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Sheffield UK General Election 2010 Candidates and Forecast

ElectionOracle / UK General Election Apr 09, 2010 - 01:10 AM GMT

By: N_Walayat

ElectionOracle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article lists Sheffield's current sitting MP's, the results of the 2005 general election, candidates for the forthcoming General Election to be held on 6th May 2010, and the percentage swing needed to replace the sitting MP.


UK General Election Opinion Polls Projection

According to the current analysis of average opinion polls which put the Conservatives on 39%, Labour on 32% and Liberal Democrats on 21%. The average swing from Labour to Conservatives is 5%, From Labour to Liberal Democrats is 0%. The Conservatives require an average swing of 7% to win the next General Election, therefore at this point in time the opinion polls suggest a hung parliament with the Conservative party with the most seats on 296 against Labour on 269.

Sheffield Central

MP Richard Caborn - Labour - Majority 7,055 - Standing Down

2005 Results

Party
Votes
%
 
Labour
14,950
50%
 
Lib Dem
7,895
26%
 
Conservative
3,094
10%
 
Others
4,300
14%
 

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 12%, therefore unlikely.

Candidates 2010

  • Paul Blomfield, Labour
  • Jillian Creasy, Green Party
  • Wayne Harling, UK Independence Party
  • Andrew Lee, Conservative
  • Paul Scriven, Liberal Democrat

Sheffield Attercliffe - Renamed Sheffield South East

Mr Clive Betts - Labour - Majority 15,967

2005 Results

Party
Votes
%
 
Labour
22,250
60%
 
Lib Dem
6,283
17%
 
Conservative
5,329
14%
 
Others
3,195
9%
 

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 22%, therefore highly unlikely.

Candidates 2010

  • Clive Betts, Labour
  • Jonathan Arnott, UK Independence Party
  • Nigel Bonson, Conservative
  • Gail Smith, Liberal Democrat

Sheffield Brightside - Addition of Hillsborough

Rt Hon David Blunkett - Labour - Majority 16,876

2005 Results

Party
Votes
%
 
Labour
16,876
68%
 
Lib Dem
3,232
13%
 
Conservative
2,205
9%
 
Others
2,295
9%
 

For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 28%, therefore highly unlikely.

Candidates 2010

  • David Blunkett - Labour
  • John Sharp - Conservative
  • Patricia Sullivan UK IP

Sheffield Hallam

Rt Hon Nick Clegg - Liberal Democrats - Majority 8,682

2005 Results

Party
Votes
%
 
Lib Dem
20,710
51%
 
Labour
12,028
30%
 
Conservative
5,110
13%
 
Others
2,551
6%
 

 

Candidates 2010

  • Nick Clegg, Liberal Democrat
  • Steve Barnard, Green Party
  • Nicola Bates, Conservative
  • Nigel James, UK Independence Party
  • Jack Scott, Labour

Sheffield Heeley

Meg Munn - Labour - Majority 11,170.

2005 Results

Party
Votes
%
 
Labour
18,205
54%
 
Lib Dem
7,035
20%
 
Conservative
4,987
15%
 
Others
3,695
11%
 
For Labour to lose this seat would require a swing of 17%, therefore highly unlikely.

Candidates 2010

  • Meg Munn, Labour
  • Charlotte Arnott, UK Independence Party
  • Simon Clement-Jones, Liberal Democrat
  • Anne Crampton, Conservative
  • Gareth Roberts, Green Party

Sheffield Hillsborough - Merged with other Constituencies

Ms Angela C. Smith

2005 Results

Party
Votes
%
 
Labour
18,205
54%
 
Lib Dem
7,035
20%
 
Conservative
4,987
15%
 
Others
3,695
11%
 

This constituency has been merged with neighbouring constituencies

Sheffield UK General Election Forecast

The only constituency where there is a chance of a change in MP / party is for Sheffield Central, which would require a large 12% swing from Labour to Lib Dems. None of the other four constituencies is expected to see any change given the large swings required of more than 17%.

Out of the 650 seats, approx 390 require a swing of 15% or more and therefore mean the sitting MP's have effectively a job for life without any real impact from local issues. The outcome of the election will be decided in the 120 marginal constituencies whose electorate will be wooed by the candidates with promises of new hospitals, health centres, schools, nurseries and more over the coming 4 weeks.

Source: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article18499.html

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-10 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and the housing market and he is the author of the NEW Inflation Mega-Trend ebook that can be downloaded for Free. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 500 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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