Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 27, 2012
Final High 2012 For Stock Market and Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
It's amazing sometimes how much difference a year can make on investor psychology. For most of last year investors worried incessantly about a potential "double dip" U.S. recession and the possibility of another worldwide credit crisis beginning in Europe.
Fast forward to 2012 and those worries have mostly evaporated from investors' minds. The consensus now is that the economy has improved and corporate earnings will continue to increase. The biggest worry for most investors is where they can achieve the biggest dividend yield while the Fed continues to artificially hold down bank interest rates. They further believe that the bull market that began in March 2009 will continue to achieve higher stock prices into 2013.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 26, 2012
Is the U.S. Financial System Finally Stable? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
Four years after we brushed up against "financial Armageddon," did you think you'd be reading this?
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said...banks need to have more capital at hand in order to ensure the financial system is stable. Bernanke said regulators were taking steps to force financial institutions to hold higher capital buffers...Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 26, 2012
AAPL...Fed....Both Are Fine.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
It was a very interesting 24 hours for the stock market as it waited to hear how Apple Inc. (AAPL) would do on their earnings report and what was on the mind of our Fed leader, Mr. Bernanke. Apple surely didn't disappoint as they came in above expectations. The stock rocked higher and carried the futures with it. Good, solid action all day in the stock.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Bull Trap warning – Precious Metals, the first casualty / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Gold has always been a bit of a conundrum for me as I am never quite sure how this yellow metal should be classified. According to Geology.com, “Of all the minerals mined from the Earth, none is more useful than gold. Its usefulness is derived from a diversity of special properties. Gold conducts electricity, does not tarnish, is very easy to work, can be drawn into wire, can be hammered into thin sheets, alloys with many other metals, can be melted and cast into highly detailed shapes, has a wonderful colour and a brilliant lustre. Gold is a memorable metal that occupies a special place in the human mind.”Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Fed Statement To Set Market’s Tone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The markets advanced early Tuesday after a report on home sales exceeded forecasts. On the earnings front, AT&T (T) and 3M (MMM) came in above consensus. With an important Fed statement and a durable goods report coming on Wednesday, we will be monitoring our market models, support, and moving averages closely.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Europe Sinking...USA Holding... / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
Over the weekend, we saw some terrible news come out of the Euro-zone with regards to manufacturing and economic growth. The news was particularly bad in that the numbers weren't supposed to be any good to begin with, so when the numbers came even worse than that, the whole Euro-zone took it on the chin with losses nearing three percent across the board. Some worse than others, of course, but the average was nearly three percent. Ugly as can be. With news that bad, and with the Euro-zone getting smoked, we were unable to avoid the carnage pre-market. Our futures looked pretty bad, but nowhere near as bad as the losses being seen across Europe.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Stock Market Gaps Through Crash Trigger, Seat Belts On? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
VIX has been testing its prior highs, but has not yet broken out. The prior two weeks of consolidation have coiled up the VIX for a powerful upward move, which may be as early as tomorrow. My Cycles model suggests that VIX may have the most strength between now and Friday, since that is due to be a Primary Cycle high.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 23, 2012
Stock Market SPX Index Still in Correction Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current position of the market
SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend – The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is already in place.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 23, 2012
Stock Market Investors Taking Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Darah Bazargan writes: I have been warning, for some time now, that investors should be prepared for an imminent correction that will ultimately wipe out all of their gains of the last several months. For those who don't believe in taking opportunities on the bearish side of the market are only kidding themselves. Now more than ever is the market in position for it's most profitable investment of the year. It just takes a little courage on your part.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 22, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend to Resume Shortly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
While Europe was trying to rally for most of the week US economic reports were weighing down the US markets. Reports for the week were mostly negative with 10 declining and 4 rising. On the downtick: retail sales, the NY and Philly FED, business inventories, the NAHB, housing starts, existing home sales, leading indciators, the WLEI and jobless claims rose. On the uptick: building permits, capacity utilization, the M1 multiplier and the monetary base. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.00%, while the NDX/NAZ lost 0.65%. Asian markets gained 0.5%, European markets gained 0.8%, and the DJ World index gained 0.8%. Next week FOMC meeting on tues/wed, Q1 GDP, and more Housing data.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Going Nowhere Stock Market Continues On... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
I will say it over and over. There's nothing bullish going on. There's nothing bearish going on. What there is is a market that wants to work off incredibly overbought conditions for a while to come so it can gain momentum to move higher once again. When you're overbought on the daily oscillators for months straight, months are going to be spent to not being overbought on those oscillators. It's as simple as that folks. We are not going to get overbought again just like that.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Investors How to Speculate Your Way to Success / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
So far, 2012 has been a banner year for the stock market, which recently closed the books on its best first quarter in 14 years. But Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey insists that time is running out on the ticking time bombs. Next week when Casey Research's spring summit gets underway, Casey will open the first general session addressing the question of whether the inevitable is now imminent. In another exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Casey tells us that he foresees extreme volatility "as the titanic forces of inflation and deflation fight with each other" and a forced shift to speculation to either protect or build wealth.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Apple Stock is Less than 5pts Away From a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Apple Computer is only 5 points away from its 50-day moving average at 569.23. Selling could explode once it falls beneath that level. Whether it happens today or not depends on which major player pulls the trigger first. But they have to be sweating and praying that it won’t happen.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Investor Essential Knowledge for Maximizing Real Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“Since its inception in 1913, The Federal Reserve Board has been responsible for almost 95% devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. All this has been achieved through its ability to continually inflate the money supply.
And, between 1985 and 2005, the Federal Reserve Board has increased the money supply by five times. This extraordinary money creation is merely the catalyst for debt creation. In a fiat money system, money is debt…there is absolutely no way this money can ever be repaid except by continued inflation. But, now that the credit bubble is blown up, inflation is no longer an option; bankruptcy looms.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Bull Trap Warning / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Metal prices – A robot canary in the economic coal mine
Relative weakness in industrial metal prices can be a further sign of how the unravelling of the world’s major consuming economies can have a negative feedback effect on all countries down the supply chain. This includes countries supplying raw materials, through to low wage countries in the manufacturing sector – all of whom are at the mercy of market forces, corporate and government corruption and greed. Fear and greed are the mind killers. There is still plenty of greed left in the system and fear is just round the corner. Just ask the nouveau riche exporting their billions in cash out of China into Hong Kong and elsewhere. They know what’s coming and are preparing for their day of reckoning.
Friday, April 20, 2012
Real Asset Investments as a Hedge Against Inflationary QE / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Adam Waldman writes: Since the financial crisis and the “Great Recession” began in 2008, western central banks have responded in a number of different ways. The one method linking all of these central banks activities together has been the use of Quantitative Easing, or QE as it is more commonly called.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 20, 2012
Euro-zone Collapse, And Yet Another PIIGS Bites the Dust / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
To all those who say that deflationary collapses cannot happen in paper monetary systems, I ask you: don't the PIIGS-ies of Europe count? Because they're all falling, one right after the other, like dominoes. Today, the Spanish stock market ($SMSI) closed below its spring, 2009 lows. Here's a 5 year weekly chart through today's close:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 20, 2012
The Kondratieff K Wave Strikes Back, a multi-generation long wave debt cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Kondratieff long wave cycle (aka The K Wave) provides the only good explanation of the current state of the global economy and financial markets. It is clear that a multi-generation long wave debt cycle has driven individual, government and corporate debt to crisis levels that are now in the process of a slow motion implosion. The debt is coming due, but central banks and governments have transferred much of the debt to innocent parties and postponed the due date. These misguided monetary and fiscal policies only bought a little time.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 20, 2012
Stock Market Turning Points: Has Wall Street Ever Warned You in Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
In the play "The Secret to Freedom," Pulitzer prize writer Archibald MacLeish had a character say this:
The only thing about a man that is a man is his mind. Everything else you can find in a pig or a horse.
MacLeish knew how to state the truth plainly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 20, 2012
How to Handle an Economic Implosion, Conquer the Crash Collection / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I came across some research on the subject of worry. Here's how it was presented:
Things People Worry About:
- things that never happen - 40%
- things which did happen that worrying can't undo - 30%
- needless health worries - 12%
- petty, miscellaneous worries - 10%
- real, legitimate worries - 8%