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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

Warning: Oil Crash Is Just Days Away From Triggering a Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The Oil collapse is about to trigger a crisis in junk bonds.

Oil has been going straight down for weeks now. As we write this, black gold is below $43 a barrel, down 16% from its levels a month ago.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

Did Central Banks Just Pull the Plug On Another Credit Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

Last week the NY Fed downgraded its economic forecast for 2Q17 to just 1.9%. Even worse, it is now forecasting 2017 total growth to be a measly 1.5%.

Yes, 1.5%.

There is a clear trend to this chart… and it’s NOT up.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

SPX and NDX meet Fib and Cycle Requirements / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may be interested to know that the current (or should I say past) Cycle took exactly 17.2 hours of elapsed time from top to top. It also made a mere 47% Fibonacci retracement.

The next move is a break of the Broadening Wedge trendline that, when triggered, forecasts a decline beneath the Brexit low at 1991.00.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 22, 2017

FAANG Is Now a Textbook Example of an Overheated, Unsustainable Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Technology stocks suffered from a little anxiety attack in the markets last week.

It didn’t last long and really wasn’t all that serious. (Yet.) It was nothing worse than what everyone called “normal volatility” 10 years ago.

But the lack of concern it generated this time is not bullish. More than a few investors seem to think that “nowhere but up” is somehow normal.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 22, 2017

More Stock Market Fluctuations Along New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Stock Market SPX Making New Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The bounce back made a 32.7% retracement which is a little suspect. However, we are now seeing an impulsive move to deeper lows. This may be a Wave (b) of the correction and could see a bounce back, but the further it goes, the less the probability of being a correction. It has crossed Short-term support at 2433.69, but may hesitate or bounce. A continued decline verifies the impulse.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Stock Market Is Headed for a “Minsky Moment”—It Can Happen Quickly, Too / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Economics has a lot of overused themes and phrases. One of them is highly relevant today yet forgotten by many.

It’s “Minsky moment,” the point at which excess debt sparks a financial crisis.

The late Hyman Minsky said that such moments arise naturally when a long period of stability and complacency eventually leads to the buildup of excess debt and overleveraging.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Stock Market Quick Airpocket Ahead, Gold Miners Look Good / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market is due for a sudden air pocket, likely from Tuesday to Thursday this week. My downside target is 2398 . We are due for the 10 week low from April 13, 2017.  The SPX is making an irregular abc type (y) wave top that is not being confirmed by stochastics or the MACD daily. Last time we saw this was May 16-17, 2017 on the 5 and 7 week low. The pattern is bullish once resolved.  We should see a final top on or near July 5-7.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Most Popular Auto Trading Tools for trading with Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, June 19, 2017

Today’s Stock Market Is Not Yet At Dot-Com Bubble Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

PATRICK WATSON : Worried about a stock market crash?

Valuations are high, yes, but not at the levels seen in the late 1990s dot-com craze.

A Leuthold Group study used the same measures to compare today’s valuations against those in the 1990s. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 19, 2017

Positive Stock Market Expectations, But Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Stock Market Higher Highs Still Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.

SPX Intermediate trend:  Correction over.  May be heading for about 2500, or fall slightly short of it.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 18, 2017

NDX/NAZ Continue downward pressure on the US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2432. After a decline to SPX 2420 on Monday the market rallied to 2444 by Wednesday. The market dropped to SPX 2419 on Thursday, then rallied to 2433 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.0%. Economic reports continue to be weak. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI, business inventories, import prices, the Philly FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, the Q2 GDP estimate, the WLEI, and the budget deficit widened. On the uptick: the NY FED and jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by leading indicators and more housing.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Crazy Charging Stocks Bull Market Random Thoughts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Sol_Palha

In the sphere of thought, absurdity and perversity remain the masters of the world, and their dominion is suspended only for brief periods. Arthur Schopenhauer

The proverbial question for many years has always been; when will this stock market bull end? By every measure of logic and or common sense, this bull market should have crashed years ago. However, it hasn't, and much to the angst of many professionals continued its march upwards against all the odds. We would like to stop here and state that this market is now very close to trading in the extremely overbought ranges.  A market can trade in the overbought ranges for an extended period.  In this instance, we analysed monthly charts, where each bar represents a month’s worth of data. Historically, a market has experienced a correction within 5-10 months from the occurrence of this event. As of yet, the markets are not trading in the extremely overbought ranges on the monthly charts, but they are very close to moving into this zone.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 16, 2017

The Market Effects of Another Interest Rate Hike / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Donald_W_Dony

Yesterday's much anticipated Fed interest rate increase has done little to change the mood on Wall Street.

The FOMC raised the Fed Funds rate by another 25 bps on Wednesday as Fed chair Janet Yellen saw the US economy advancing at a "measured" rate.

This is the 2nd time the Fed has increased rates this year and the 3rd time in as many quarters.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 16, 2017

Here’s the Investing Reason Active Funds Can’t Beat Passive Funds—and It Worries Me a Lot / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

I’ve touched on the issue of passive investing quite a few times. But this time, I want to show a few charts that illustrate the extent of the problems that are building up in the passive index world.

It is not just ETFs, but also index mutual funds and the enormous amount of pension and insurance funds, along with many trust funds, that are passively invested directly in stocks. They simply duplicate indexes.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 15, 2017

Counting Down the LAST DAYS of the Stocks Bull Market, at FIVE degrees of trend! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: Unemployment Claims, Empire State Manufacturing Index.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 15, 2017

The Retail Sector Downfall We Saw Coming / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector

By: Harry_Dent

It’s like a scene out of “Resident Evil.”

Sheets of newspaper scratch along the dusty linoleum floor as the wind beats them into the remnants of a bench… or through the open glass door and into the darkened, empty space beyond.

Escalators haven’t run in decades.

The air itself looks dusty.

Could this really be the future of the American mall?
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 15, 2017

With This Extent of Passive Investing, Even a Minor Correction Will Be Disastrous / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Last week, Doug Kass sent around an e-mail comparing today’s markets to Queen’s classic “Bohemian Rhapsody.” I know that seems odd, but it was actually a good fit.

The point is that, like the song says, “Nothing really matters” to whoever is buying stocks these days.

They just keep buying and pushing prices higher. Stock prices do go higher in a bull market, and sometimes, as the end approaches, they make value investors very uncomfortable.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Ultra-low Stock Market Volatility #ThisTimeIsDifferent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Axel_Merk

We increasingly see claims low volatility in the markets may be structural. Even as we agree that some of the analyses we see make good points, we are concerned we may be setting ourselves up for a major shock. Let me explain.

Before getting into the details about the current environment, let me make some general observations. In my experience, complacency, with its cousin low volatility, is the best bubble indicator I am aware of. Perceived safety gets investors to pile into investments that they later regret. When it happens on a massive scale, major market distortions may be created that can lead to financial crises. And as the tech bubble that burst in 2000 shows, even if there is no systemic risk, the unwinding can be most painful to investors. In 2008, however, the perception that home prices always had to rise had become engrained in highly levered, yet illiquid, financial instruments, causing the unwinding to bring the global financial system to its knees. In our assessment, however, make no mistake about it: assuming for a moment the next crash won't take down a major bank, doesn't imply it cannot wipe out much more of your wealth than you ever anticipated.

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