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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 14, 2014

Gold, Silver, Dow and VIX Market Updates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

Since my last report on gold and silver, both commodities have bounced from their lows. Does that mean the pullback low is in? Yes and no. Gold looks safe while silver looks shaky. Let’s examine both commodities price charts.

Let’s begin with gold.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 14, 2014

Dangerous Investor Choices - Black Swans on Final Approach / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

There are several potential disasters that could disrupt the financial and political status quo, much like what happened after an Archduke was shot 100 years ago.

Brutal Facts: From Simon Black regarding the experiences of US Navy Pilot James Stockdale in captivity in the "Hanoi Hilton" in the late 1960s.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Low and Expanding Risk Premiums Are the Root of Abrupt Stock Market Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: John_Mauldin

Risk premiums. I don’t know anyone who seriously maintains that risk premiums are anywhere close to normal. They more closely resemble what we see just before a major bear market kicks in. Which doesn’t mean that they can’t become further compressed. My good friend John Hussman certainly wouldn’t argue for such a state of affairs, and this week for our Outside the Box we let John talk about risk premiums.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Stock Market at the Precipice / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Afternoon!

SPX appears to be wrapping up its retracement at the 50% Fibonacci level. This is an irregular Wave 2 in the form of an expanding diagonal. Normally we see prices go to the mid-Cycle resistance, but the SPX does not appear as if it will go any higher.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Stock Market Pop and Drop May be in Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Pre-market is up 6.50 this morning, challenging Short-term resistance at 1940.77. This appears to be a retracement probe that may not go much higher. The SPX futures are up 4.95 as I write.

ZeroHedge reports on the effect of the dismal retail sales number.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Japan Economic Collapse - GDP Plunges by 6.8%! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

MORE FREE MONEY!!!  

That's all this chart says to traders this morning, who are taking the European Markets up over half a point this morning and are goosing our Futures by half a point as well as bad news is good news and TERRIBLE news is even better in this Central Bank-sponsored market. v

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Stock Market Two-Day Rally Ends with a Small Loss / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

A two-day rally in the S&P 500 was snapped today by a small decline. The index opened fractionally lower and spent the next hour struggling at the level of yesterday’s close. It then slowly zigzagged to its -0.45% mid-afternoon intraday low. A late rally trimmed to loss to a modest -0.16.

The big economic news this week will be tomorrow’s Retail Sales, although we won’t have an official deflator for Real Retail Sales until the CPI data is released a week from today.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Shanghai Composite Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Ed_Carlson

On the one hand…
Three weeks ago the Shanghai Composite (SSEC) broke out from a multi-year bullish wedge formation. Wedges imply a minimum move back to the start of the wedge which, in this case, would mean an advance to over 3,000 – a 36% rally! Whoo-hoo! A recent spike in volume, however, warns of a short-term top and the better play is to wait until a pullback has completed.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Correction could be over.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 11, 2014

Stock Market Rebound Change Of Trend Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,970 and a profit target at 1,850, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, following a breakout below recent consolidation:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 11, 2014

Stock Markets Keep Calm and Carry On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

At the end of July global equity bull markets had a moment of doubt, falling three or four per cent. In the seven trading days up to 1st August the S&P500 fell 3.8%, and we are not out of the woods yet. At the same time the Russell 2000, an index of small-cap US companies fell an exceptional 9%, and more worryingly it looks like it has lost bullish momentum as shown in the chart below. This indicates a possible double-top formation in the making.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2014

Are Stocks Finally Starting the Topping Process? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

With all the uncertainty in the world, and everything that could happen over the weekend, I think it's safe to say that the market didn't rally 22 points naturally to complete a swing low as we go into the weekend. When I saw the index futures turn from deeply oversold to positive as if by magic in the pre-market Friday morning I had a pretty good idea that the Fed was ready to put an end to this correction. By the end of the day it looks like they probably succeeded (at least for now).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2014

Stock Market Retail Investors About to Get Fleeced Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of  writes: Mistiming the Market

As a small addendum to our previous post on the market situation, here is a chart recently posted by the “Short Side of Long”. It shows the cash allocation reported by AAII, which surveys retail investors. Not surprisingly, retail investors tend to be completely wrong in their positioning at major lows and major highs, while generally not doing too badly in the middle portion of trends. That latter remark has to be qualified by the fact that they tend to lose their gains from this portion of a trend by being wrongly positioned at its end.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Dow Stock Market Rally is On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

The rally is on! Let’s get straight into it by looking at the daily chart.

I have added a Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) which shows a little bullish divergence. This week’s low was less weak than the previous week’s low. Also, notice how the RSI pushed deep into negative territory compared to the previous times the RSI came down during the bull trend. This is the first time it went so deep under the 30 level since the February correction low. This type of negative reading is synonymous with the end of a significant correction or the first swing low in a new bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Quite a roller coaster week for such a small correction. The market started the week at SPX 1925 and rallied to 1943 on Monday. Then it made a choppy eleven small waves on its way down to SPX 1905 on Thursday. On Friday it turned the whole week’s losses green. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.30%, but the DJ World index lost 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 7 to 2. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, wholesale inventories, the monetary base, long term investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Stock Market Risk is On the Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

Weak Secondary Stocks and Declining Junk-to-Treasury Bond Ratio Indicate the Stock Market is Ripe for Reversal

The following article is adapted from the August 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published Aug. 1. For the latest from the Financial Forecast Service, click here.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

European Stock Markets Look Downright Scary / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Sy_Harding

Here’s the situation.

The economy of the 18-nation European Union is about the same size as that of the U.S., with roughly equal impacts on each other and on global growth. Germany, France, and the U.K. are the largest economies in the EU, and the fourth, fifth, and sixth largest economies in the world.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Deflation’s Final Curtain Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Gold has once again begun to assert its safe haven value after the recent drop in equity prices. Last week’s Argentina bond default scare coupled with rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine have combined to spook global equity markets.

On Thursday NATO warned that Russia was preparing to send 20,000 troops into eastern Ukraine under the pretext of a humanitarian mission to save separatist rebels. Due to these concerns gold’s value has risen to a 2-week high. Gold’s rally is all the more conspicuous in light of the recent rally in the U.S. dollar index.
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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 08, 2014

The Dow Silent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters
Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999

Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 08, 2014

Iraq, Ukraine, Ebola… Global Concerns Rock US Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

PLENTY of things to worry about and we've ONLY corrected 10 points (7.5%) on the Russell – exactly what we predicted under our fabulous 5% Rule™! None of the other major indexes have fallen as far, so we continue to watch that line very closely for support.

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