Analysis Topic: Politics & Social Trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 22, 2020
Bob Moriarty's Thoughts on the Coronavirus / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321gold shares his thoughts on the coronavirus.
If there was ever a time for real leaders to step forward and lead, the last four months would have been the time to do so. If there was an issue that demanded cooperation from all the nations of the world, we have seen it. Instead we have been fed a steady diet of disinformation and outright lies from almost every government at most levels. If these are the leaders, we ought to fire the whole lot and start anew. Instead of "women and children first," we are seeing "every man for himself."
I've been fairly quiet for the last ten days or so and a lot of people have been bugging me to write more. Certainly this is an important issue so I'll give you my thoughts.
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Monday, April 20, 2020
The UK is now a near Communist state run by Conservatives / Politics / UK Politics
By: Submissions
The State and Politics
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Friday, April 17, 2020
Coronavirus Attack is America's Pearl Harbor Moment - US Heading for War in South China Sea / Politics / China US Conflict
By: Nadeem_Walayat
WAR WITH CHINA MEGA-TREND
CHINA LIED ABOUT EVERYTHING! NUMBER OF INFECTED, NUMBER OF DEATHS THAT WERE LIKELY MORE THAN FIVES TIMES THAT WHICH THEY REPORTED TO THE WORLD!
If you have been following my analysis for sometime then you will be aware that one of the key mega-trend drivers of our time is the War with China mega-trend that I set forth in the following two pieces of in-depth analysis of what I expected to follow that were posted BEFORE Trump took office, a TREND that remains firmly in progress encompassing Trade, Economic, Cyber, Market, Corporate, Territory, Military and Nuclear!
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Friday, April 17, 2020
The Trump COVID-19 Deflection Game / Politics / Pandemic
By: Dan_Steinbock
President Trump blames the WHO for his administration’s COVID-19 debacle. In reality, the White House knew about the virus threat already on Jan 3 but chose not to mobilize until late March.
In a recent interview with Fox News, President Trump said that the projections and pronouncements of the World Health Organization (WHO) about the coronavirus pandemic have been routinely wrong.
"Literally, they called every shot wrong," the president added. "They didn't want to say where [coronavirus] came from.” Threatening the WHO with the withdrawal of US funding, Trump charged WHO director-general Dr Tedros for siding with “Communist China.”
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
The Wuhan Virus Pricked the Everything Bubble / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Michael_Pento
Inflationary and Insolvency Implosion of the Bond Market
We are all praying for the Wuhan virus to die. But there is something the virus can actually “cure” itself: deflation. I put the word cure in quotes because it's not an actual issue in reality. Low inflation and disinflation are actually great conditions to enjoy and help an economy thrive. Increasing the purchasing power of consumers is something that should be cherished and targeted goal. Increases in productivity, along with a strong currency, raises your standard of living. In sharp contrast, Central Banks think any rate of inflation that is less than 2% is a deadly economic disease that must be vanquished faster than the Wuhan virus.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2020
The Road To Perdition Is Paved With Evil Intentions / Politics / Social Issues
By: James_Quinn
“Suckers think that you cure greed with money, addiction with substances, expert problems with experts, banking with bankers, economics with economists, and debt crises with debt spending” ― Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms
“Globalization has created this interlocking fragility. At no time in the history of the universe has the cancellation of a Christmas order in New York meant layoffs in China.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb
As we continue our national lockdown suicide cult to hell, I find myself getting angrier and angrier at the pathetic leadership displayed by politicians, government bureaucrats, so called medical “experts”, and intellectual yet idiot academics displaying their ignorance of facts, reality, history, and humanity. My nature is to be skeptical of everything I read or am told.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2020
UK Covid-19 Deaths Analysis - Danger Real or Exaggerated? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 1 of 2 that updates the current trend trajectories for the coronavirus mega-trend, where whilst the pandemic itself may not last more than a year nevertheless the magnitude of which is likely to impact many aspects of our lives for decades to come. Where the purpose of this analysis is to ensure that we are not all getting carried away by media headlines that could be over exaggerating covid-19 that has resulted in unprecedented government measures. Especially as a significant percentage of people, usually those yet to experience the first hand consequences of the Coronavirus, see it largely in terms of being a corona hoax, fake news, a grab for power, a plandemic, the elites once more playing their power games to enrich themselves just as they did during the financial crisis.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is part 1 of 2 that updates the current trend trajectories for the coronavirus mega-trend, where whilst the pandemic itself may not last more than a year nevertheless the magnitude of which is likely to impact many aspects of our lives for decades to come. Where the purpose of this analysis is to ensure that we are not all getting carried away by media headlines that could be over exaggerating covid-19 that has resulted in unprecedented government measures. Especially as a significant percentage of people, usually those yet to experience the first hand consequences of the Coronavirus, see it largely in terms of being a corona hoax, fake news, a grab for power, a plandemic, the elites once more playing their power games to enrich themselves just as they did during the financial crisis.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
The Society will Strike Back, or are the Swedish too Dumb? / Politics / Social Issues
By: Submissions
I first wrote about a contact tracing surveillance app on mobile phones on 6th April 2020. Six days later, on the 12th April Apple and Google announce their cooperation to develop such app. Apart from the fact the authorities will never let a tech company to store such sensitive information the fundamental problem with Google and Apple plan is the fact that a government will not accept a disease carrier individual to freely and anonymously pass a disease to others in society. It is against the fundamental responsibility of each sovereign state to keep health and well being of society. It is highly naive if Apple or Google thinks that the state will not get involved and will have a closed eye on the control of such sensitive information. As I stated before we will move eventually more to a full implementation of a state contact tracing (surveillance) plan.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2020
Covid-19: Who, what, when, where and Why? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Richard_Mills
If there is one thing we know about the coronavirus, it’s that getting a jump on it helps to limit the number of infections. Clearly the best time to stop this, and all outbreaks, is in its early stages.
Both China and the United States have been accused of suppressing information and delaying acting on knowledge that could have significantly limited the spread of covid-19.
Some may argue this is no time for armchair quarterbacking, as the virus continues to ravage the United States, Canada and several nations in Western Europe including the UK, France, Germany, Italy and Spain.
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Monday, April 13, 2020
Coronavirus Socialism / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: Patrick_Watson
When (hopefully soon) we all get out of coronavirus lockdown and try to resume normal life, we will probably find a different “normal.”
The best-case outcome: scientists discover a “magic bullet” treatment that quickly restores the most serious cases to health. We could then ease restrictions and get on with business.
But more likely, any such treatment is months away and a vaccine probably a year away, so many precautions will have to stay in place. We won’t see large gatherings and crowded restaurants anytime soon.
But we’ll see something else: a radically different economic structure.
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Sunday, April 12, 2020
UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Current State - Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
At times it can be difficult not to be swept along with the NHS wave that has gripped Britain, the clapping and cheering, and stories of Nightingale hospitals coming on stream with thousands of beds. But the same dynamics are at work here, i.e. a high percentage of people on ventilators eventually dying and a surge in the number of patients, so one should take media stories focused on the 15,000 or so of extra beds across Britain's Nightingale hospitals with a pinch of salt, as likely they will not turn out to be anywhere near as effective as people believe them to be should they end up in a Nightingale hospital. So more a publicity stunt than building effective extra capacity.
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Saturday, April 11, 2020
US Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Forecast Update - Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My forecast as of 22nd of March is for the US to trend towards 531,000 tested as infected by the end of April coupled with 26,550 deaths, for a Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of 5%, as it was hoped that valuable time would not be squandered on political bickering during this escalating national emergency, where every day counts.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2020
When Will UK Coronavirus Crisis Imrpove - Infections and Deaths Trend Trajectory Analysis / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Current State
At times it can be difficult not to be swept along with the NHS wave that has gripped Britain, the clapping and cheering, and stories of Nightingale hospitals coming on stream with thousands of beds. But the same dynamics are at work here, i.e. a high percentage of people on ventilators eventually dying and a surge in the number of patients, so one should take media stories focused on the 15,000 or so of extra beds across Britain's Nightingale hospitals with a pinch of salt, as likely they will not turn out to be anywhere near as effective as people believe them to be should they end up in a Nightingale hospital. So more a publicity stunt than building effective extra capacity.
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Wednesday, April 08, 2020
BBC Newsnight Focuses on Tory Leadership Whilst Boris Johnson Fights for his Life! / Politics / UK Politics
By: N_Walayat
At a time of unprecedented national emergency, with thousands dieing each week and our Prime Minister fighting for his life, what does BBC Newsnight focus on? Potential divisions within the Tory party and its leadership! So watch the following that was broadcast a few hours ago on the 7th of April and make your own minds up if BBC Newsnight crossed the line or not!
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Wednesday, April 08, 2020
The Post CoronaVirus New Normal / Politics / Coronavirus Depression
By: John_Mauldin
I don’t think anyone believes we will go to back to anything like January 2020 normalcy anytime soon. We have no idea, even if restaurants and everything open, what shopping patterns will look like.
Are we learning to live on less in our isolation? Seeing your 401(k) become a 201(k) may postpone a car-buying decision or two.
My daughter (see below) works for a cheerleading gymnastics company. Nationwide this is a multi-hundred-million-dollar industry. Will they just open back up and expect all the girls go back on day one? Will their parents be able to afford it? We’re talking many tens of thousands of jobs. Personal trainers? Many jobs will be under pressure.
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Tuesday, April 07, 2020
US Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Forecast Current State / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My forecast as of 22nd of March is for the US to trend towards 531,000 tested as infected by the end of April coupled with 26,550 deaths, for a Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of 5%, as it was hoped that valuable time would not be squandered on political bickering during this escalating national emergency, where every day counts.
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Tuesday, April 07, 2020
Boris Johnson Fighting for his Life In Intensive Care - UK Coronavirus Crisis / Politics / Pandemic
By: N_Walayat
Britain's Prime Minister Boris Johnson is said to be fighting for his life after being moved to Intensive Care a few hours ago. After having contracted Coronavirus about 2 weeks ago, and diagnosed some 10 days ago with the symptoms rapidly worsening over the past couple of days prompting being admitted to St Thomas's hospital on Sunday having received oxygen Monday before being moved to intensive care.
At this point in time it is not clear if he has been put onto a ventilator or not, which unfortunately carries a high mortality rate of over 80% as most of those put on ventilators don't tend to make it.
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Tuesday, April 07, 2020
Was the Fed Just Nationalized? / Politics / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Ellen_Brown
Did Congress just nationalize the Fed? No. But the door to that result has been cracked open.
Mainstream politicians have long insisted that Medicare for all, a universal basic income, student debt relief and a slew of other much-needed public programs are off the table because the federal government cannot afford them. But that was before Wall Street and the stock market were driven onto life-support by a virus. Congress has now suddenly discovered the magic money tree. It took only a few days for Congress to unanimously pass the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, which will be doling out $2.2 trillion in crisis relief, most of it going to Corporate America with few strings attached. Beyond that, the Federal Reserve is making over $4 trillion available to banks, hedge funds and other financial entities of all stripes; it has dropped the fed funds rate (the rate at which banks borrow from each other) effectively to zero; and it has made $1.5 trillion available to the repo market.
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Tuesday, April 07, 2020
US Coronavirus Blacktop Politics / Politics / US Politics
By: Richard_Mills
Benjamin Franklin once said; “Out of adversity comes opportunity.”
The adversity the United States now faces with the coronavirus pandemic is the worst national emergency the country has faced since World War II, more serious, far more deadly, than any natural disaster, 9/11, the War on Terrorism, the Korean War, maybe even Vietnam.
As of this writing, there are 211,143 cases and 4,713 deaths. More coronavirus patients have now died in the United States than in China, the pandemic epicenter, where extraordinary measures were taken to successfully contain it, including locking down entire cities (pop. 50 million), and contact tracing tens of thousands of people connected to those infected, so they could self-quarantine.
Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease expert, said he believes the virus could kill 100,000 to 200,000 before it is done ravaging the US population. That “middle of the road” estimate is at least double the 58,200 American soldiers killed in the Vietnam War.
Depending how long this goes on, the economic fallout from covid-19 could be twice as bad as the Great Recession. A record 3.3 million Americans applied for unemployment insurance last week. If that keep up, one in three will be jobless by summer - more than during the Great Depression.
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