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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Crude OIl and Gas Tumble as DUG UltraShort ETF Rallies / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My overall technical work in the ProShares Ultrashort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) treats all of the action from the 10/17 low at 37.17 to the 11/29 high at 46.56 as the first phase of an intermediate-term recovery rally. The plunge from the 11/27 high to Friday's low at 41.40 (so far) represents an intervening pullback that separates two major legs of a recovery phase.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Goldman Sachs Recommendation to Sell Gold Based on Self-interest? / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold was down $12.10 to $783.10 per ounce in New York on Friday and silver was down 25 cents to $13.98 per ounce. Gold showed strength in early trading in Asia and rallied to $792 but in early European trading it has given up these gains and has traded back down to $783.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold is trading at £379 GBP (down from £385) and €534 EUR (down from €540).

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Gold and Oil Fall as Pressure Builds for European Interest Rate Cuts / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped back from an overnight spike early Monday to hit $778 per ounce – a two-week low – just before the US open.

Asian stock markets were little changed, while European bourses began the week lower. Wall Street futures pointed down, capping their four-day rally, and crude oil futures dropped almost a dollar to trade at a one-month low beneath $88 per barrel.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Silver Building Up to Resume Uptrend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

There are various general points set out in the Gold Market update, relating to the dollar, that are equally applicable to silver, so this Silver Market update will only focus on the detail differences particular to Silver.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

US Dollar Rally to Fail Before USD 80, Gold Correcting First Phase of a Major Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome readers may have seen a trades list produced by Goldman Sachs recommending that investors short gold next year. This report has been allocated to the circular filing along with the government inflation statistics.

With the dollar rally predicted on www.clivemaund.com early on Thursday getting underway immediately afterwards, the question is how far this rally will carry, and how much further gold and silver will react as a result.

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Gold Short-term Uncertainty But Long-term Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Well, Friday was five in a row. We had two previous five in a row down days this year. One was followed by a reasonable rally while the other was followed by a lateral move which then morphed into the Aug to Nov rally. Is there a rally ahead?

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Commodities

Monday, December 03, 2007

Crude Oil Headed Down to $70 For Historic Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Elliot_H_Gue

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the first time in more than a year, I'm a near-term bear on oil prices. I suspect that crude could fall to around $70 per barrel in the next three to four months, roughly a 30 percent correction from its recent highs. This move will be a correction of the long-term uptrend in crude, not the end of the bull market. This correction will mark a historic buying opportunity for both oil and oil-related stocks.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Craze for Biofuel Causes Grain Prices to Soar / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the dynamic economies of China, India, and Asia continue to expand the size of their middle class – and the population in these areas continues a large scale migration to the major cities – global demand for basic foodstuffs has increased significantly over the last decade. A recent swine virus has adversely impacted Chinese herds, and globally meats and grain inventories are in short supply compared to historical levels.

Meanwhile, biofuels continue to make inroads in the developed countries. The cost of the biofuel feedstock – corn in many cases – has risen with demand. The cost of alternative grains such as wheat and soybeans has also increased. 

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Commodities

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Commodities Price Growth to Slow in 2008 / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKEY POINTS:
• CRB Index expected to advance to new highs in 2008, but with slower growth
• Light crude oil finds solid support at $89; no weakness anticipated – target is $108
• Fed rate cut meeting on December 11 will send gold higher and drop the USD; target is US$875
• Weaker copper prices point to stalling economies; $3.80 is solid resistance
• Natural gas pinned under $8.50 resistance; little chance of growth until second half of 2008. Steady LNG supply should keep prices low.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Fairweather Friends / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“ With each passing week, the pressure on the Fed threatens to bubble over, and it's becoming more and more likely the FOMC will again find itself in a position where it's obliged to cut rates or risk a huge selloff in equities markets. Silver may be the first tell for the direction of the next move. $13.50 continues to look like solid support, if we get there, and with what looks like a five-wave move down off the recent highs, silver will some work to do to avoid slipping lower before attempting new highs. Gold… having penetrated the $750-775 support area mentioned in the TTC forums, it's possible the near term bottom is in here, but… making that bet is not a high risk/reward proposition.” ~ Precious Points: Bullion Bouillabaisse, November 17, 2007

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Commodities

Saturday, December 01, 2007

Golds Friday Sharp Fall - A Conspiracy Theory? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"... Trying to ride this bull market in gold often feels like trying to get your heaviest friend home after way too much beer..."

THE GOLD PRICE just closed out November '07 at an average of $806.25 per ounce, a new record high – and the third record month on the run.

Not that you'd know that from reading the newswires this weekend, however. And fair's fair.

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Commodities

Friday, November 30, 2007

How to Select the Best Gold Producing Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the wild and whacky world of gold stocks, investors and speculators have a wide range of options for capital deployment. These options can be categorized in many different ways, but it all boils down to risk. The degree of risk varies from extremely risky with the junior gold explorers to just plain risky with the large senior producers.

This risk is inherent due to the nature of mining and commodities-market volatility. And in general the gold-stock sector is going to carry greater risk than most other stock sectors. But of course the old market adage applies here, greater risk can lead to greater rewards. So while gold-stock trading is not for the faint of heart, catching this sector in a secular bull market has so far led to legendary gains for those willing to take these risks.

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Commodities

Friday, November 30, 2007

Gold Holding Pattern - Economy-Wide Crunch" Now Looming in Europe / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped from a small overnight bounce early in London on Friday, recording an AM Fix that was 5% below Monday's start as world equity markets rose on the promise of fresh interest-rate cuts from the US Fed.

Looking at the latest data on Gold Market futures – where the front-month contract is now trading $50 below its near-record top of Nov. 8th – "the net long Comex position declined by 12.4% in the two weeks" to Nov. 20th, note the team at Mitsui.

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Commodities

Friday, November 30, 2007

The Epic Global Battle Over Crude Oil and the US Dollar / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Here are two brother countries, united like a single fist,” declared Venezuelan kingpin Hugo Chavez after meeting Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in Tehran on Nov 19th. “We have common viewpoints and we will stand by each other until we capture the high peaks. God is with us and victory is awaiting us,” added Iran's Ahmadinejad, vowing to defeat US imperialism together, and pointing to the fall of the US dollar as the prelude to the end of America's global dominance.

“Don't you see how the dollar has been in free-fall without a parachute? The US prints dollar bills with no real economic foundation. Soon we will not talk about dollars, because the empire of the dollar is crashing. The day will arrive not only in OPEC, but also in Latin America, when we will be liberated from the dollar. With the fall of the US dollar, US imperialism will fall as soon as possible,” Chavez declared.

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Commodities

Friday, November 30, 2007

Gold in Potential Double Top Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Under the circumstances, I thought the equity market handled "the day after" in relatively strong fashion. I leave you this evening with an updated look at the GLD, which closed in precarious technical condition...

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Commodities

Thursday, November 29, 2007

Gold Gives Back Overnight Gains Ahead of Key US Data, Bernanke Speech; Oil Jumps 4% on Cut to US Supplies / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back an overnight bounce to $808 per ounce as the New York opening drew near on Thursday, trading just below last night's close at $802.50.

Oil prices surged more than 4% after an explosion in Canada cut one-fifth of the United States ' daily crude imports. US stock futures pointed lower.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 29, 2007

Gold and Silver Strong Bull Market Intact - HUI Bullish Signals / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe pull-back we are seeing in gold and silver is nothing more than some high-volume backing and filling, within the major uptrend. The annual Christmas rally which started in August has a lot of life in it yet.

The sub-prime mortgage debacle is nowhere near solved, and we can count on the central banks to do what they do with every problem they run into: print more money.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Gold $800 - A New Generation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Will 800 become the ceiling or preferably the new floor?

Short term I don't know, but I am excited watching so much positive strength in this market. The crap is hitting the fan and gold is responding appropriately and properly. My personal opinion is that 800 may just become a floor price for gold. But who am I to know?

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Gold Falls in Unision with Crude Oil / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold was down $12.50 to $813.80 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was down 35 cents to $14.46 per ounce. Gold has continued to sell off in Asia and European trading and is at $797.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold remains near record highs in euro, British pounds and other currencies and is trading at £387 GBP (up from £401 on Monday) and €541 EUR (from €561 on Monday).

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Profit from the Surge in Global Diamond Demand and Exploration / Commodities / Diamonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: The price of polished diamonds is rising at a rate of about 10% year over year, and the falling dollar could accelerate that surge. However, most diamond mining and exploration stocks haven't joined the rally in natural resource stocks over the past 12 months.

Together, I think those two facts mean there is the potential for significant upside in diamond stocks, a move that could come at a dizzying speed. And that's why I've been doing a ton of research on the industry, building on my trip to an Arctic diamond camp this past August.

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