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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, June 08, 2012

Bankruptia Spain To Seek Imminent German Bailout to Limit Greece Election Contagion / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReuters has let the cat out of the bag Friday concerning secret panic driven talks concerning an imminent bailout of Spain's bankrupt banks, possibly as early as Saturday afternoon. Which follows fast on the heels of the credit ratings agency Fitch downgrading of Spanish Government bonds to just above junk status less than 2 weeks away from the contagion inducing Greek elections. All of which were contributing to what amounts to a state of Financial Armageddon in progress as a chain reaction of detonations takes place across the Euro-zone.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 08, 2012

Financial Collapse At Hand: When is "Sooner or Later"? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEver since the beginning of the financial crisis and Quantitative Easing, the question has been before us:  How can the Federal Reserve maintain zero interest rates for banks and negative real interest rates for savers and bond holders when the US government is adding $1.5 trillion to the national debt every year via its budget deficits?  Not long ago the Fed announced that it was going to continue this policy for another 2 or 3 years. Indeed, the Fed is locked into the policy. Without the artificially low interest rates, the debt service on the national debt would be so large that it would raise questions about the US Treasury’s credit rating and the viability of the dollar, and the trillions of dollars in Interest Rate Swaps and other derivatives would come unglued. 
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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 07, 2012

Will the Fed Provide New Financial Accommodation Soon? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe economic scene has changed in many ways since the April 24-25 FOMC meeting. Labor market data for May have been disappointing with a paltry 69,000 increase in payrolls and an 8.2% unemployment rate in May. Auto sales slowed slightly to an annual rate of 13.8 million units during May from a 14.4 million sales pace in April, real GDP eked out only a 1.9% increase in first quarter, and the financial crisis of the eurozone presents a significant downside risk not only to the US but also to the entire global economy. Market participants will be watching closely Chairman Bernanke’s testimony tomorrow at the Joint Economic Committee and Vice-Chair Janet Yellen’s remarks tonight.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 07, 2012

U.S. Treasury Bond Markets Black Hole Dynamics / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMan-made financial phenomena imitate nature, but more importantly they are subject to the powerful laws of economic nature. The Wall Street financial engineers have built vast structures, which tragically are crumbling and soon will fall to the ground. Vast illusory wealth will be lost, never truly garnered. The fiat currency system has required tremendous efforts not only to build the financial skyscrapers ever higher each year, but also to provide support structures that prevent their topple. With the aid of the subservient press, an illusion of wealth, prosperity, and stability has been fashioned and defended. It is all being blown away by the powerful storms known as the global financial crisis. The term has even earned an acronym for the popular lexicon GFC. My alternative view is that the global monetary war is in full swing, World War III with the USDollar at the epicenter of the conflict and pecuniary violence. A few years ago in June 2005, the Jackass penned an obscure article entitled "Financial Market Physics" just for amusement. Thanks to Vronsky and his intrepid work, the Gold-Eagle archive still lives (for old article CLICK HERE). In it was described momentum, pendulums, traction, leverage, resistance, support, inertia, coiled springs, meltdowns, high versus low pressure differentials, flow dynamics, imbalances, and the infamous black hole. The final concept is of extreme relevance today.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 07, 2012

Playing QE III Game of Chicken / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_Pento

Most investors and market pundits continue to misdiagnose the reason behind the worldwide economic malaise. The underlying problem isn't "uncertainty" or any other platitudes Wall Street and politicians like to offer. The truth is that massive sovereign debt defaults (if central banks allow them to be written down honestly) are very deflationary in nature.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

Student Loans: The Next Scam To Bubble, Pop, Collapse / Interest-Rates / Student Finances

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYes, dear reader, the market seems to have turned. Friday was a disaster…

“Grim Job Report Sinks Markets,” reported The Wall Street Journal.

We’ve had our “Crash Alert” flag up for the last two weeks. Hope it helped.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 06, 2012

The Pernicious Dynamics of Deb, Deleveraging Deflation / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Dr_Martenson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt this moment, the news media is constantly clamoring about the "Three Ds" that are buffeting the markets: debt, deleveraging, and deflation. We intuitively sense that they're linked -- but how, exactly?

Understanding this linking is critical; as debt has fueled the global expansion, it will also dominate its contraction.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

SS €uro is Taking On Serious Water! / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe SS €uro is taking serious water. At the hastily called EU Summit Captains meeting on the Brussels Bridge, it was agreed that the best course of action, despite the worsening waves of bank runs, was to simply instruct the orchestra to continuing playing the same old familiar tune and order the rearrangement of the deck chairs.

However, all the captains somberly recognized there were neither sufficient lifeboats nor anyone willing to come to their rescue. As usual they were in complete disagreement on what to do, they knew they had insufficient resources for anything dramatic and they were well aware the public passengers had no tolerance for any cold water austere attempts for the sake of survival.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

U.S. Treasury Bond 10 Year Yield Could Drop to 1% / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: In the wake of Friday's disastrous jobs number, 10-year Treasury Note yields finally fell through the 1.5% level, trading as low 1.44% on the day.

That plunge took many traders, talking heads and politicians by surprise.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 05, 2012

The Euro-zone Solution Illusion / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNobody, in my book, slices and dices data more thoroughly or convincingly than Greg Weldon. In this week's Outside the Box, he first dispels the illusion that either of the two most-expected outcomes of the growing eurozone crisis is really any kind of a solution – neither expelling Greece nor keeping Greece in the club is going to work, he argues – and then, in a feat of legerdemain, he conjures up an alternative that just might work – and backs up his idea as only Greg can. But is this a rabbit he's pulled out of his hat, or is it ... a Black Eagle?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 04, 2012

Will the ECB and Fed Follow Where China Leads? / Interest-Rates / Global Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery month, policymakers track purchasing managers' indices (PMI) around the world as they consider fiscal and monetary actions. To us, a PMI is a measure of health of companies around the world, because it includes output, new orders, employment and prices across manufacturing, construction, retail and service sectors.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 04, 2012

The Pain in Spain Flashes Financial Armageddon, Inflation Wars / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article continues from - Euro-zone Galloping Towards Financial Armageddon

Spain is bankrupting, its central government is bankrupting, its local government is already bankrupt along with most of its banks that have been busy hiding most of their bad loan losses on crashed property developments. The credit markets despite ECB support are fast closing to Spain as it is being forced to pay credit crisis extreme financial armageddon rates of interest to borrow.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 04, 2012

Euro-zone Galloping Towards Financial Armageddon, Greece Will Take Third World Europe to Inflation Hell! / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCan you smell it ? There's PANIC in the Air!

For instance, apparently Britain is preparing immigration controls for an anticipated flood of refugees from Third World Europe as warns Home Secretary, Theresa May "work is ongoing to deal with large movements of people in the event of the break-up of the single currency". Though these trends have been in force for the duration of the financial crisis that has resulted in net migration of more than 250k per year as I have periodically commented upon as to why the governments forecasts for UK unemployment to FALL were never going to materialise, as workers (especially the young) from across the bankrupting Euro-zone would see Britain as a jobs safe-haven outside of the Euro-zone and that was some 2 years ago!, which the mainstream with the benefit of hindsight has only recently been picking up on.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 04, 2012

If you love your kids, stop the bond bonanza / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA month and a half ago, I posed the following question in Spain, Land of Magical Financial Realism:

These days when I read about Spain I'm wondering more and more how and why it is that the country has any access at all left to international finance markets.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 03, 2012

Sorry Folks, QE 3 Ain’t Coming… Even the Fed Doves Admit It / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Graham_Summers

Once again the US economy is tanking and everyone is talking QE 3. Sorry folks, it ain’t coming. Bernanke said point blank that it was less attractive as a monetary tool as far back as May ‘11!!!

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 02, 2012

Did Interest Swaps Drive Down U.S. Treasury Bond Yields - Beware! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJim Willie alias The Jackass has a theory interest rate swaps created speculative demand for U.S. Treasuries and that drove yields down…in other words there is a bubble.

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article34819.html

If there is a bubble it will bust eventually; The Jackass says that could be catastrophic because the notional value is so huge. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 01, 2012

Cashing In On Japan's Debt Conundrum? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2012

By: Casey_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Ross, Casey Research writes: On the heels of Fitch's sovereign credit downgrade to A plus (the fifth-highest investment grade), Japan's government debt continues to swell. With its debt at over 200% of its GDP, the Land of the Rising Sun appears to be embarking on a trek into the debt-laden unknown.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 31, 2012

Credit Continues to Shrink in Euroland / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2012

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTotal monetary financial institutional (MFI) lending has dropped in five out of the last six months. In April, MFI lending fell 0.2% from a year ago after stalling in February and March (see Chart 1).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Growth in U.S. National Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: BATR

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe one inescapable drag on the economy and every American taxpayer or government dependant is the interest obligation paid on the national debt. Indebtedness is nothing new to this country, but the inability to service the public debt stretches over the last half century. This trend is so disturbing that politicians spend every waking hour avoiding the consequences of the ultimate outcome, the demise of the currency. The reserve currency status that has allowed for effortless deficit spending has a day of reckoning. The final collapse of the global empire and superpower will smell more of financial evaporation than of a military defeat.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Espana en Fuego / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Ashvin_Pandurangi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat's really left to say about Spain, anymore? This 12th largest economy in the world now finds itself as close to financial meltdown as a country (other than Greece) can get, and it has gotten there by taking the most twisted and shady path that it could find. Ilargi wrote about this shadiness back on April 18 in his article, Spain, Land of Magical Financial Realism. In it, he discussed how the bank bailout fund in Spain was being funded by... the Spanish banks themselves, so as to allow the Spanish government to under-state its actual deficit/GDP ratio. Most of that "money", in turn, came from the ECB LTRO Part Dos, which gave out billions worth of 3-year loans to these banks and, in exchange, encumbered just about ALL of the (already toxic) collateral available in the Spanish banking system.

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