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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Stocks Cheap? Shiller's Cyclically Adjusted PE Ratio Approaching Peak Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Trader_Mark

Most of the commentary in regards to the value of stocks looks at the 1 year trailing or forward PE ratio, and applies some sort of premium or discount to that due to interest rates.  Indeed with estimated earnings in the mid $90s on the S&P 500 and record low interest rates the market looks relatively 'cheap' at around 13x end of year 2011 estimates.  As always please understand the market is substantially more expensive than the raw numbers show as many companies take numerous exemptions for 'one time' expenses such as options expensing - which are of course not one time.... but Wall Street still is happy to exclude these very real costs in the game of "wink wink".

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Canada: Investing in the World's Safest Economy Can Put Profits in Your Pocket / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: When a March 25 "no-confidence" vote toppled the government of Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper, it also set the stage for a new general election.

This May 2 election will be Canada's third in five years and fourth in seven years. In light of the civil unrest in the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region - not to mention the financial problems that continue to plague Europe - it would be understandable if global investors added Canada to the "do not invest" list.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Stock Market Testing The Lower End... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

We test the high end of the range and we test the low end of the range. Back and forth with now another effort by the bears to bring things down to the lower end of the range. The bulls have tried several times to get the job done, but they have been unable to do so. Now the bears will get their chance. It would actually be good if the bears would succeed a little bit here, because it would ramp up some fear short-term and get that bull-bear spread down below 40% for starters. I don't like seeing there spread above 40%. Handles such as we're in now often serve to remove some of the froth in the market as more and more folks hear about the end of the bull market because we've stopped going up for a while. The longer we handle, or break down some, the more you'll get people thinking another bear market is upon us, which is not a bad thing for the bulls. Let's get this number down to 30%, or lower, in the coming weeks, and then I'll feel much better about things.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Stock Market Valuations Forming Second Biggest Bubble in US History / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Jason_Kaspar

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years (both in terms of the markets and the general economy), equity valuations are now approaching the second largest bubble in United States history, surpassed only by the technology bubble. Both the cause and the potential ramifications of this development are astounding. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Option Flexibility Allows Traders To Adjust Positions As Stock Market Changes / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: J_W_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“I’ve been hanging onto nothing when nothing could be worse” Heaven When We’re Home The Wailin’ Jennys

As an options trader, I continue to be impressed by the wide variety of choices available to modify a trade that is not quite going the way I initially predicted. This approach may be a bit unfamiliar to the trader whose experience has been primarily with trading stocks. The choices for a stock trader are really only two: open or close a position.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Corporate Earnings Projections, Stock Market Support, and Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarnings season kicks off in full force today with Alcoa Inc. (AA), the biggest U.S. aluminum producer, scheduled to announce first-quarter earnings after the market close today. Alcoa is the first member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average to report.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Currency Analysis and Forecasts for Canadian Dollar, Euro, USD Plus Bonds and S&P / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe daily chart of the Canadian dollar index is shown below, with upper Bollinger bands all in close proximity to each other and the index, suggestive that further upside potential exists. The lower 21 and 5 MA Bollinger bands curling over also support further upside. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K above the %D in 1 and beneath the %D in 2 and 3. Notice how the %K in stochastic 2 curled up. The daily chart suggests at least 7-10 days of further upside before any sort of top is put in place. A high Canadian dollar is going to have a devastating impact on companies in Canada.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

A Pivot Point on the VIX? / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Marty_Chenard

There is something important happening on the VIX that I want to point out today ...

Note, that we have a yellow, down slopping resistance line on the VIX chart that goes from June 2010 to April 2011. That resistance line was penetrated to the upside on February 22nd ... the very day that the market started pulling back.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Rising Interest Rates Could Jolt Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Stocks traded with all the precision of a baseball skipping into the Boston Red Sox outfield over the past week, which is to say it was pretty sloppy. The major equity averages settled near the flat line, but it was a mess getting there after the European Central Bank raised rates for the first time since mid-2008, there was a 7.1 magnitude aftershock in Japan, and Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN) bought a rival chip maker at incredible premium.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Was The Preview To The 2011 Blockbuster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Pallotta

The world is evolving a lot faster than I suspect most realize. The Fed has created the aura of a V shaped global recovery in the form of continually rising equity markets. Bernanke has created the mirage of prosperity. The unemployment rate has fallen below 9% as more disgruntled workers leave the work force. Paper stock wealth is up nearly 100% in two years. Indeed the Russell 2000 is up 43% since QE2 as the chairman has so eloquently declared.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 11, 2011

Stock Market Should Get Another Attempt at Going Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market

Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.

Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a bull market. Cycles and P&F projections point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 09, 2011

World Stock Markets Uptrending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA very interesting week from a worldwide perspective. All the foreign markets we follow: Asia +1.4%, Europe +0.8%, the Commodity equity group +0.7% and the DJ World +0.9%, were all higher on the week. But the US ended mixed to negative: SPX/DOW mixed and the NDX/NAZ -0.6%. Economic reports for the week were sparse but mostly positive. On the downside ISM services and the M-1 multiplier. On the upside consumer credit rose, along with the WLEI, excess reserves and the monetary base, wholesale inventories remained positive and jobless claims declined. Bond yields are now uptrending again, Crude soared 5.1%, Gold gained 3.2% and the USD is making new lows. Next week we have the FED’s Beige book, the CPI/PPI and Options expiration.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 09, 2011

Stock Market Gap To Gap...Hesitation At February Highs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

What a boring market. I'm sure every one of you feel the same way. This is what happens when a handle is trying to be put in place. The market finds an area of resistance it will struggle with, but also finds an area of support it appears it doesn't want to lose. Those lines seem to be clear, especially on the Nasdaq where we find gap resistance at 2808, which is stopping all rally attempts. We hit 2808 today on the nose for the high of the day. The bottom has two areas that come together as one. The 20-day exponential moving average is at 2759 with massive gap support at 2760. 2759/2760 will be very tough for the bears to take down and keep down. Today was boring at its best. After a gap up that tested 2808 we spent basically six trading hours in a back and forth market. Neither side could do a thing all day. They both tried.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 09, 2011

Stock Market Trends, Remember the Past Remember the Wolf / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Doug_Wakefield

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“The so-called ‘surprises’ of history have emerged not because other countries did not have information, but because they refused to believe it.” (pg 919) Carroll Quigley, Tragedy and Hope: A History of the World in Our Time (1966) 

Any serious student of financial markets studies the relationship between credit, markets, and crowds.  In addition, they are always fascinated by mathematical patterns that unfold in markets; math being used in our markets today more than any time in human history.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 09, 2011

Stock Market Seasonality May Be Especially Important This Year / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Sy_Harding

It’s that time of year again when I always remind you of the market’s seasonality, its proven tendency to make most of its gains between November and May, and experience most of its losses in the opposite period.

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