Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.How U.S. Dollar Destruction Threatens the Global Economy - Steve Forbes
2.Why UK House Prices Will Continue Rising - 'It's Immigration Stupid' - Nadeem_Walayat
3. Bitcoin Price at Beginning of a Move up? - Mike_McAra
4.Gold Price to Plunge, Visiting Fort Knox - David_Hague
5.Silver Price Forecast - Metal to Gain Ground in August on These Factors - Jim Bach
6.Gold And Silver Will Rise With US Dollar Demise, Just Not Soon - Michael_Noonan
7.Bitcoin Price Strong Move Possible - Mike_McAra
8.Israel Gaza War Crimes - Soldier's Ordered to Shoot Civilians Including Children - C4News - C4News
9.UK House Prices Crash Warning - Daily Mail Cognitive Dissonance - Nadeem_Walayat
10.UK House Prices Boom - Top Quick Cheap Tips to Help Sell Your Home - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 5 days
The Black Box Economy - 21st Aug 14
The Bond Market is taking Advantage of Janet Yellen`s Dovishness - 21st Aug 14
Meet Your Investment Manager - 21st Aug 14
Gold and Silver Trading Alert as U.S. Dollar Soars to New Highs - 21st Aug 14
President Obama Strongest Statement Yet on Israel Gaza War - 20th Aug 14
Peak Gold? Russia To Surpass Australia As World No 2 Gold Producer - 20th Aug 14
AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs - 20th Aug 14
Stock Market Investors What's Your Exit? - 20th Aug 14
The Gold War - Thinker, Trader, Holder, Why? - 20th Aug 14
Ukraine Interest Rates Soars to 17.5% As External Debt Cannot be Repaid - 20th Aug 14
Rising Interest Rates and The End of Stimuland - 20th Aug 14
Inflation Watch: $245,000 to Raise a Child in United States - 20th Aug 14
Inside the Stunning Deal That Put Apple and IBM on the Same Side - 20th Aug 14
The US Gold in Fort Knox is Secure, Gone, or Irrelevant? - 19th Aug 14
Bitcoin Price On The Brink of a Possible Reversal - 19th Aug 14
Why Tesla Stock Price Will Double in the Next 12 Months - 19th Aug 14
Europe's Economic Malaise: The New Normal? - 19th Aug 14
The Coming U.S. Economic Collapse Will Trigger a Revolution - 19th Aug 14
Market Bubbles, Bubbles Everywhere - 19th Aug 14
This is Your Economic Recovery With and Without Drugs - 19th Aug 14
Stock Market Strong Start to Jackson Hole Week - 19th Aug 14
Iraq, Ukraine - Oh, What A Tangled Mess We Weave - 19th Aug 14
How to Apply Moving Averages as a Trading Tool - Video - 18th Aug 14
Why Short Stock Traders Are Losing Money This Week - 18th Aug 14
Stock Market Rally May be Complete - 18th Aug 14
Why Chinese Citizens Invest In Gold - 18th Aug 14
Palladium Reaches 13-Year High Over $900 oz as Gold Trading Volumes Surge 66% - 18th Aug 14
Understand and Profit from Surging European Volatility - 18th Aug 14
No Escape from The Dollar as The Currency Standard - 18th Aug 14
Stock Market New Highs Less Certain - 18th Aug 14
German Stock Market DAX About To Drop - 18th Aug 14
Stay on Board - Stock Market Big Picture - 18th Aug 14
Europe Economy Is Tanking, QE Is Coming - 18th Aug 14
Are You Ready for The Greatest Technology Revolution Yet? - 17th Aug 14
Why King Coal is Bigger than Oil or Gas - 17th Aug 14
U.S. Empire of Death and Lies - 17th Aug 14
Ukraine - Whose Spin Are We Caught Up In Here? - 17th Aug 14
Time Decay And No Escape For Abenomics - 17th Aug 14
India BSE SENSEX The Party Is Over In Bombay - 17th Aug 14
Stock Market Uptrend Looks Underway - 17th Aug 14
The Key Role Of Conspiracy Theory In Dumbing Down Society - 17th Aug 14
The Federal Reserve in Denial Mode - Bond Market Explained - 17th Aug 14
Stock Market Ukraine-Triggered Volatility, But a Flat Finish - 16th Aug 14
Stock Market Investors Conditioned To Catch The Falling Knife - 16th Aug 14
Decline And Fall Of The CO2 Crisis - 16th Aug 14

Free Instant Analysis

Free Instant Technical Analysis


Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

The Biggest lie in Stock Market History Revealed

UK CPI Inflation Soars Despite Bank of England Deflation Propaganda, Shocks Academic Economists

Economics / Inflation Nov 13, 2012 - 03:59 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Economics

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK CPI inflation soared for October by rising to 2.7% up from 2.2% (Sept) which is set against academic economists / mainstream press expectations for a rise to just 2.3%. Whilst the more recognised inflation measure, RPI rose to 3.2% up from 2.6%, against press expectations of 2.8%.


Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England had earlier this year forecast that UK inflation would continue falling into the end of this year which the mainstream press and academic economists had been busy regurgitating at length. However today's inflation data reasserts the actual Inflation mega-trend which is for Inflation to remain well above the Bank of England's target rate of 2%, with average CPI for 2012 expected to come in at a rate above the Bank of England's upper limit of 3%.

UK CPI Inflation

The mainstream press headlines say it all (Google) of still not having a clue at all, after having missed three whole years of an inflation mega-trend in progress.

The academics and pseudo economists are again bringing forward virtually every reason under the sun to explain why Inflation has risen, where this time it is apparently tuition fees and food inflation, which are ALWAYS said to be temporarily price rises. However what the most vocal commentators most consistently miss is that the primary driver for Inflation is the debt that the government has been busy printing to the tune of an additional £130 billion a year (budget deficit), which the countries central bank (Bank of England) has been busy monetizing by printing money that it channels to the banks to BUY government bonds that the government prints.

When you print £130 billion per year you are pouring petrol onto the inflation fire, and when you monetize the debt by printing money then you are in effect pouring rocket fuel onto the inflation inferno as I covered at length in the in-depth analysis - 20 Jul 2012 - The Quantum of Quantitative Easing Inflation is Coming! of what is likely to transpire going forward and more importantly why.

The Exponential Inflation Mega-trend

Whilst the mainstream press and academics focus WHOLLY on the annual CPI Inflation graphs as illustrated above, the reality is that of an exponential inflation mega-trend as illustrated by the below graph that shows that despite the British economy having been in economic depression for the past 4 years, yet it has still suffered inflation of over 15%.

UK CPI Inflation Index

The inflation mega-trend is something that the mainstream press never mentions as the journalists who think they are economists rely on vested interest academic economists to pump out propaganda that virtually wholly focuses on what amounts to just the annual momentum in the rate of change of inflation that paints a picture of relative stability when the truth is that of an exponential inflation trend that over time virtually guarantees that value of wealth such as savings will effectively be stolen by governments towards the purpose for the buying of votes to win elections. This demands action be taken to protect oneself from this theft of purchasing power, strategies that I have covered at length over the years and in-depth in the Inflation Mega-trend ebook (FREE DOWNLOAD)

My expectations remain for UK inflation to average above the Bank of England's upper limit of 3% for the duration of this DECADE. My intention remains to generate a more detailed trend forecast for UK inflation for over the coming years ( i.e. as illustrated by past forecasts), which is also necessary in terms of resolving towards trend forecasts for the UK economy and markets such as the UK housing market, to get this on completion in your email in box ensure you remain subscribed to my always free newsletter.

In the meantime the Bank of England continues the QQE fraud as I warned of several months ago (20 Jul 2012 - The Quantum of Quantitative Easing Inflation is Coming! ) that I will discuss in detail in my next in depth analysis as it does warrant a detailed look to dissect the debt monetization dynamics, in the meantime don't let yourselves become infected by mainstream press deflation delusions that will follow after the Bank of England's quarterly economic propaganda report due out tomorrow, because deflation has NEVER been imminent, nor will it be for the duration of this decade.

Source and Comments : http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article37514.html

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2012 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of three ebook's - The Inflation Mega-Trend; The Interest Rate Mega-Trend and The Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 that can be downloaded for Free.

Stocks Stealth Bull Market Ebook DownloadThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend Ebook DownloadThe Inflation Mega-Trend Ebook Download

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2014 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Free Report - Financial Markets 2014