Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
How MF Global Collapsed by over Hypothecating and Who is Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
Another month another new implosion. Europe really seems to be stuck in a financial black hole, unable to free itself out of it. Before we even have time to digest all those exotic treasury products like CDO,CDS,MBS, ALT-A, Sub-Prime, Swaps and , now there is this new toy called ‘Hypothecation’.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Global Stock Markets Heading for Lower Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Adam_Brochert
As someone in the USA who tends to read more US-centric commentary, I continue to see analysts look almost exclusively at the US markets. Because US stock markets have been relatively strong recently, a frequently read conclusion is that the US economy is holding up well and terms like "de-coupling" are making their way back into the financial lingo. This is a ridiculous concept in the current global economy, but people want to believe good times are just ahead just like when "green shoots" and "goldilocks" were bandied about in prior cycles.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Heading for Critical January 2012 Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
The low that is expected in mid-January will be critical in this bear market. It will represent the first test for support since the start of the decline in early August. Bear market bottoms are normally a series of troughs at the same level creating a base. This anticipated low in January could be the beginning of that foundation. It all depends on how deep this coming low will be.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stock Market Crash Hindenberg Omen Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Today we saw a Hindenburg Omen in quite a while. I must apologize if this has been going on last week, since I missed it. The significance is that when more than one Omen occurs within a limited period, the probability of a crash increases significantly. Regardless of the status of the Hindenburg Omens,we should be on full alert for a crash.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Barton Biggs Flips to Being Bullish on Stocks, Argues he Was Not Bearish, Favors U.S. and Asia / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bloomberg
Barton Biggs, founder of Traxis Partners, spoke to Bloomberg TV's Betty Liu and said he's still bullish on stocks. Biggs said that "I'm biased on the long side" and that "U.S. big-capitalization, U.S. stocks and Asian stocks are the best houses in a fairly tough, bad neighborhood."
Monday, December 12, 2011
Breaking Stock and Financial Market Supports / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
There seems to be quite a bit of complacency in the VIX this morning. That is not unusual since the VIX had already completed a reversal pattern as of Friday. Therefore the VIX is already on its cyclical buy signal and that buy signal may be confirmed by crossing intermediate-term trend resistance at 30.49. The patterns suggest that the VIX has quite a distance to go in this next move so hang tight.
Monday, December 12, 2011
Currencies Favor Stock Market Bears Longer-Term / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The correlation between the S&P 500 and the euro has been running extremely high in recent months. Therefore, if the euro can mount a sustained charge higher, stocks could do the same.
As we mentioned on December 9, the 22-week moving average is a good way to get a 30,000 ft view of many markets. When the slope of the 22-week is positive, a market tends to be healthy. When the slope of the 22-week is negative, further weakness may be in the cards.
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Monday, December 12, 2011
The BRICs Will Be Dead Weight in 2012, Invest in These Five Emerging Markets Instead / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Don't let the headlines fool you, there's lots of money to be made in global investing in 2012.
You're just going to have to be careful - more so than in years past - because right now the line drawn between successful markets and markets that are in danger of collapse is treacherously thin.
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Monday, December 12, 2011
Marc Faber Says Europe Should Dissolve the EU for Economic Growth / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Videos
Marc Faber on the Euro-zone crisis, that the problem is that governments cannot agree to sticking to the 3% budget limits and the only option they have is to print money. The best solution is to dissolve the EU and let the markets sought things out.
Monday, December 12, 2011
The ‘Real’ Stocks Mega-Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. : It’s time again for the weekend update of our “Real” Mega-Bears, an inflation-adjusted overlay of three secular bear markets. It aligns the current S&P 500 from the top of the Tech Bubble in March 2000, the Dow in of 1929, and the Nikkei 225 from its 1989 bubble high.
Monday, December 12, 2011
Stock Market a Little More Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway.
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Sunday, December 11, 2011
Are Funds At US Financial Firms Safe? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Jesse
The short answer is 'maybe.' It is more of a buyer beware situation than most had thought, and still think.
It is nice to see someone in the mainstream media addressing this situation intelligently and without making an apology for what is apparently a criminal act and surely an egregious abuse of the public trust.
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Will the U.S. Dollar Ruin the Stock Market Santa Claus Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Experienced traders recognize that volume typically dries up going into the holiday season. Light volume and the holiday seasonality generally push equity prices higher. The discussion of whether Santa Claus comes to Wall Street has arrived in earnest.
I do not envy Santa as he has the most arduous task of determining if Wall Street was naughty or nice. I suppose it depends on whether he reviews recent performance, or if past performance comes into play. Clearly coal will likely be found in a few stockings soon enough. If I were John Corzine, I would not expect to get a lump coal, but something far worse potentially.
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Sunday, December 11, 2011
Two Roads Out of the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
The international political economy and global financial markets are deep in the woods. A long wave winter season is blowing cold, and getting colder. Decades of excess leverage in the banking system and sovereign states is coming to an end. Government and consumer spending are hitting a wall. A critical fork on this wintry road is coming up fast.
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Stocks Bull Market is Resuming / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
A choppy and somewhat volatile market in the US this week that ended on a positive note. Global markets were not as fortunate as the DJ World index ended -0.4%. Positive economic reports again outnumbered negative ones 2:1. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, and the Trade deficit increased. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims declined. Consumer sentiment has been improving since its 30 year low in mid-August, and the economy appears to be making a u-turn after its double bottom low in mid-October. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.15%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.75%. Asian markets lost 2.5%, and European markets gained 0.1%. Next week there is a plethora of economic indicators and the FOMC meeting on tuesday.
Saturday, December 10, 2011
Stock Market Santa Rally May Now Be Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- The VIX revisited mid-cycle support at 26.38 on a pullback from intermediate-term trend support/resistance at 30.55. However, longer-term the VIX closed below its weekly and monthly support (red line). It appears that the diamond formation that I had been pointing out the last two months has had a false breakout. The cycles, however, point to a higher year-end for the VIX. Despite closing below intermediate-term trend support, the VIX shows a reversal pattern that suggests a breakout next week..
Saturday, December 10, 2011
It’s Small-Stock Sweet Spot Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Some investing truisms are pure baloney. For instance, that you can rely on the stock market returning 10% to 12% per year on average. That if you want higher profits you have to take more risk. That you can’t time the market. That election years are always positive for the stock market.
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Investors: Demand Beef; Reject Cake / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
”Let them eat cake.”
Attributed to Queen Marie Antoinette, shortly before being guillotined during the French Revolution.
”Where’s the beef?”
Fmr V.P. Walter Mondale to Sen. Gary Hart (1984)
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Stock Market Report: Pass the Band-aides! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: UnpuncturedCycle
Lost in all the noise regarding the European summit was this morning's Commerce Department report that the U.S. trade deficit narrowed by 1.6% in October to $43.5 billion. The deficit has narrowed for four straight months to the lowest monthly trade gap this year. Underlying the report was a sharp upward revision to the trade deficit in September to $44.2 billion from the initial estimate of $43.1 billion. The October trade deficit was close to the consensus forecast of Wall Street economists of $43.6 billion. Both imports and exports declined in October, with imports falling at a slightly faster pace.¹ The U.S. trade deficit with China widened to $28.1 billion in October in compared with $25.7 billion in the same month last year. October imports from China were the highest on record. The data show that trade with Japan has recovered from last March's earthquake and subsequent tsunami. Imports from Japan in October were the highest since April 2008 while exports to Japan were the highest since March 1997.
Friday, December 09, 2011
Stock Market Bullish Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
The stock markets are still riddled with anxiety, with traders nervously awaiting the next shoe to drop. Will Europe fracture? Does a global recession loom? But in an apprehensive environment where fears are legion, it’s easy to lose the forest for the trees. If you can transcend the day-to-day newsflow slog for a broader perspective, the technicals of the US stock markets are actually quite bullish today.