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Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Bitcoin Price Gearing Up for a Fall / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.

Nasdaq is going to provide a new Bitcoin exchange with technology allowing its future users to trade Bitcoin, we read on the Wall Street Journal website:

Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. has agreed to provide New York-based startup Noble Markets with core technology to power a new marketplace aimed at allowing companies and institutional investors such as hedge funds to trade bitcoin and related digital-currency assets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Global Currencies Teeter as Bonds Offer “Return-Free Risk” / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason writes: Never before has holding bonds denominated in national currencies been more risky and less rewarding. That may seem like a provocative statement, but it’s not hyperbole. It’s the reality investors around the world now face.

Sovereign debt issued by Western governments sport record-low yields – in some cases, negative yields! Earlier this year the yield on the U.S. 30-year Treasury dipped to an all-time low of 2.25%. Meanwhile, despite talk of rate hikes to come, the Federal Reserve continues to keep short-term rates near zero.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 21, 2015

No Rest for Bitcoin Traders / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short positions, stop-loss at 283, take-profit at $153.

Intel might be looking into Bitcoin, we read on CoinDesk:

California-based semiconductor manufacturer Intel appears to be dipping its toe in the digital currency space, following a bitcoin-related job posting.

The multinational company is looking for a cryptographic researcher to join its Special Innovation Projects Group, part of its in-house research organisation, Intel Labs.

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Currencies

Friday, March 20, 2015

Sharp Fall In USD Index And Its Implications / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Yesterday, Ms. Yellen said that the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates later this year, but it will not occur after the FOMC next meeting in April. She also added that the decision will depend on the data. In response to this announcement the USD Index reversed and dropped below the barrier of 100, accelerating further declines. As a result, the greenback hit an intraday low of 94.77 against the basket of major currencies. What impact did this correction have on their short-term picture?

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Renminbi The Market is Simply NOT Expecting This to Happen / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Submissions

Miha Zupan writes: To succeed in investing you essentially have to beat the majority of other investors. This will not be achieved by thinking like everyone else. You will have to think and act differently to everyone else.

How do most people think when it comes to trading, or at least what do they spend most of their time on? The majority spend their time attempting to determine what will happen in the future? Very few think about risk and reward. That is, how much will I make if I am right versus how much will I lose if I am wrong! Yes, to succeed you must think more about payoffs of future events not the future itself.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 15, 2015

US Dollar Forex Pairs and Gold Chartology / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

When you look at these different currencies you will see some massive topping patterns that reversed their bull markets. You will also see they still have a long ways to go to the downside before this bear market is over. If that is the case then the US dollar has a long ways to go in its bull market.

Lets start with the CAD which broke down from a blue triangle consolidation pattern on Tuesday of this week.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Currency Wars - U.S. Dollar Soars, Economy Disappoints / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Rubino

The point of competitive devaluation, aka currency war, is that a cheaper currency gives a country several advantages over its trading partners, leading to better growth and generally happier voters. The trading partners, meanwhile, get the ugly mirror image -- slowing growth and disgruntled citizens -- so they eventually respond in kind, with devaluations of their own. If nothing happens to stop the war, everyone's currency ends up being worth a lot less and a whole generation of savers is partially wiped out.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 14, 2015

Bitcoin Price Reversal? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

IBM might be working on the adoption of blockchain to serve traditional currencies, we read on the Reuters website:

International Business Machines Corp is considering adopting the underlying technology behind bitcoin, known as the "blockchain," to create a digital cash and payment system for major currencies, according to a person familiar with the matter.

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Currencies

Friday, March 13, 2015

Trading the Parabolic U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

The mighty US dollar has been red-hot in March, rocketing higher on the incredible divergence of major central-bank policies.  While the Federal Reserve’s first rate-hike cycle in 9 years looms, the European Central Bank has started aggressively monetizing sovereign debt for the first time ever.  The resulting yield differential has catapulted the dollar parabolic, portending a major reversal and fantastic trading opportunity.

Currency trading is the biggest financial market in the world, with trillions of dollars changing hands every day.  Yet since major currency price levels generally meander slowly, this massive market lurks beneath the surface with scant limelight.  But this month the soaring US dollar and plummeting euro have utterly dominated mainstream financial news.  These warring currencies’ huge price moves have been epic.

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Currencies

Friday, March 13, 2015

Lessons of History, Part 1: Not a Mention of Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Rubino

I’m listening to the audio version of George, Nicholas and Wilhelm: Three Royal Cousins and the Road to World War I, written by Miranda Carter and brilliantly narrated by Rosalyn Landor. It’s the story of some almost supernaturally dysfunctional governments blundering into a war that seems more rather than less crazy with the passage of time.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 12, 2015

U.S. Dollar, Euro May be in a Reversal / Currencies / Euro

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The US dollar hit its Master Cycle high overnight, rising to 100.05 before dropping down to an early morning low of 98.65. The reversal is coming very late at day 254 in the current Master Cycle. This leads me to believe that there may be a strong down draft in USD over the next 3 weeks.

USD/JPY is retreating this morning. It is still at 120.94 after reaching a high of 122.02 on Monday. The Yen carry trade will likely start to unwind beneath USD/JPY 120.00.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 12, 2015

U.S. Interest Rate Hikes Already Priced into the US Dollar Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EconMatters

Buy the Rumor, Sell the News

All those bemoaning what rate hikes could potentially portend for the US Dollar need to get a grip, the rate hikes are already priced in. That`s how markets work, buy the rumor and sell the news or actual event. Moreover, not just one 25 basis point rate hike, taking a look at that chart, several rate hikes have already been priced into the US Dollar Index.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Is There a Shortage of U.S. Dollars? Will it Sink the Global Economy? Again? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Reader Patricia is wondering about a recent ZeroHedge article, The Global Dollar Funding Shortage Is Back With A Vengeance And "This Time It's Different".

The last time the world was sliding into a US dollar shortage as rapidly as it is right now, was following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. The response by the Fed: the issuance of an unprecedented amount of FX liquidity lines in the form of swaps to foreign Central Banks. The "swapped" amount went from practically zero to a peak of $582 billion on December 10, 2008.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Forex Traders: The Only Question You Should Be Asking / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Elliott wave analysis foresaw the USDJPY's recent rally. Find out what else we're expecting for the world's leading forex markets (plus stocks, gold, oil and bonds) -- absolutely FREE

I can't help it. Whenever I read the mainstream financial news, I feel like I'm eavesdropping on a job interview at Microsoft.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

China wants to have a Reserve Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: BATR

Common wisdom has China as the future model for the Globalist economy. Also, conventional thinking has the Western financial debt created money system as the backbone of the New World Order. The big question is, are both components of the same intentional plan? When China Has Announced Plans For A ‘World Currency’, the world is put on notice that a fundamental shift is about to take place.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

How Low Can The Euro Go? Or Is That The Wrong Question? / Currencies / Euro

By: John_Rubino

The euro is tanking again, as the ECB starts buying bonds for its long-promised "whatever it takes" QE program. Today's exchange rate move is dramatic enough to generate headlines like this, from Forbes: Euro Nears Parity With U.S. Dollar

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Market insight: U.S. Dollar at 11-Year High Against Euro / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

And why now may not be the best time to bet on the greenback

By Elliott Wave International

Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Bitcoin Price Still Holding Above $250 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Luqin Wang and Yong Liu, researchers at the NYU Polytechnic School of Engineering, have come up with a paper on the evolution of Bitcoin mining. Their work tackles various aspects of how Bitcoin miners have changed over the life of the network. In a subsection on solo miners, we can read:

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Euro Damaged, Kiwi Panics / Currencies / Euro

By: Ashraf_Laidi

A new 12-year low in the euro against the US dollar and another hit to the New Zealand dollar re-emerged in global markets as Greece and the EU put off talks to another day, while stock traders let the shine of Apple's iWatch presentation wane after it was revealed that the battery life of the much awaited accessory lasted no more than 18 hours.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Gold, Dollar and the Swiss Surprise / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Let's step back in time. As we all remember, on January 15th, a surprise decoupling from the euro peg caused the Swiss franc to rally up to 23%, an unprecedented move in the currency market. Why was the peg introduced and later removed?

The SNB pegged the franc to the euro on September 6th, 2011, in the very middle of the Eurozone debt crisis. A few peripheral countries, whose debts had been downgraded to junk status, asked for bailouts. Therefore, investors ran from euros and moved into the Swiss franc, a traditional safe haven. The SNB introduced a minimal exchange rate at CHF 1.20 per euro (0.83 euro per franc) in order to resist the currency appreciation (the CHF gained 28% since the beginning of the Global Financial Crisis). Although gradual appreciation is positive and reflects the strength of a currency, sudden capital inflows and exchange rate fluctuations may be quite detrimental, and therefore the SNB began printing and selling francs to keep the currency from exceeding 0.83 euro.

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