Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Market Decline Will Lead To Pension Collapse, USD Devaluation, And NWO - Raymond_Matison
2.Uber’s Nightmare Has Just Started - Stephen_McBride
3.Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? - Brad_Gudgeon
4.GDow Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - Nadeem_Walayat
5.Gold Significant Correction Has Started - Clive_Maund
6.British Pound GBP vs Brexit Chaos Timeline - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Cameco Crash, Uranium Sector Won’t Catch a break - Richard_Mills
8.Recession 2020 Forecast : The New Risks & New Profits Of A Grand Experiment - Dan_Amerman
9.Gold When Global Insanity Prevails - Michael Ballanger
10.UK General Election Forecast 2019 - Betting Market Odds - Nadeem_Walayat
Last 7 days
You Should Be Buying Gold Stocks Now - 6th Dec 19
The End of Apple Has Begun - 6th Dec 19
How Much Crude Oil Do You Unknowingly Eat? - 6th Dec 19
Labour vs Tory Manifesto Voter Bribes Impact on UK General Election Forecast - 6th Dec 19
Gold Price Forecast – Has the Recovery Finished? - 6th Dec 19
Precious Metals Ratio Charts - 6th Dec 19
Climate Emergency vs Labour Tree Felling Councils Reality - Sheffield General Election 2019 - 6th Dec 19
What Fake UK Unemployment Statistics Predict for General Election Result 2019 - 6th Dec 19
What UK CPI, RPI and REAL INFLATION Predict for General Election Result 2019 - 5th Dec 19
Supply Crunch Coming as Silver Miners Scale Back - 5th Dec 19
Gold Will Not Surpass Its 1980 Peak - 5th Dec 19
UK House Prices Most Accurate Predictor of UK General Elections - 2019 - 5th Dec 19
7 Year Cycles Can Be Powerful And Gold Just Started One - 5th Dec 19
Lib Dems Winning Election Leaflets War Against Labour - Sheffield Hallam 2019 - 5th Dec 19
Do you like to venture out? Test yourself and see what we propose for you - 5th Dec 19
Great Ways To Make Money Over Time - 5th Dec 19
Calculating Your Personal Cost If Stock, Bond and House Prices Return To Average - 4th Dec 19
Will Labour Government Plant More Tree's than Council's Like Sheffield Fell? - 4th Dec 19
What the UK Economy GDP Growth Rate Predicts for General Election 2019 - 4th Dec 19
Gold, Silver and Stock Market Big Picture: Seat Belts Tightened - 4th Dec 19
Online Presence: What You Need to Know About What Others Know About You - 4th Dec 19
New Company Tip: How To Turn Prospects into Customers with CRM Tech - 4th Dec 19
About To Relive The 2007 US Housing Market Real Estate Crash Again? - 3rd Dec 19
How Far Will Gold Reach Before the Upcoming Reversal? - 3rd Dec 19
Is The Current Stock Market Rally A True Valuation Rally or Euphoria? - 3rd Dec 19
Why Shale Oil Not Viable at $45WTI Anymore, OPEC Can Dictate Price Again - 3rd Dec 19
Lib Dem Election Dodgy Leaflets - Sheffield Hallam Battle General Election 2019 - 3rd Dec 19
Land Rover Discovery Sport Brake Pads Uneven Wear Dash Warning Message at 2mm Mark - 3rd Dec 19
The Rise and Evolution of Bitcoin - 3rd Dec 19
Virtual games and sport, which has one related to the other - 3rd Dec 19
The Narrative About Gold is Changing Again - 2nd Dec 19
Stock Market Liquidity & Volume Diminish – What Next? - 2nd Dec 19
A Complete Guide To Finding The Best CFD Broker - 2nd Dec 19
See You On The Dark Side Of The Moon - 2nd Dec 19
Will Lib Dems Win Sheffield Hallam From Labour? General Election 2019 - 2nd Dec 19
Stock Market Where Are We?  - 1st Dec 19
Will Labour's Insane Manifesto Spending Plans Bankrupt Britain? - 1st Dec 19
Labour vs Tory Manifesto Debt Fuelled Voter Bribes Impact on UK General Election - 30th Nov 19
Growing Inequality Unrest Threatens Mining Industry - 30th Nov 19
Conspiracy Theories Are Killing This Nation - 30th Nov 19
How to Clip a Budgies / Parakeets Wings, Cut / Trim Bird's Flight Feathers - 30th Nov 19
Hidden Failure of SIFI Banks - 29th Nov 19
Use the “Ferrari Pattern” to Predictably Make 431% with IPOs - 29th Nov 19
Tax-Loss Selling Drives Down Gold and Silver Junior Stock Prices - 29th Nov 19
We Are on the Brink of the Second Great Depression - 29th Nov 19
How to Spot REAL Amazon Black Friday Bargains and Avoid FAKE Sales - 29th Nov 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

UK House prices predicting general election result

U.S. Stock Market Indices Bottom Is Near! MAP Wave Analysis

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012 Nov 19, 2012 - 02:12 AM GMT

By: Marc_Horn

Stock-Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt looks very much that the US indices are aligned for slow sideways movement before making this MAP Wave scale lows before the end of the year! I imagine that may well have something to do with the US budget fiasco of which the result will be what Europe has achieved over recent years – to kick the can down the road which should bring some relief, and will cause MAP Wave daily pivot scale retest of the recent highs!

 

If that retest fails then anyone that still believes we are in a bull market really should question their models as so far all indexes have failed to make all time highs, with the Russell coming closest, but still failing.


 

The DOW and Russell have broken their monthly support and the SPX has bounced on its monthly support. The Nasdaq bounced on its Q ML and is the only Index projected not to break its 2009 low.

 

One really need to ask oneself how is this possible with the masses of money that has been printed – I mean after all this wonderful Keynesian economic model our governments in the West so faithfully follow just does not seem to be working! The reason is very simple, combined with the reduction in the velocity of money, money is leaving the economy faster than it is being printed! This is called capital flows.

 A very good example is the effective killing of the gold trade in France where it no longer can be bought for cash – does the government really think people are that stupid? Now the French just drive over to Belgium and buy their gold where business is booming! Think on a bigger scale – the British increased taxes and receipts drop! The French being very objective do the same! The result is that people move out of the country with their capital! Is it not time to update our economic thinking?

 

MAP Wave Analysis, unlike Elliot Wave and Andrews Pitchforks, is a systematic methodical rule based approach, details of which can be found either on my blog or here on The Market Oracle and data is archived and updated in a format that is traceable. This allows easy evaluation of MAP Wave Analysis effectiveness when making investment decisions, as well as traceability to improve the methodology.

 

For the full reports to compare projections with price movement click on the indexes below. To ensure the latest updates please click follow on my blog, as you will see on the S&P update below – things can change quickly! This is because the pivot target gets fine tuned as smaller wave fractals develop!

 

DOW

 

Nicely followed the channel of the 19 October update, making pivots on the lower and then upper rail. Then more energy was needed to break the remaining M234MLL (lower orange bold up sloping line) where it made H-1 and H-2 and then nicely followed the H channel which it will break to put in H-4 in the green triangle. This will be followed by a low as late as the end of December in the region of 12100 to 12200 depending on where it hits the purple rectangle shown.

 

S&P

 

If you read my previous article MAP Wave Analysis - Stock Market Clues of US Fiscal Cliff? and receive my regular updates you will have seen this following the morning action!

 

SPX - Upwave over for today! 12 Nov 2012

Based on today’s action H-3 is actually 10-1 as detailed below which will be confirmed with a break of Fridays low.

THIS MEANS HIGH MOMENTUM AS A WAVE CAN BE THE SAME FREQUENCY AS A BIGGER SCALE.

 

Expect D-1 on Lower 4 H MLL

 

This upwave is over!!

 

UPDATE 17 November 2012

As projected on the 12th blog update pasted above, H-3 has been made on the lower 4H0-1-2MLL.

One more H wave down (expected in the green triangle) after this correction is complete in the purple rectangle region around 1300 as early as the beginning of December, but should be in by the end of the year. Once pivot H-4 is in we should have a better idea as to when, but I suspect, like many other indices the fiscal cliff will be averted by kicking the can down the road European style to make D-2 when disillusionment will set in for wave D-3 to test the 2009 lows, most likely just above as the can gets kicked down the road again!

 

 

Nasdaq

Forgot to show projection!!!! But concentrated on projected top! Anyway below you can see that it bounced out of its channel, only to return. That action has led to the below projection with a low between 2700 and 2800 before the end of December. There is going to be a lot of sideways movement on this one once it has completed H-4.

 

 

Russell

 

I have not posted on the Russell for a while so here is my most current assessment for the Russell

 

The Russell by failing to break its all time high has showed it hand that it too is in a major bear market with all the rest! I have been thinking about this a lot, and fractal waves have the answer – everything has its own time! But why would the Russell show it hand so late? I suspect as I have not looked at the composition that this index actually reflect the smaller manufacturing type of business – the type that actually generates wealth in contrast to the DJIA with the old megaliths that have lost touch with reality and need to outsource innovation and survive through sheer size – but even Goliath was overcome by David, and the S&P which has banks and service industries in it that only push wealth around as opposed to actually adding value and generating wealth. Pure speculation on my part at the moment but, I will look at it in the near future!

Big Picture  

 

 

And the retest failure confirming the bear is with us!

 

I am sure you can guess where it is going!

 

UPDATE  20121117

Side note – The Russell has bounced hard off the ML shown above causing it to exceed its upper trend channel. However if you understand fractal waves then you would know this is not a problem as this type of price action is to be expected with the confluence of lines of overlapping fractal waves, and as expected it has rejoined its projected channel as you can see below!

 

This bounce will complete H-4 and D-1 is projected to be in by the 24th December in between 740 and 750 a week earlier than the S&P and Dow which are projecting late bottom dates of 31 December! So it may well be worth watching the Russell for completed wave formation as a leading indicator! It is extremely negative for the outlook of the Russell that it has so easily broken support of the Q45-1 MLL its last remaining long term support.

 

Click here to follow your duty of Use and copyright is described therein.:

Probabilities are derived from the MAP Analysis methodology described therein,

Click follow on my blog to receive regular FREE market updates and discussion.

For other articles published click here

For more information of how I do what I do http://mapportunity.wordpress.com/ . Comments and discussions very welcome!

The statements, opinions and analyses presented in this site are provided as educational and general information only. Opinions, estimates, buy and sell signals, and probabilities expressed herein constitute the judgment of the author as of the date indicated and are subject to change without notice.

Nothing contained in this site is intended to be, nor shall it be construed as, investment advice, nor is it to be relied upon in making any investment or other decision.

Prior to making any investment decision, you are advised to consult with your broker, investment advisor or other appropriate tax or financial professional to determine the suitability of any investment.

© 2012 Copyright Marc Horn - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Comments

maphorn
20 Nov 12, 12:16
Reversal Expected!

Most of the indices are at or near their lines shown in the report above so this would be a good place for them to put in a reversal.

Gold and silver also look like they have put in their highs.

Marc


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules