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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

U.S. Drone War on Pakistan, Selling Nuclear Weapons Consequences, Islamic Apocalypse Countdown

Politics / Nuclear Weapons Nov 07, 2013 - 06:22 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Politics

The near silent war that the mainstream media rarely reports rages on in Pakistan as illustrated by the recent drone attack that killed the Taliban leader in North West Pakistan the day before the Pakistani government was to enter into peace talks with. Whilst many may claim so what it's just one terrorist killing another. However what the drone strikes mask is what is called collateral damage, which according to the Centre for Naval Analysis has to date killed close to 5,000 people of which 9 out of 10 were civilians.


The consequences of the ongoing U.S. Drone war on Pakistan is for all sections of Pakistani society to drift towards a more religiously aligned society as opposed to the preceding trend which had been towards that of a more secular society.

In geopolitical terms this means a more robust adherence to the Sunni faith, stoking up of the age old conflict between Sunni (1.2bn) and Shia Islam (200 mln), mostly centred on neighbouring Iran, which whilst in the strategic interests of the U.S. i.e. an Iranian / Pakistani animosity as illustrated by recent border skirmishes between para-militaries, however it has far wider implications in terms of the unintended consequences of pushing Pakistan further down the path of an Sunni Islamic state along the lines of Saudi Arabia in an attempt to further encircle the Iranian Shia Islamic state.

The unintended consequences is that a Sunni NUCLEAR Pakistan is seeking to reinforce alliances with fellow Sunni states, which means the predominantly wealthy Gulf states headed by Saudi Arabia that it sees as potential sources for revenues and financial aid both against contrary U.S. and Iranian interests.

What Pakistan has to offer is it's nuclear weapons technology, and unlike Iran, states such as Saudi Arabia do not have to embark on multi-decade long nuclear programs that would draw sanctions from the West and sabotage from the intelligence agencies and even military strikes from Israel, but be purchased off the shelf direct from Pakistan that stands ready and willing both for financial benefit and in its geopolitical and religious interests of aiding the Sunni cause both against Shia Iran and Israel.

Today, the BBC reports that Saudi Arabia has several Pakistani nuclear weapons on order, ready to be dispatched and near instantly deployed in already built missile silo's to act as deterrence against either Iran or Israel.

BBC - Newsnight - Saudi nuclear weapons 'on order' from Pakistan

Saudi Arabia has invested in Pakistani nuclear weapons projects, and believes it could obtain atomic bombs at will, a variety of sources have told BBC Newsnight.

While the kingdom's quest has often been set in the context of countering Iran's atomic programme, it is now possible that the Saudis might be able to deploy such devices more quickly than the Islamic republic.

Earlier this year, a senior Nato decision maker told me that he had seen intelligence reporting that nuclear weapons made in Pakistan on behalf of Saudi Arabia are now sitting ready for delivery.

Last month Amos Yadlin, a former head of Israeli military intelligence, told a conference in Sweden that if Iran got the bomb, "the Saudis will not wait one month. They already paid for the bomb, they will go to Pakistan and bring what they need to bring."

Since 2009, when King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia warned visiting US special envoy to the Middle East Dennis Ross that if Iran crossed the threshold, "we will get nuclear weapons", the kingdom has sent the Americans numerous signals of its intentions.

Gary Samore, until March 2013 President Barack Obama's counter-proliferation adviser, has told Newsnight:

"I do think that the Saudis believe that they have some understanding with Pakistan that, in extremis, they would have claim to acquire nuclear weapons from Pakistan."

Countdown to Islamic Apocalypse

The problem with all religious ideologies be it Christianity, Judaism or Islam is that they have an inbuilt desire for armageddon, end of the world, judgment day, for instance the Jewish and Christian bibles expect 2/3rds of humanity to perish in the pursuit of prophecy so that the Messiah / Jesus / Isah will return in a place located in Palestine / Israel (Megiddo). Meanwhile for muslims the day of judgement won't arrive until the muslims fight and defeat the Jews (Israel) where the location of the final battle will be in Syria (Bilâd al-Shâm), so all faiths and their derivatives expect a form of apocalypse that will lead only their faith to victory and entrance for the believers into paradise for eternity.

This is why we see the thirst for the apocalypse playing out in Syria today for this is the place for the final conflict in terms of signs of the apocalypse and thus many muslim fighters on BOTH sides are eager fight to the death as they perceive their actions being towards the fulfillment of prophecy and for rewards in the afterlife..

However, the big problem today when compared against past conflicts and thirsts for armageddon is that many countries now have the potential means to make the apocalypse made manifest. Leading the pack of armageddonists in the region is Israel with approx 250 nuclear weapons, then Pakistan with 120 which is willing to sell a number to fellow Sunni states such as Saudi Arabia and probably secretly already has given that Saudi Arabia has at least 2 large missile launch sites ready and awaiting their arrival including a number of CSS-2 missiles in place to carry them.

All of which increases the risks of an Islamic Sunni / Shia conflict triggered nuclear apocalypse which by the nature of the region would soon include Israel that has within its means to annihilate the entire region, which could trigger an even larger scale use of nuclear weapons i.e. Pakistan, India, China and beyond.

The key to preventing triggering nuclear armageddon is to prevent Iran from attaining nuclear weapons, for as soon as Iran has nuclear weapons then so will instantly Saudi Arabia and not too long afterwards Turkey and Egypt are likely to follow.

Israel's nuclear weapons are not a deterrence, instead they are an encouragement to fulfill prophecy.

The bottom line is this that the region MUST become a Nuclear FREE Zone which means not only dismantling Iran's nuclear programme but also Israel's, for as long as Israel has nuclear weapons then so will other countries actively engage in developing their own nuclear arrangements as a deterrence, but it will only take ONE nuclear war to END the region FOREVER. Unfortunately neither the Israeli, Iranian or Saudi fundamentalists realise this truth so the region remains on a countdown towards certain armageddon which will result in all of the respective so called prophecies being vaporised for eternity. There won't be any second coming of Jesus, Messiah or Mahdi, just a wasteland more barren than the sahara desert.

Source and Comments: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article43017.html

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2013 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of four ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series.that can be downloaded for Free.

The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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