years in Business
(Bloomberg) Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co., the once-dominant grocery-store chain founded in 1859, may file for bankruptcy in the coming days to restructure debt, two people with knowledge of the matter said. A filing to reorganize under court protection may come as soon as this weekend, said the people, who declined to be identified because the matter is private. A&P hired law firm Kirkland & Ellis LLP to represent it in negotiations with creditors and in any Chapter 11 proceeding, the people said.
Saturday, December 11, 2010
Stock Market Higher..Getting Overbought Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market continues its slow and steady grind higher. Small candle sticks along the way aren't great, but it is managing to move higher. The up trend continuing, but unfortunately, the daily charts are all near, or actually at, overbought on those daily charts with stochastic's in the 90's and RSI's in the 68 to 74 range. 74 on the iShares Russell 2000 Index (IWM), or small caps, while the Nasdaq is basically at 70. S&P 500 and Dow right there as well. Grinding new highs as we move in to overbought isn't the best action for the bulls. We are making slight new breakouts but not in a fashion that suggests too much more from here. The NDX has major resistance at 2239, or roughly 1%, from here. Not sure we can get it, but you give the benefit of the doubt to the bulls due to the overall up trend in place.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 11, 2010
Inflation Cures What It Doesn’t Kill / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
The US and China seem to be at opposite polarity. The US rulers are trying to inflate the economy and thereby reflate the stock indices. China is trying to deflate the economy and thereby restrain their stock index. To Ben Bernanke’s credit, he has been specific about his desire to see inflation rise in the US. To his discredit, real inflation is already locked in with a rear naked choke hold that is turning the consumers face blue already.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 11, 2010
Exiting Fixed Income Bonds and Moving into Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A very quiet day, but the sellers are MIA -- at least for the time being. The enclosed comparison chart perhaps sheds some light on what is going on - bond prices continue to press lower concurrent with bouyant (grinding higher) equity prices, which suggests that money is exiting fixed income into equities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 10, 2010
Stock, Commodities and Financial Markets Forecasts 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Overview; Bullish and Bearish?! = Timing
“A Conspiracy of Whores
BEWARE: The financial news media is doing the bidding of the Federal Reserve and begging investors to take on more risk
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 10, 2010
Stock Markets End Week with a Whimper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I thought some uplifting music might help today as the markets have not been turning in a super performance this week despite a $1Tn tax cut/stimulus package pumped into it just 3 days ago. That morning, I posted Chris Kimble's charts from our Chart School and we were looking at key resistance at S&P 1,224, Nasdaq 2,600 (NDX 2,191), NYSE 7,751 and Russell 756. We're above all those this morning but what we're not above is my 11,500 level on the Dow. In fact, if you look at the Dow over the past 6 sessions, you'll notice we hit quite a wall at about 11,375.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 10, 2010
Will a Santa Claus Stock Market Rally Bring Christmas Cheer to Investors? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jason Simpkins writes: Seasonal market indicators are often spotty, but the so-called "Santa Claus rally" has some solid statistical backing.
The Santa Claus rally lacks a concrete definition, but the gist of the theory is that stocks perform well in December – particularly in the period between Christmas and the first days of the New Year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 10, 2010
Crash Silver, Buy JP Morgan and Prevent Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
The "Crash JP Morgan, Buy Silver " internet campaign has been gathering momentum for several months now as individual investors increasingly jump upon the rolling bandwagon by buying a few silver coins. The high profile proponents of the campaign include Max Keiser, Mike Maloney and Alex Jones amongst many others. Whilst they are correct in identifying JP Morgan as being the worlds largest market manipulator that continious to leech the life blood out of the US Economy via the corrupt institution that is the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank that literally makes unlimited funds available at JPMorgans disposal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 10, 2010
Stock Market Narrowly Mixed Close to Choppy Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices were narrowly mixed today and a little choppy. They started out with a gap to the upside and that was it. Basically, they reached their session highs in the first few minutes, sold off sharply in the morning to test support, bounced midday to take about 50% back, and then backed off to retest. When that was successful they came on into the close, but in the last 10 minutes backed off one more time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 09, 2010
Stock Market Indices Close Positive in Volatile Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a very interesting, volatile day with a gap up and a quick pop to resistance which failed, and then rolled over very sharply at that point and reached the session lows after about an hour of trading. At that point the Nasdaq 100 was around 2183 and the S&P 500 just under 1220. A 5-wave advance ensued for the rest of the session, and the indices ended up spiking up into the close, closing near the session highs going away, right at key resistance. Still, they managed to move into the plus column and end up positive on the session.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 09, 2010
Is The Herd Trading Gold and SP500? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Over the past 2 weeks we have seen the market sentiment change three times from extreme bullish to bearish and back to bullish as of today. Normally we don’t see the herd (average Joe) switch trading directions this quickly. Over the past 10 years I found that the average time for the herd to reach an extreme bullish or bearish bias takes between 4-6 weeks in length. It is this herd mentality which makes for some excellent trend trading opportunities. But with the quantitative easing, thinner traded market, and lack of trading participants (smaller herd) I find everyone is ready to change directions at the drop of a hat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 09, 2010
Stock Market Handle, Handle...Tiring...Appropriate... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
You have to laugh at how these handles can drive you crazy. They take their sweet time playing themselves out, that's for sure. When those measurements were made on the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq, I warned you an extended period of time was upon us to unwind and cool things off. From that perspective it has not disappointed. It's well in to its fifth week with seemingly no end in sight. It tried to break through 1228 yesterday, the previous top, but failed due to some very overbought short-term charts. It can move down 3% to 4% at any moment in time just to frustrate the masses further, including your truly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
The Dollar, Failing Euro and Volatile Gold and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
First we look at the Dollar index. The streets are cheering as the treasury yields have jumped in the past two days therefore giving the green back the boost it needed to snap out from last week’s losing streak but whenever you have extra hype which to us looks like a stampede we shy away from it for one reason, we aren’t strong enough to run with the stampede and more than often it serves us well. The hype is such that as if Green back is going to blow straight off the roof however, that hasn’t happened thus far. The Dollar index as we write is only marginally up 0.21% which hardly depicts anything but the hype.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Should U.S. Investors Fear a Japan Deflation Scenario? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
With Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve now into their second round of quantitative easing, a lot of investors are becoming increasingly worried about the U.S. “becoming like Japan.”
In short, they’re starting to wonder whether the entire U.S. economy is entering stagnation so deep that all the money pumping in the world won’t get us out of it — the very same condition that Japan has been suffering with since the early 1990s.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Insider Trading? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Interview with Larry Doyle at Sense on Cents, by Ilene
Here's the hypocrisy of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority* (FINRA); it dumped a portfolio of Auction Rate Securities* (ARS) before the ARS market froze up in early 2008. People are asking legitimate questions and FINRA is refusing to answer. When FINRA wants its questions answered, it knows how to get the answers through its subpoena power. Why won't FINRA fess up and be transparent about its dealings in the ARS market?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
China Stocks FXI ETF On Verge of Upside Pivot / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
A comparison of the daily charts of the Shanghai Composite, and the S&P 500 shows that each index turned up on November 29-30. The Shanghai turned up after a 50% correction of its July-Nov. advance, and off of its 200 DMA at 2703, while the SPX turned up from its sharply rising 50 DMA after a 30% correction. Both indices are acting very "technical" into year end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stocks Forecast to Go Higher in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Nu Yu writes: Technical analyses of the future direction of the U.S. dollar, the price of gold and the American and Chinese stock markets suggest that the near term pattern for each should be somewhat choppy but with a favorable upward bias for gold and the markets. Let me illustrate my findings with the following charts and explanations.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Investing 2011, Natural Resource Prices Will Be Key to Profits / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Martin Hutchinson writes: Whether you win or lose on your Americas-related investments in 2011 will come down to a single factor - natural-resource prices.
If the prices of oil, gold, copper and other natural resources are high, the hideous flaws in the economies of a number of the countries north and south of the U.S. border will remain hidden behind, as if by magic.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market 90 Day Cycle Complete, Technical Warnings Signs Brewing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In a prior article from back in November, I pointed out that the technical indications favored that the 90-day time cycle was in topping range - and was thus due for a short-term peak in the markets. However, that top was not to be made prior to the April high of 1219.80 SPX CASH being taken out to the upside. Below is the chart from that article:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
SP500 and Gold In the Last Stages of the Rally From July / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Elliott Wave patterns that I use to forecast movements ahead of time in the SP 500 and Gold for my subscribers have been textbook perfect for quite some time. We can go back to the March 2009 lows and clearly identify 5 waves up to the 13 month initial rally high in April of this year. This was followed by a clear ABC wave 2 pattern to the 1010 lows on July 1st. Right now, the SP 500 is in wave 5 up since July 1st, and that means this is a terminal wave underway before a good sized correction ensues.
Read full article... Read full article...