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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Europe Seeks to Implement New Bretton Woods Fiat Currency System / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report. It looks like Europe wants to re-invent the wheel and soundings are being made to introduce a "new Bretton Woods".

Bretton Woods was effectively an exchange rate mechanism, were gold backed the new kid on the world block, namely the post war US dollar and all other currencies floated around the dollar in a fixed range. If a currency moved too far either way of the range then the respective Central Bank stepped in and delivered the appropriate medicine.

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Currencies

Monday, October 20, 2008

Central Banks Scramble to Buy Dollars to Bolster Banking Systems / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe G-7 countries now have what amounts to access to the US Fed's window for dollars for their banks. But what of the rest of the world? Brad Setser, an analyst who writes a blog for the Council on Foreign Relations, ask some very interesting questions and points out some big holes in the world economic landscape. If you can't get dollars what does that do to your currency? This contributes to the rise in the dollar against some emerging market currencies. Setser asks: "Where is my swap line? And will the diffusion of financial power Balkanize the global response to a broadening crisis?"

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Currencies

Sunday, October 19, 2008

U.S. Highly Inflationary Monetary Growth Will Lead to Dollar Implosion / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn previous Dollar Death Ray we saw how size of U.S. Federal Reserve balance had exploded. That financial frenzy continues. In most recent report, Federal Reserves balance sheet, after appropriate adjustment, was 46% larger than a year ago. Most of that growth has come recently during bank bailout scheme. Rarely, if ever, has central bank of a major economy so lost control of its balance sheet, or monetary policy. That expansion of reserve bank credit is now feeding the growth of U.S. money supply, M-2.

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Currencies

Friday, October 17, 2008

USD/JPY Strategy and Yield Curve Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleViolent volatility maintains its daily routine of aggressive swings, as US equities close 5% higher after more than a 9% decline yesterday, dragging risk appetite and currencies along with them. Wednesday's trading session saw a short-lived attempt for economic reports to reassert their dominance on financial markets before risk took over on Thursday. Market players were astounded by the fact that neither the 34-year lows in US industrial production, nor 18-year lows in the Philadelphia Fed index nor the record lows in the US National Association of Homebuilders' index dipping managed to bring down US stocks.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Financial Crisis is the Birth Pains of a New Currency / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2008

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat can we say?

We are experiencing the most severe financial crisis since 1929. It hurts. There appears to be no relief in site. What began with mortgage defaults has now spread to the derivative markets.

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Currencies

Monday, October 13, 2008

Currencies and Cotton Candy Interest Rate Cuts / Currencies / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: I understand that the lending system is in bad shape. Or more specifically, that it's barely functioning at all. We're well past the point when central banks and governments around the globe inexplicitly declared it their duty to save their economies. But they really unleashed their helping hands this week.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Interest Rate Cuts, Recapitalisation's, Japanese Yen becomes Hard Currency / Currencies / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope was all but written off on Tuesday when Gordon Brown, the UK prime minister announced late in the day that £50 billion (about $85 billion) may be injected into several of the biggest banks. The details known so far are that eligible banks can issue preference shares to the government; the Bank of England makes another £200 billion of liquidity available in the short-term markets; and a further £250 billion of government guarantees are issued to help banks in their funding needs. We have been arguing that recapitalizing banks is the most effective way to support financial institutions ( see our analysis of the $700 billion bailout package ).

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Global Financial Crisis Safe Havens / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Axel_Merk

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe have been warning for some time that “there is no such thing as a safe asset anymore, you have to take a diversified approach to something as mundane as cash.” Unfortunately, the current crisis shows that we may be right. Physical gold is attractive to many investors because of its lack of counter party risk. The only counter party risk with gold held in your personal vault is that someone may break in and steal it. However, even staunch gold bugs rarely hold all their net worth in gold, but diversify if for no other reason that it is impractical to have essentially all your net worth in gold. And while gold is currently fulfilling its role as sound money, it often trades in tandem with other commodities; this can result in stomach-twisting volatility. As a result, many hold gold as insurance, but few truly live on their personal gold standard.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2008

Credit Crisis Actions Risk Collapse of European Monetary Union / Currencies / Euro

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany of us in the US are focused on our own woes. But this is a global credit crisis. In today's Outside the Box, we take a look at the currency markets, which are in an historic upheaval and also look at what is going on in Europe. I suspect that Europe is in for a period of much distress, as the world begins to deleverage That is why one government after another will back the deposits of banks within their countries, for otherwise capital will flee to countries like Ireland and Germany which ARE guaranteeing the deposits for all banks in their borders. . Many European banks are leveraged 50 to 1 (not a misprint). I suspect that more government will do like Belgium and the Netherlands and inject capital directly into their local banks deemed too big to fail.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2008

Euro and British Pound Come Crashing Down to Earth / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: Don't look now, but the Eurozone and England are in big trouble.

Actually, you do need to look now because there's no point in turning your head away from what's driving global financial markets and more importantly ... currencies.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2008

European Banking Crisis Deepens as Germany Guarantees Savings / Currencies / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am sure glad Paulson says the global financial system is sound. Otherwise I might be worried when I see reports like this: Financial Crisis: Germany guarantees all private savings; UK 'must follow'

The move to protect private bank account deposits in Europe's largest national economy came after similar moves in Ireland and Greece were widely criticised.

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Currencies

Friday, October 03, 2008

US Dollar Doomed as Credit Crisis Turning into a Currency Crisis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jennifer_Barry

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the precious metals were smashed out of nowhere and the dollar started climbing this summer I became very worried. I didn't question my conviction that commodities are in a bull market, or that precious metals in particular are undervalued. I felt something sinister was at work. Neither move was justified on a fundamental level. I assumed that something very bad was about to happen and the metals needed to be brought lower in advance of the bad news.

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Currencies

Friday, October 03, 2008

US Dollar Death Ray Powered by Soaring Federal Reserve Bank Credit / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDollar Death Ray , powered by the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve, is aimed at the heart of the U.S. dollar. Forget the U.S. Congress debate of the Bank Bail Out and Congressional Reelection Bill of 2008. The Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury, without a vote of Congress and support of the voters, has given $253 billion to banks in the past week. That is according to the Federal Reserve statement issued yesterday, 2 October. Without any regard for their actions, these two agencies are flooding the U.S. banking system with liquidity in an unprecedented manner.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Terrible ISM Economic Report Won't Prevent Euro and GBP Selling / Currencies / Futures Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn important component in today's terrible August ISM report (plunging to a 6-year low of 43.5) is the tumbling prices paid component to 53.5 from 77.00, which is a wake up call for the Federal Reserve's misplaced inflation preoccupation, especially given the tumble in the employment index to 41.8 from 49.

Today's ISM report is not only recessionary, but also underlines the notion that "rescue packages" are merely confidence builders and by no means solutions to the deepening macroeconmic economic slump and the resulting financial market erosion. USDJPY seen extending losses towards 105.20. Despite these dismal US figures, we maintan our pessimism with the high yielding FX such as AUD, GBP (still seen at $1.76) and NZD. EUR eyes $1.3950.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Don't Miss the Next Big US Dollar Move / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: INO

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Dollar has been in a long-term bear market since 2001, having bottomed earlier this year in March at USD 71, the Dollar has since attempted to form a bottom up until the most recent price action.

The following video presents my dollar view for several months.

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Currencies

Friday, September 26, 2008

US Dollar to be Hit by Federal Reserve Bank Credit Death Ray / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur graph this week is of the Dollar Death Ray , which is aimed directly at the value of the U.S. dollar. This plot is an extension of that which was introduced in last week's Gold Thoughts . In the graph is plotted the year-to-year change in Federal Reserve bank credit. In simplest terms, it is the rate of expansion of the asset side of Federal Reserve's balance sheet. Latest data was released Thursday, 25 September. In this case, it has been adjusted for a circular transaction created by Treasury supplemental financing of the Federal Reserve which was recently done. Federal Reserve bank credit, or U.S. base money, has now been expanded at a record level. Rarely, if ever, has a major central bank intentionally inflated its balance sheet in such an inflationary manner.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Will the US Dollar Drown in an Ocean of Debt? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAbout $3.6 trillion of market value was wiped-out from global stock markets in the three-days between Sept 15-17 th , triggered by the bankruptcy filing by Lehman Brothers, and fireworks in the $62 trillion credit default swap market. The collapse of Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch's eleventh-hour flight for safety into the arms of Bank of America, and the meltdown at American International Group, were all linked to credit default swaps on mortgages that led to the fall of these titans.

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Currencies

Monday, September 15, 2008

US Dollar Rally Not Over Yet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose looking for a collapse in the US dollar in the wake of the Lehman bankruptcy did not get it. The US dollar index was down huge last night but has now rallied to even.

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Currencies

Friday, September 12, 2008

US Dollars Last Gasp of a Doomed Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the latest example of financial market madness, the recent government “bailout” of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae has perversely resulted in a sharp rise in the value of the U.S. dollar.  If the markets were functioning rationally, the transference of staggering new liabilities to the U.S. Treasury would have been immediately seen as catastrophic for the dollar.  Instead the markets have ignored the obviously negative long-term implications and have remained fixated on the more immediate effects.  However, rather than solving the problems, the government's actions merely confirm my worst fears, and increase the chances for a hyper-inflationary outcome. 

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Currencies

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Risk Aversion Drives JPY and GBP in Opposite Directions / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNow that US equity indices have erased all of Monday's gains less than 24-hours after the US Treasury's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie, we can further better deduce the extent of negative sentiment prevailing in US and overseas markets. We illustrated on Monday how the number of "up" days in US equity indices following the various interventions from the Fed and the Treasury of the past 9 months has declined over time. The Fed-backed takeover of Bear Stearns in mid March produced a rally lasting 2 months.

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