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5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse

Newcastle BS 2.9% Best Current Fixed Rate Cash ISA March, April 2014

Personal_Finance / ISA's Mar 12, 2014 - 06:51 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Personal_Finance

The zero interest rate catastrophe for savers including Cash ISA depositors continues to persist for as long as the Bank of England can get away with government debt monetization and support of the bankrupt banks (Co-op the current bank teetering on the brink of collapse) via unlimited funding scheme that is now approaching its 2nd full year of the collapse in savings interest rates that began in May 2012 and soon accelerated into sub inflation rates of systemic theft as illustrated by the table below which shows the cash ISA rates offered by apparently the often reported on best buy accounts of the Halifax mega-bank that in reality crashed in response to the Bank of England's Funding for Lending Scheme that started in July 2012.


Halifax ISA's May 2012 Sept 2012 Nov 2012 Mar 2013 May 2013 July 2013 Mar 2014 % Cut
Instant Access
3%
2.75%
2.35%
1.75%
1.35% 1.35% 1.5% -50%
1 Year Fix
2.25%
2.05%
2.05%
1.75% 1.75% 1.65% -27%
2 Year Fix
4.00%
3.25%
2.25%
2.5%
2.10% 2.10% 2.05% -49%
3 Year Fix
4.25%
3.75%
2.35%
3.00%
2.25% 2.25% 2.25% -47%
4 Year Fix
4.35%
3.80%
2.40%
3.05%
2.30% 2.30% 2.40% -45%
5 Year Fix
4.50%
4.15%
2.60%
3.10%
2.35% 2.35% 2.5% -44%

The table illustrates that despite a minor up tick in rates, the tax payer bailed out Halifax continues to across the board pay abysmally poor rates of interest that are far below the official UK RPI Inflation rate of 2.8%.

Current Best Cash ISA's for Least Stealth Inflation Theft

Baring in mind the ongoing systemic fraud perpetuated against savers, the following will seek to represent the least loss of purchasing power against an estimated real inflation rate of 4% that at least protects against the 20-40% tax on savings.

Luckily there is a glimmer of hope for cash ISA savers for in a desert of sub inflation rate accounts there has appeared just one account that appears to tick all of the boxes that have been lacking for near 2 years.

Newcastle Building Society 2.9%, 5 Year Fixed Rate Cash ISA

Before you retch at the thought of being forced to lock away your hard earned savings for 5 years just to have a chance of beating official inflation. You need to consider the following points of the Newcastle ISA Account that literally get the heart racing for savings obsessive's

  • Five year fixed rate of 2.9% per annum.
  • Withdrawals including transfers out are permitted subject to 120 days loss of interest ONLY on the monies withdrawn.
  • Fixed until March 2019
  • Allows deposits and transfers in as long as the issue remains current (open).

The key point is that the account allows withdrawals with the loss of 120 days interest, which changes the nature of the account as it is no longer behaves as a 5 year fixed rate account but instead a very high rate of interest paying instant access account that pays 2.9% with a withdrawal fee of 0.96%, that allows for capital to be transferred out at any point during the next 5 years when interest rates rise!

The following table better illustrates the actual average rate of interest that savers will achieve by the end of each year, that takes into account the 0.957% early withdrawal fee, as compared against similar term fixed rate accounts by the Halifax

Year Newcastle Effective rate Halifax Better off by per year
1
1.97%
1.65%
+0.32%
2
2.42%
2.05%
+0.37%
3
2.58%
2.25%
+0.33%
4
2.66%
2.40%
+0.26%
5
2.9%
2.5%
+0.4%

 

Therefore the Newcastle Cash ISA both pays a higher rate of interest (after the early exit charge) AND allows transfers out when interest rate actually do rise.

In my opinion this is by far the BEST cash ISA account to appear on the market for at least 18 months due to its flexible nature. Therefore I would not be surprised if high demand results in it soon disappearing from the market place which means it is better to act sooner rather than later.

Summary of ISA Rules & Benefits

  • The ISA accounts are TAX FREE, and do not have to be entered onto any tax returns. The equivalent taxable return on a 3% cash ISA for standard rate tax payers is 3.6%. For higher rate tax payers it is 4.2%.
  • The income from tax ISA's does not count against many mean tested benefits such as Tax Credits.
  • The Allowance for 2013-14 is £11,520, £5,760 for cash and £5,760 for shares ISA's or the whole £11,520 into a shares ISA.
  • You can only open ONE New cash ISA per tax year, and you can add new monies to One Cash ISA per tax year (see transfers). Similarly you can open only one new Shares ISA per tax year.
  • You do not have to open a Cash ISA with your existing provider, i.e. you can open an account at different providers every year.
  • Most providers allow for transfers in. And ALL should allow you to transfer out.
  • Once you withdraw from a Cash ISA you cannot then then re-deposit into. The £5,760 limit refers to total deposited, and not maximum account balance. So if you deposit £5,760, and withdraw £1000, then you cannot re-deposit that £1000 in the same tax year as you have used up your £5,760 deposit limit.
  • To maximize your tax free interest, it is best to open your account at the start of the tax year.
  • The Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) guarantees the first £85,000 (Euro 100,000) per person, per banking licence . Those with sizable savings that total more than £85,000 should ensure that their institutions really are separate, especially given the banking crisis forced mergers.
  • There is the facility to transfer Cash ISA monies into Shares ISA's but NOT from Shares ISA's to Cash ISA's .
  • Next years Cash ISA allowance (2014-15) will increase inline with CPI inflation to £5,940.

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Source and Comments: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article44790.html

Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2014 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, stocks, housing market and interest rates. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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