Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, July 27, 2009
Stock Market Head and Shoulders Pattern Failure / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
The dangers of drinking from the horse trough - One of the most talked about themes of the past few weeks was the supposedly bearish “head and shoulders” pattern in the daily chart of the S&P 500 Index. The financial press drew investors’ attention to this pattern in the most alarmist tones they could muster. A plethora of market technicians were trotted out each day to remind one and all that this “H&S top” was a precursor of a major decline, if not an outright collapse.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Yield Curve Points to Bottoming Process for a Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bond yields are often ignored when analyzing stock markets. Yet their movements can provide valuable clues to the bottoming process of a bear market.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Dow Jones IShares ETF IYJ Position Trading Update - Stop Loss Moved / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWN
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Sunday, July 26, 2009
Stocks Broke Out, Will Currencies Follow? / Stock-Markets / Forex Trading
Over the last couple of weeks, we have mentioned numerous times the strong correlation between the U.S stock market and certain currency pairs. Since the beginning of March 2009, stocks have rallied, restoring traders' confidence, while risk appetite has increased dramatically, pushing carry trades higher. Last week the S&P500 soared through recent resistance of 950, after approximately 40% of its components released their earnings.
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Sunday, July 26, 2009
Investors Place Bets on Global Economic Recovery, Propelling Stocks Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Goodbye safe havens, hello risky assets” seemed to be the theme during the past week as investors placed their bets on a global economic recovery, propelling stocks and other risky assets higher amid better-than-expected earnings reports and tentative signs of stabilization in the US job and housing markets.
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Sunday, July 26, 2009
From Stocks Bear Trap to Bull Market? The US Dollar is Key / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
A false breakdown has reversed sharply to new highs. Has a new Bull Market begun?
Since the last BBMR on May 25th, the equities markets have made a top, established a new downtrend and then threatened to break down out of a head and shoulders formation. The break was rejected with a violent upside thrust to new highs. Market action and technicals are suggestive of a renewed bull trend. Fundamentally, the economic data has generally improved and earnings have exceeded expectations in most sectors. Commodities markets, particularly the precious metals, have continued higher even as equities have stalled and the action in those markets are supportive of the reflation/inflation trade hypothesis.
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Sunday, July 26, 2009
Stock Market Breakout Move Underway...Eyeing 38-50% Retracement Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
All the major market indices that we track broke out in a big way this week through our important Neckline Pivots which now open the door for a move up to our 38 and 50% Retracement Levels. After breaking through the Neckline of an Inverse Head/Shoulder Pattern it's common to get some type of backtest move.
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Sunday, July 26, 2009
Don't Short a Dull Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: All of the major indices closed at multi month highs last week.
Short Term - The market action that I interpreted as a blow off a week ago continued last week.
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Sunday, July 26, 2009
Investors are Not Buying the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The "Dumb Money" indicator is shown in figure 1. The "Dumb Money" indicator looks for extremes in the data from 4 different groups of investors who historically have been wrong on the market: 1) Investor Intelligence; 2) Market Vane; 3) American Association of Individual Investors; and 4) the put call ratio.
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Saturday, July 25, 2009
Recession Investing With Sector ETFs / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
Ron Rowland writes: Right now the U.S. is in a deep recession. None of us know for sure when it will end, and the short-term indicators are inconclusive. Yet there is one thing I’ve learned from years of investing: The stock market is not just a big monolith. It’s a complex machine with lots of moving parts — and they don’t all move together.
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Saturday, July 25, 2009
Nasdaq Q's Poised to Thrust to New High Ground / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Despite the acutely negative earnings reactions in some big-cap technology names Thursday evening, the PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) showed incredible resilience and relative strength throughout Friday¹s session.
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Saturday, July 25, 2009
Stock Market Massive Insider Selling, End of the Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Execs at big banks aren’t worried about their paycheck.
JPMorgan Chase & Co., the second- largest U.S. bank by assets, will increase salaries for investment bankers, mirroring similar steps taken by rivals, a person familiar with the firm said.
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Friday, July 24, 2009
Stock Market Experiences an Amazing Two Weeks! / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Just two weeks ago, global stock markets, including the U.S. market, had been down four weeks in a row, seemingly ending their big rally off their March lows.
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Friday, July 24, 2009
Hey Professor Roubini! The Street Says The Dow Is Going to 15,000! Are They Nuts? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
We didn't hear much talk about that "dead-cat-bounce-sucker-rally" recently, and all those guys with those pretty brightly-colored P/E ratio charts and pages and pages of verbiage predicting S&P 500 going to 450 seem to have disappeared along with the “Gold piercing $1,000 and on to the stratosphere” theorists. Perhaps they are on holiday?
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Friday, July 24, 2009
S&P Stock Index Building into a New Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Friday, July 24, 2009
Yet More Corporate Earnings Bull / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Having spent the better part of two months humbled by resistance near 950, the S&P finally took the bull by the horns and went on a tear. The pressure had been building and the excuse was that 48 out of 59 major US companies reported earnings before the close ahead of expectations with Ford and 3M the star turns. But if you scratch below the surface things are not so rosy. Top-line revenues are not nearly as strong, earnings are still down nearly 25% on a year ago and Microsoft provided a soggy start to after-hours trading. Nonetheless, the top of the old range has finally been breached. Note the Nasdaq 12 day winning streak is its best run since 1992.
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Friday, July 24, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Low is Now Behind Us- Ignore the ‘Noise’ / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
The recent market action suggests that the bear-market low is now behind us.
Over the past few days, most of the stronger emerging markets broke out to new recovery highs. Furthermore, over the past couple of days, even the lagging stock markets in the West managed to climb to new recovery highs. It is noteworthy that yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average break through its overhead resistance and closed above the psychologically important 9,000 level.
Friday, July 24, 2009
IYJ Dow Jones IShares ETF Position Trading Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: DOWNRead full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 24, 2009
Will the Stock Market Retest the March Lows? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
This is a question that is not on anyones radar at this time, thats why it needs to be on yours. Because I believe we will test the lows and were going to do it soon. Why?
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
Wall Street's Love Affair with Ben Bernanke / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
A careful reading of Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's op-ed in Tuesday's Wall Street Journal, shows that Bernanke thinks the economy is in a deflationary spiral that will last for some time.
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