Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, December 16, 2013
Robert Prechter Stocks, Bonds and Commodity Market Forecasts 2014 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 16, 2013
Stock Market VIX Shows Biggest Drop Since Mid-August / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Submissions
Richard Cox writes: The benchmark index that is used to price US stock options started to show declines on Friday for the first time in eight trading sessions, as positive economic data supported equity markets in the early part of the month. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 8.6% to 13.8, which was the largest single-session decline since Oct. 16. The VIX essentially measures appropriate costs for the use of options as protection against losses in the S&P 500. In the eight-session span prior to Friday, the VIX has risen 23%, after valuations in equity markets rose to their highest levels in four years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 15, 2013
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Demise of the Social Compact is leading us to the next GFC / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
For those readers of my commentaries who do not look at charts on a regular basis, the price charts in the commentary that follows this one, should be a timely reminder of where we are in the scheme of things and how unrelated to the real world equity prices have become as a result. Risk is now at levels not seen since 2006 – 2008. What makes this situation even more unstable and untenable over the short to medium term, is that the Obama government, as part of their plan to destroy the US Tea Party once and for all by grabbing a majority vote in the US house of Reps on November 4th 2014, will be doing “whatever it takes” to keep the US dollar depressed and US equities on the boil. But despite this, financial markets are just too big and too fragmented to be totally controlled – even by the USA.
Sunday, December 15, 2013
Stock Market Primary Wave III Rally Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After hitting a rebound high at SPX 1812 early Monday the market experienced its first real, (not a point or two), week over week decline since late September. And its largest weekly decline since the last downtrend. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.65%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.45%, and the DJ World lost 1.45%. On the economic front positive economic reports again outpaced negative ones. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, export/import prices, the monetary base, plus the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the PPI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week is FED week, plus we get reports on Capacity utilization, Housing and Q3 GDP. Should be an interesting week before the following holiday week.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Stock Market Bummer! Losing Streak Now at Four Days / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short writes: At one minute before the close, it looked like the S&P 500 would snap its three-day losing streak. But at the Friday 13th closing bell, the index had tipped into the red, increasing the streak to day four. And the 1.65% weekly decline gives us the second week of losses (although the previous one was a microscopic -0.04%). The Dow and Nasdaq fared a bit better, both closing with fractional Friday gains.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Stock Market Upside Getting Tougher.....Complacency Soars....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Never a good thing to see complacency in anything we partake in during our lifetimes. It has a way of coming back to haunt us. Once we think there's only one outcome to things we get the lesson that there's another outcome sitting out there lurking and surprising us when we want no part of it. I mean, come on, things were so nice. Who needs this headache! When complacency hits the market you know there's trouble coming. We had a bull-bear spread coming in to this week at 43.9%. That is a very rare-reading indeed. You also know that we won't stay at those levels forever. There will have to come a time when we likely see levels back in the 20's again. So you have to ask yourself, how do we get there. How could we ever get back down to a spread with a 2 as the first number?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 13, 2013
Crisis Investing in Cyprus - Video / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno, Senior Editor, International Man
Recently, legendary crisis investor Doug Casey and I put our boots to the ground in Cyprus to search the rubble of one of recent history's most significant financial crises—the financial collapse and bank deposit raid in Cyprus—for incredible bargains. And we found them.
Friday, December 13, 2013
Financial, Stock and Commodity Market's Outlook 2014 by Robert Prechter / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
I may not be Santa Claus, but I have an early present for you this year. It’s actually 15 presents in the form of 15 charts of financial markets with analysis by Bob Prechter, the president of Elliott Wave International.
He created these charts – which cover markets like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, gold, and mutual funds – to explain where financial markets have been and where they are headed. These are not your typical price charts. They combine history and patterns to tell the story clearly, all from his distinctly different point of view. With this information, his Elliott Wave Theorist subscribers are now prepared for 2014. And you can be, too, because you can get the full 10-page issue, FREE.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 13, 2013
Current Stock Market Euphoria a Carbon Copy of 2007? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Increasing optimism towards the key stock indices worries me. In the beginning of 2013, you would hear the bears’ opinions all over the financial news channels. Now, it seems they have all disappeared—or have turned outright bullish. No matter where I look, it’s pretty much the same opinion across the board in the mainstream: key stock indices are going higher, they say.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 13, 2013
Stock Buybacks at Market All-Time Highs: Poor Use of Corporation Capital / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: EconMatters
Era of Stock Buybacks
This has definitely been the era of stock buybacks with such low borrowing costs as companies are borrowing at very low rates not to expand the business, create innovative products, increase research and development but to buy back their own stock which isn`t cheap considering the multiple expansion in markets the last five years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 12, 2013
Has the Long-term Kress Cycle Bottomed Early? / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
A reader asks, "I was wondering if it's possible that the long cycles, such as the 60-year cycle, have already bottomed early. Is that even a possibility within the scope of the cycles? It appears that the Fed has complete control of the markets right now. One cannot help but wonder how high they will drive the stock market, and how low they will drive the gold miners. It would seem that the imbalances are beginning to look a little conspicuous."
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Mon(k)ey Puzzle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
By Grant Williams
Protruding from the sand a short distance to the south of the Pilot Pier, on the golden sands of Hartlepool in England's North East, is a vertical wooden mast.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Did the U.S. Government Shutdown Help the Economy? / Stock-Markets / US Economy
By: Frank_Holmes
From New Delhi to San Francisco to London, and finally back in San Antonio, I’ve been communicating one consistent theme to investors: Follow the money.What’s really important in following the money is for investors to not get caught up in the negative web spun by the media. There’s a lot of drama these days about Obamacare and Washington dysfunction. Take the government shutdown in October, when the House and Senate fought over the debt ceiling. Economic data wasn’t released, services were halted, national parks were closed, and “non-essential” government workers were told to stay home.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Stock Market Decline Resumes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
VIX has lifted above its 50-day moving average at 14.23 and its mid-Cycle support/resistance at 14.43. The sell signal is re-confirmed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 11, 2013
Stock Market Hindenburg Omen and the Titanic Syndrome / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Ed_Carlson
With the reporting of a Hindenburg Omen last week, like Pavlov's dog I rushed to check my charts for evidence of the Titanic Syndrome. The creator of the indicator, Bill Ohama, wrote that after the Titanic Syndrome, all major averages/indices will drop at least 10% from their highs. The Syndrome warned of the October 19, 1987 stock market crash as well as others.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Why a Serious Stock Market Correction is Overdue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes:
There is going to be considerable pressure on interest rates and the Federal Reserve very soon, and it’s very likely that we’re going to get some choppy trading action in stocks. The reason for this is, of course, positive economic news, which is increasing the likelihood of a decrease in monetary stimulus. As contradictory as it may seem, good economic news is actually bad news for stocks; that’s just the way the counterintuitive system of the stock market works—buy on rumor, sell on news. But what’s transpired recently goes more like buy on expectations, sell on hints of growth.
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Stock Market Flat...Still No Splat... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
Poor bears. Even at the final bell they had to watch the Dow go from -5 to plus 6. Meaningless, of course, but it seems like a slap in their face as the market just won't give the bears even a sliver of a good vibe. Each sector was up a drop, refusing to go red seemingly in spite of the bears. This is why we have the sentiment problem we're dealing with now for a few weeks. The bears just can't gain any traction, and, of course, the moment the market sells even just a little bit the sentiment seems to be a rousing here we go. It hasn't happened with the bears growing increasingly frustrated. I can't even imagine how bad it has been for these bears the past many months as overbought has stayed that way while sentiment is flashing an outright sell signal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
How the Masters of the Financial Universe Use Derivatives for Fun and Profit / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Jon Stewart just did a very funny piece on “The Daily Show” about a new derivatives dust-up that Bloomberg news broke.
Earlier this year, a big Wall Street firm bought a credit default swap on debt that a private company owed to a third party. So the firm was set up to make money if that company missed any payments. Then the firm offered the company a multi-million-dollar loan… with the condition that they would miss a payment on the other loan. They did. And the Wall Street firm walked away with a $15 million insurance payment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
QE Tapering or Tightening? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Matt_Machaj
Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart delivered the news, responding to all speculation about the coming back issue of possible "tapering". Despite the chairman change for Ms. Yellen, the tapering issue did not taper out yet. Lockhart has told us that the Federal Reserve still plans to stay "accommodative" for the number of years to come. This does not mean though that some possible adjustment may not happen, because the "tools" of remaining "accommodative" may change. In other words, the message is: even if some things may change, remember, the Fed is always ready to starts its machine to help banks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 09, 2013
U.S. Fed Creating More Financial Market Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Browne
Although the U.S. stock market continues to hit new nominal highs on a nearly daily basis, the U.S. economy bumps along at a lackluster pace. This disconnect has been achieved by a massive Fed experiment in monetary stimulation. Through the combination of seemingly endless maintenance of zero interest rates and the injection of some $1trillion a year of synthetic money into fixed-income markets, the Fed is hoping that the boom it is creating on Wall Street will lead to a boom on Main Street. In reality, this a very dangerous economic gamble of enormously high stakes. As we have seen in the recent past, financial bubbles can leave catastrophe in their wake.
Read full article... Read full article...