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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, May 17, 2013

How the U.S. Government Makes $120 Billion From Student Loans Misery / Interest-Rates / Student Finances

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Business has been good for the federal government when it comes to student loans.

Over the past five years, student loans have generated profits of $120 billion for the Department of Education.

And the latest projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) put the take from student loans for the 2013 fiscal year at $48.6 billion - helped along by a change in 2010 that eliminated the middleman and made the Education Department the direct lender for all government-backed loans.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Warning: How the Bond Market Bubble Will Secretly Sabotage Your Retirement / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: A tool intended to make retirement investing easier may result in many Americans taking an unwitting hit to their portfolios when the bond bubble finally pops.

We're talking about target-date funds, designed to be "set it and forget it"-style retirement vehicles for people who don't want to bother with actively managing a portfolio.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Warning U.S. Treasury Bond Bull Market May Be Over / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: When the financial crisis took grip on the U.S. economy, investors fled the stock market and ran towards bonds—more specifically, high-quality U.S. government bonds. The reason behind this was very simple: they would rather invest their money in something where they knew their capital was safe than in the stock market, which was uncertain at the very best.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Why I'm NOT Betting on Higher Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Bill Gross is the world's greatest bond investor. But I'm not betting on his latest market call... And you shouldn't either.

Gross is to the bond market what Warren Buffett is to the stock market...

Just like Buffett, Gross has managed to trounce his peers for decades even as his assets under management have grown to an incredible size. Gross' firm PIMCO now manages over $2 trillion in assets, making it the world's largest bond investor.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

The Return of the Bond Vigilante... in Japan / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2013

By: Jeff_Berwick

On April 11th we went public stating that shorting Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) was an effective means of, "Profiting from The End Of The Monetary System As We Know It" (TEOTMSAWKI).

Less than a month later, on May 10th, after a month replete with numerous halts of the market over intraday crashes JBGs had their worst day in the last five years.   Yields rose higher by 11bps to 70bps in the 10 year bond and ended up 10 basis points higher on the day.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 13, 2013

Hedge Funds Are Pouring Into Distressed Debt / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Greg Madison writes: Regulators have demanded that banks stop engaging in so much risky behavior - chiefly, distressed debt investing. And the banks have begun to curtail this type of investing.

But this has led to an unprecedented - though not unpredictable - situation: It seems the hedge funds are picking up the slack.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 12, 2013

European Finances Still in taters, Ireland, Spain.... Still on the Brink / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Ireland was one of the first European countries to get hit by the financial crisis. It decided to bail out its banks at the direct cost of the taxpayer. In 2012, those banks were still overleveraged (and still are today) to the same level as for instance Cyprus, with assets over 800% of GDP. Probably only Iceland has been worse (UK?!). According to IMF/EC, 2012 Irish national debt was 117% of GDP; not a pretty number either. This all as a lead-up to a May 5 article by Dan White in the Irish Independent that TAE's own Nicole Foss sent over recently. But first a little history, for who may be bit shaky on it, just for fun, and to explain how Ireland got to have its present population of 4.5 million people.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 12, 2013

European Banking Is Getting Scary / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: GoldSilverWorlds

The past week was not only characterized by US equity markets making one all-time high after another. Much less excitement was associated with one frightening message after another related to the state and prospects of the (European) banking sector.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 11, 2013

On the Verge of the Biggest Bond Market Implosion of All Time / Interest-Rates / Japanese Interest Rates

By: Graham_Summers

Japan should serve as a lesson to central planners around the world.

Japan’s stock market/ real estate bubble burst in the early ‘90s. Since that time Japan has launched NINE QE efforts equal to roughly 25% of its GDP. And GDP growth has worsened despite these efforts from 2% to 1%. Ditto for employment.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 10, 2013

Global Interest Rates From An Austrian Economics Viewpoint / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Interest rates all over the world are at historic lows or even negative in some instances.The recent interest rate cut by the European Central Bank brought the interest in Europe to its lowest level ever. The US is going through its fifth consecutive year of almost zero interest rates, which is the longest period ever in times of “peace.” People should question what the longer-term implications are for our economies and for society as a whole. An answer to this question is given by Claudio Grass who wrote about the matter in his latest outlook report (Global Gold Outlook Report)

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 10, 2013

The Fed Admits it's Dug itself into a Very Big Hole / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Bloomberg

Charles Plosser, president of the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank, told Tom Keene and Sara Eisen on "Bloomberg Surveillance" today that "we've dug ourselves a very large hole" and that "when I've weighed the costs and benefits of this [quantitative easing] policy, I've decided that the costs outweigh the benefits."

Plosser also said that it is "disturbing" to him that "more and more is being expected of central banks." He said, "We are expected to solve all the world's problems. Our fiscal authorities are not doing a very good job in any country."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 10, 2013

Long-Term Investors in Danger From Higher Inflation Expectations? / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: One of the biggest concerns for investors when it comes to long-term investing is the safe return of their capital. Following the 6.75% levy imposed by Cyprus on deposits of less than 100,000 euros, many investors were shocked that such an event could take place.

Certainly, long-term investing does have risks, including a hidden hazard of the possibility that a rising inflation rate will erode wealth just as easily as the levy imposed by Cyprus on bank deposits.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 09, 2013

Bank of England Celebrates 50 Months of Stealth Inflation Theft From Savers and Tax payers / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bank of England today kept interest on hold at 0.5% for the 50th month, as Britain's central bank continues to support its bankster brethren in the crime syndicate that calls itself Britain's banks who continue to literally get away with crimes without any real consequences as evidenced by the over 6 year old LIBOR scandal that the mainstream press and financial regulator only awoke to mid last year. As far as I am ware no one has gone to prison for this mega-fraud, instead the CEO's of Britians major banks have been retired on mega-pension handouts whilst all of the fines are at the end of the day being picked up by British tax payers.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 09, 2013

ECB Ponders Buying PIIGS Toxic Debt / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

In an effort to stimulate small and medium (SME) lending the ECB considers acquiring banks toxic debt of the periphery. Via mish-modified translate from Spanish Libre Mercado.

The European Central Bank (ECB) could "soon" start buying bad debts of Southern European countries in an attempt to end the fragmentation in the eurozone and boost funding to SMEs, as confirmed by the German ECB representative Jörg Asmussen.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 08, 2013

Real and Illusory Credit / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Fred_Sheehan

"When Ro-Ro goes No-No" expounded upon the ultimate futility of conjuring illusory wealth. Bernard Connolly's analysis, "Rethinking the Rogoff-Reinhoff Thesis," made the case. Connolly wrote This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, "is largely an exercise in measurement rather than theory (while many of the data in the book are new, little or none of the theory is), it can give rise - and has given rise - to dangerously misleading popular interpretations of the data which its authors had so painstakingly assembled." Connolly then offered the theory; what follows is complementary data.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

U.S. Bond Market Breakdown / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_M_Williams

"Facts are the enemy of truth."- Don Quixote - "Man of La Mancha"

Last week we had the FOMC decision by the US Federal Reserve in which they said that they would continue purchasing US $85 billion a month with basically no end in sight. Aside from that they stated for the first time that they would consider increasing the amount purchased (QE) if the economy were to weaken further. So I don’t have to be able to read the tea leafs to know that puts the Fed squarely on it’s chosen path of monetary stimulus, or QE as it is called, where they go into the bond market and continue to buy debt while holding rates at zero. During the first quarter the Fed purchased 72% of all new debt issued, so you could say it is a market maker. Some might go so far as to say that they are the market.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 07, 2013

QE Unprecedented, Exit Will Be a 'Messy Process' / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Bloomberg

David Zervos, head of global fixed income at Jefferies, told Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker and Sara Eisen on "Market Makers" today that the Federal Reserve's QE program is "the greatest monetary policy experiment of our lifetime and I do not think that anyone is smart enough, me, any central banker up there" to figure out how to properly exit.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 06, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Sell-Off Imminent? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Moe Zulfiqar writes: In its most recent statement, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) said it will continue to print $85.0 billion a month. With this money, it will buy $45.0 billion worth of long-term government debt and $40.0 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities (MBS) each month.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 05, 2013

LIBOR The Next Wall Street Mega-Scandal Has Arrived / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Well, it looks like the major financial institutions can't learn a lesson. They're neck deep in yet another financial scandal of global proportions.

U.S. and international securities regulators investigating manipulation of LIBOR, the world's most important set of benchmark interest rates, have uncovered another price-rigging scheme, this one in the $379 trillion market for interest rate swaps.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 03, 2013

Lower Bond Yields Enticing PIMCO to Sell European Debt / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bloomberg

PIMCO's Bill Gross told Tom Keene and Michael McKee on "Bloomberg Surveillance" today that "lower yields and the higher prices are enticing us to gradually reduce our position" in European debt.

Gross also said that the new normal of subpar economic growth in the U.S. is intact even after employment increased more than forecast in April. Gross said, "We don't see higher real growth than 2 percent going forward...We've seen basically 3.5 percent nominal GDP growth even in the midst of an accelerating housing sector."

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