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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Sunday, August 26, 2018

The PetroDollar Matrix / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andy_Sutton

At the forefront of the media’s attention today is Russia. We’re not really sure why, (well, of course we are) but it seems that Russia has become the new boogeyman. Everything is Russia’s fault. I’ve even heard rumors that the National Weather Service has plans to blame Russia for all the confounded rain in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic this summer. We know – right away you’re thinking this is going to be about Russia but it’s really not. It’s about what the media isn’t telling you. It’s why (we believe), Trump’s Tweets, Ivanka’s Sweets, Russiagate, the left’s hate, the right’s hate (aka, establishment theatre) are all taking the headlines while a very disturbing trend is left in plain sight. It’s the 800-pound gorilla in the room during any discussion involving economics and geopolitics, but nobody wants to talk about it.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 26, 2018

USD/JPY Forex Trend Forecast / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – I believe a top is in place at 113.21 and a new downtrend has begun with price in the process of putting in a lower high. While it is possible that the first lower high is already in place, it is my belief that is not the case and a 5 point broadening low formation is in play with price currently on its way up to a point 4 high which will be the lower high. Considering the likely point 5 low is much lower, I am essentially viewing this formation as just a continuation pattern. The point 2 highs is at 112.50 and price turning back down at that lower would set up a bearish lower double top and that is certainly a very valid possibility.

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Currencies

Friday, August 24, 2018

EUR/USD Facing Hurdles / Currencies / Euro

By: FXOpen

The daily chart of EUR/USD indicates that the pair moved into a bearish zone below 1.1600.

Key Points

  • The Euro tumbled heavily this month before buyers appeared near 1.1300 against the US Dollar.
  • There is an important bearish trend line formed with resistance at 1.1635 on the daily chart of EUR/USD.
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Currencies

Friday, August 24, 2018

US Dollar Rumbling Below the Surface / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Today is all about Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole Speech at 10 am Eastern, but from a market perspective, we might want to keep a close watch on the reaction of the USD to what Powell says or does not say.

Why? Yesterday's strength in the Dollar has reversed overnight into this morning's pre-market session.

In a post to members at 15:30 yesterday, I posited the following about the USD: "The $64,000 question about Gold and the Gold Miners depends on the direction of the USD: Was the recent decline in DXY the start of a period of weakness or a completed correction?"

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Currencies

Friday, August 24, 2018

EUR/GBP Remains in Uptrend / Currencies / Euro

By: FXOpen

The daily chart of EUR/GBP remains in an uptrend above the 0.8940 support.

Key Points

  • EUR/GBP is following a significant uptrend above the 0.8900 swing low.
  • There are two bullish trend lines in place with supports near 0.8940 and 0.8880 on the daily chart.
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Currencies

Thursday, August 23, 2018

Fiat Currency Inflation, And Collapse Insurance / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Raymond_Matison

FIAT CURRENCY INFLATION,  AND COLLAPSE  INSURANCE

Insurance against fiat currency

Billions of people covering a vast land mass around the globe do not have insurance of any sort.  Why?  It is because they own few assets.  No house, no car, just a hovel with no electricity or water at the foothills of some nondescript mountain.  By contrast, those who live in advanced economies have assets worthwhile protecting against loss.  Thus, we in America have homeowners insurance to protect against the loss of our dwelling, auto insurance to protect against the involuntary conversion of our movement conveyance into scrap metal, and to protect our financial assets against a lawsuit which could strip us of our savings and investment assets in the face of our fault in an automobile accident.  Further, we protect our family’s income and savings by purchasing life or disability insurance.  We buy insurance because we do have assets, and believe it worthwhile to protect those assets against unforeseeable loss, when the cost of that insurance is affordable.

Why is it then, that we do not protect our assets against the major foreseeable and persistent source of asset loss – that of loss in the value of our currency.  Should we not have protection against inflation and the resulting loss of value or purchasing power in our fiat currency represented in our pension funds, stock or bond funds, or savings and money market account assets?  We know and acknowledge that inflation robs us of our savings each and every year.  Since 1971, even using the contrived statistics used in calculating the Consumers Price Index, the value of a 1971 collar is just worth $0.16 today.  That is a very significant loss in value over a relatively short period of time.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 23, 2018

Big Money and the Big Lie / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Rob_Kirby

The picture below is one of the most important pieces anyone could look at to begin understanding the true nature/condition of our global financial system:

This picture depicts the life cycle of “ANY” fiat currency with compound interest.  This concept is explained thoroughly by Chris Martenson on his web site under the moniker of The Accelerated Crash Course.  I recommend everyone read it.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 22, 2018

How Will Ethereum Scale? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: David_Milsont

...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, August 21, 2018

Where to Trade Cryptocurrencies? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: David_Milsont

...

 


Currencies

Sunday, August 19, 2018

Bitcoin: Landing Gear Engaged. Bottom Is Still a Process / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Ryan_Wilday

If you have tracked me at all since January, I had stated that if bitcoin (BTC-USD) is in a wave iv of the degree that I believed, support for this corrective wave, that started in January is in the $3000-$4700 zone. $4700 is an ideal landing spot for this wave iv as it is the .382 retrace of the third wave that began in July 2016.

Further, if you tracked my writing, I saw many setups that can bring us to that level, and likewise many bullish setups that could have taken us out of this long correction prematurely. All failed.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 19, 2018

Venezuela's Great Bolivar Scam, Nothing but a Face Lift / Currencies / HyperInflation

By: Steve_H_Hanke

In the days leading up to Venezuela’s currency reform, which is set for August 20th, the bolivar has taken yet another deep dive.  The chart below shows the bolivar’s free fall and the massive gap between the official exchange rate of 248,521 VEF/USD and the black-market (read: free-market) exchange rate of 6,670,079 VEF/USD.  That gap results in a whopping black market premium of 2,584%.  It also produces huge profits for Maduro’s cronies who have access to the official rate.  They can purchase greenbacks for peanuts and sell them on the black market for an instantaneous profit of 2,584%.

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Currencies

Friday, August 17, 2018

What Is The Future Of Turkish Lira? / Currencies / Turkey

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Turkish Lira dropped nearly 30% since Friday, 10th August 2018 and one stage and has since recovered nearly half of the losses and now trading at 6.4093 which is still nearly 15% below where it was last Friday. We know that US President Donald Trump doubled Tariffs on Steel and Aluminium Imports from Turkey on Friday which is said to be the reason for the sharp decline in Turkish Lira (rally in USDTRY). In this blog, we take a look at the Elliott Wave structure of USDTRY and explain why the spike higher stopped where it stopped.

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Currencies

Friday, August 17, 2018

US Dollar Index Mini Crash Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

Latest Price – 96.57

Previous analysis updated – previous daily chart analysis was a bust. There remains no change to the overall outlook.

Daily Chart

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Currencies

Thursday, August 16, 2018

EURCAD Remains Bearish / Currencies / Canadian $

By: FXOpen

The daily chart of EUR/CAD remains in a downtrend below the 1.5000 pivot level.

Key Points

  • EUR/CAD declined heavily and broke key supports near 1.5080, 1.5000 and 1.4920.
  • There are two bearish trend lines in place with resistance at 1.5000 and 1.5150 on the daily chart.
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Currencies

Thursday, August 16, 2018

Up Your Forex Trading Game / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

Trading foreign exchanges has never been easier, thanks to the advent of new technology, and as a result many people are getting into this potentially lucrative form of trading.

However, like any form of financial activity, Forex trading isn’t something that you can make money from overnight. Many of the experts whose advice can be found at forextraders.comworked hard to develop their skills, and Forex trading is not simply a matter of following a simple pattern and collecting a profit. In fact, it is more of an art than a science.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 16, 2018

USD/CAD Approaching Crucial Break / Currencies / Canadian $

By: FXOpen

The daily chart of USD/CAD indicates a decent uptrend above 1.3000.

Key Points

  • The US Dollar is in a major uptrend with a crucial support at 1.3000 against the Canadian Dollar.
  • A significant contracting triangle is formed with resistance at 1.3150 on the daily chart of USD/CAD.
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Currencies

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Impulse Moves in the Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

For the last several months or so I’ve been showing you that many of the important currencies that make up the US dollar have been breaking down from large 2 1/2 year trading ranges. If you want to know what the US dollar is going to do the first thing you need to do is look at the important currencies that make up the US dollar as the US dollar is just a derivative of those currencies. Most of the time a stock, or in this case the currencies that make up the US dollar are trading within a reversal pattern, consolidation pattern, or are in an impulse move. It’s that impulse move that you want to be aware of and the earlier the better.

Tonight I’m going to update most of the currencies we’ve been following over the last several months because I believe they’re in the process of beginning an important impulse leg down which can have a profound affect on the PM complex and commodities in general. These types of moves don’t come around all that often, but when you begin to see an important setup maturing it’s usually worth the risk to try and take advantage of what the market will give you and impulse moves are what I live for as an intermediate term trader.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 09, 2018

NZD/USD Holding Important Supports / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: FXOpen

The weekly chart of NZD/USD suggests that the pair is trading in a bearish zone, but it is currently trading near important support levels.

Key Points

  • NZD/USD is currently testing a key connecting support trend line at 0.6700 on the weekly chart.
  • The pair could correct higher, but upsides are likely to be capped by 0.6850.
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Currencies

Thursday, August 09, 2018

Serious Bitcoin Price Decline / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Bitcoin is depreciating. This might be just the turnaround you have been waiting for. But is there really enough weight behind the short-term action to pummel Bitcoin lower?

A startup backed by Starbucks, Microsoft and a couple of other companies is said to potentially pave the way for the Bitcoin ETF. In an article on CNN, we read:

Starbucks going all-in on cryptocurrency is "the biggest news of the year for bitcoin" — because it paves the way for a bitcoin ETF, according to BK Capital Management founder Brian Kelly.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 05, 2018

Iran's Rial Currency Is In A Death Spiral, Again / Currencies / Iran

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Iran’s rial plunged from 98,000 IRR/USD on Saturday to 112,000 IRR/USD on Sunday on Tehran’s Ferdowsi Street. That stunning 12.5% one-day plunge has pushed the rial into a classic death spiral. The last time the rial was in a grip of such a spiral was back in September 2012.

The chart below shows the downward roller coaster ride the rial has been on during the past six months, as well as this weekend’s free fall. As the chart indicates, the official IRR/USD rate is 44,030; whereas, the rate in the black market (read: free market) is 112,000. That widespread rate is now measured by a huge black-market premium of 154%. This means that those who are privileged and have access to the official exchange rate can turn handsome profits of 154% in the blink of an eye.

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