Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Gold vs Cash in a Financial Crisis - Richard_Mills
2.Current Stock Market Rally Similarities To 1999 - Chris_Vermeulen
3.America See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - Part2 - James_Quinn
4.Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020 - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Who Said Stock Market Traders and Investor are Emotional Right Now? - Chris_Vermeulen
6.Gold Upswing and Lessons from Gold Tops - P_Radomski_CFA
7.Economic Tribulation is Coming, and Here is Why - Michael_Pento
8.What to Expect in Our Next Recession/Depression? - Raymond_Matison
9.The Fed Celebrates While Americans Drown in Financial Despair - John_Mauldin
10.Hi-yo Silver Away! - Richard_Mills
Last 7 days
Gold Price Closely Tracks Debt-to-GDP Ratio - 9th Apr 20
Gold, Silver and Rigged Market Socialism - 9th Apr 20
Going to School in Lockdown Britain, Dobcroft Sheffield - 9th Apr 20
Amazon Face Masks to Protect Against Covid-19 Viral Particles N95, FPP2, PM2.5, for Kids and Adults - 9th Apr 20
Is Natural Gas Price Ready For An April Rally? - 8th Apr 20
Market Predictions And The Business Implications - 8th Apr 20
When Will UK Coronavirus Crisis Imrpove - Infections and Deaths Trend Trajectory Analysis - 8th Apr 20
BBC Newsnight Focuses on Tory Leadership Whilst Boris Johnson Fights for his Life! - 8th Apr 20
The Big Short Guides us to What is Next for the Stock Market - 8th Apr 20
USD Index Sheds Light on the Upcoming Gold Move - 8th Apr 20
The Post CoronaVirus New Normal - 8th Apr 20
US Coronavirus Trend Trajectory Forecast Current State - 7th Apr 20
Boris Johnson Fighting for his Life In Intensive Care - UK Coronavirus Crisis - 7th Apr 20
Precious Metals Are About To Reset Like In 2008 – Gold Bugs, Buckle Up! - 7th Apr 20
Crude Oil's 2020 Crash: See What Helped (Some) Traders Pivot Just in Time - 7th Apr 20
Was the Fed Just Nationalized? - 7th Apr 20
Gold & Silver Mines Closed as Physical Silver Becomes “Most Undervalued Asset” - 7th Apr 20
US Coronavirus Blacktop Politics - 7th Apr 20
Coronavirus is America's "Pearl Harbour" Moment, There Will be a Reckoning With China - 6th Apr 20
Coronavirus Crisis Exposes Consequences of Fed Policy: Americans Have No Savings - 6th Apr 20
The Stock Market Is Not a Magic Money Machine - 6th Apr 20
Gold Stocks Crash, V-Bounce! - 6th Apr 20
How Can Writing Business Essay Help You In Business Analytics Skills - 6th Apr 20
PAYPAL WARNING - Your Stimulus Funds Are at Risk of Being Frozen for 6 Months! - 5th Apr 20
Stocks Hanging By the Fingernails? - 5th Apr 20
US Federal Budget Deficits: To $30 Trillion and Beyond - 5th Apr 20
The Lucrative Profitability Of A Move To Negative Interest Rates - Pandemic Edition - 5th Apr 20
Visa Denials: How to avoid it and what to do if your Visa is denied? - 5th Apr 20 - Uday Tank
WARNING PAYPAL Making a Grab for US $1200 Stimulus Payments - 4th Apr 20
US COVID-19 Death Toll Higher Than China’s Now. Will Gold Rally? - 4th Apr 20
Concerned That Asia Could Blow A Hole In Future Economic Recovery - 4th Apr 20
Bracing for Europe’s Coronavirus Contractionand Debt Crisis - 4th Apr 20
Stocks: When Grass Looks Greener on the Other Side of the ... Pond - 3rd Apr 20
How the C-Factor Could Decimate 2020 Global Gold and Silver Production - 3rd Apr 20
US Between Scylla and Charybdis Covid-19 - 3rd Apr 20
Covid19 What's Your Risk of Death Analysis by Age, Gender, Comorbidities and BMI - 3rd Apr 20
US Coronavirus Infections & Deaths Trend Trajectory - How Bad Will it Get? - 2nd Apr 20
Silver Looks Bearish Short to Medium Term - 2nd Apr 20
Mickey Fulp: 'Never Let a Good Crisis Go to Waste' - 2nd Apr 20
Stock Market Selloff Structure Explained – Fibonacci On Deck - 2nd Apr 20
COVID-19 FINANCIAL LOCKDOWN: Can PAYPAL Be Trusted to Handle US $1200 Stimulus Payments? - 2nd Apr 20
Day in the Life of Coronavirus LOCKDOWN - Sheffield, UK - 2nd Apr 20
UK Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Trend Trajectory - Deviation Against Forecast - 1st Apr 20
Huge Unemployment Is Coming. Will It Push Gold Prices Up? - 1st Apr 20
Gold Powerful 2008 Lessons That Apply Today - 1st Apr 20
US Coronavirus Infections and Deaths Projections Trend Forecast - Video - 1st Apr 20
From Global Virus Acceleration to Global Debt Explosion - 1st Apr 20
UK Supermarkets Coronavirus Panic Buying Before Lock Down - Tesco Empty Shelves - 1st Apr 20
Gold From a Failed Breakout to a Failed Breakdown - 1st Apr 20
P FOR PANDEMIC - 1st Apr 20
The Past Stock Market Week Was More Important Than You May Understand - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus - No, You Do Not Hear the Fat Lady Warming Up - 31st Mar 20
Life, Religions, Business, Globalization & Information Technology In The Post-Corona Pandemics Age - 31st Mar 20
Three Charts Every Stock Market Trader and Investor Must See - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus Stocks Bear Market Trend Forecast - Video - 31st Mar 20
Coronavirus Dow Stocks Bear Market Into End April 2020 Trend Forecast - 31st Mar 20
Is it better to have a loan or credit card debt when applying for a mortgage? - 31st Mar 20

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Coronavirus-stocks-bear-market-2020-analysis

Labour Opinion Poll Boost - Over 80% of Voters Expect Labour to Win an October Election

ElectionOracle / UK General Election Sep 27, 2007 - 02:49 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle A poll conducted by the Market Oracle gives labour a further boost which suggests that 83% of voters believe that Labour would win an October General Election. The Labour party conference draws to a close at mid-day today and despite election fever there is no sign that Gordon Brown is about to declare an imminent general election.


Snap UK General Election 2007

The Poll conducted from Sunday 23rd Sept, right up to this morning asked the following question:

VOTE NOW - Should Gordon Brown go for an October General Election ?

  1. Yes - Because Labour would win (43%)
  2. Yes - Because Labour would lose (13%)
  3. No - Because Labour would lose (4%)
  4. No - Because Labour would win. (40%)

An analysis of the results clearly shows that the vast majority of Labour supporters and opponents both conclude that a Labour victory in an October Election is virtually guaranteed, [1) 43% plus 3) 40% = 83%]

The news is even better for Labour when analysing Labour opponents alone, which suggests 75% of Labour opponents expect labour to win an October election [4) Divided by (2) 43% plus 3) 40%) = 75%] . At the same time 17% of all voters and 15% of Labour only supporters think that Labour would lose an October election.

Labour's overall poll standing is at 47%, which compares against other polling results putting labour at 44%, therefore Labour retains the momentum going into October.

The Market Oracle poll confirms the view that Gordon Brown should seize the opportunity and go to the polls now whilst he is riding high, and especially as his opponents are in disarray.

If Gordon Brown delays then he may come to regret that decision as a deteriorating economy on the back of record debt, banking credit crunch and an anticipated UK housing bust that is already underway. Additionally postponing the election will allow the Tories to get their act together and present a credible alternative to the electorate.

Another negative factor in delaying, is that the British people may eventually come to the opinion that there is little difference between Tony Blair and Gordon Brown, and that they really do want a fresh start. The truth of the matter is that despite the speeches and avoidance of the mention of Tony Blair's name during the much of the conference, there is little difference between the polices of Gordon Brown and that of Tony Blair.

Notes:

* At the time of posting this article, a total of 171 votes have been cast between Sunday 23rd Sept and Thursday 27th September.

* The article Snap UK General Election Before the Economic Slump Hits? - Vote Now! , highlighted the reasons both for and against an Snap General Election this autumn.

* The Poll Remains Open
Click Here to Vote Now (registration not necessary)
Click Here for Results so far.

By Nadeem Walayat
(c) Marketoracle.co.uk 2005-07. All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication. We present in-depth analysis from over 100 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

Derrick Clark
19 Oct 07, 12:49
The Uk's Debt Problem

Over the years through out history we have read that the greed factor never ever works, alse it does is destroys countries through civil wars, and in this country everything is still continuing to go up and up, there are thousands losing there homes on a regular basis through the continuing price hikes the fuel prices continue to grow, what used to be great Britain isn't there anymore it is being destroyed slowely by the banks (ie: the Bank of England who used to raise or lower interest rates to keap the country in check the governments and shear greed, I would not want to be in a rich mans shoes when the trouble kicks off, and I believe it is coming.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules