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U.S. House Prices Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 to 2021

Australia House Prices Bubble 'Flashing Red', Debt to Income at Record Level

Housing-Market / Austrailia Apr 06, 2014 - 04:57 PM GMT

By: Mike_Shedlock

Housing-Market

Australia's housing bubble is back in full swing. Prices rose almost 11 percent over the past year to record levels in absolute terms and near-record levels as a share of household income.  Prices in Sydney rose 15 percent.

Household debt as a percent of income surpassed the previous record.


WAtoday reports Australia's house prices 'flashing red', debt to income ratio at record levels.

Australian household debt has hit a record 177 per cent of annual disposable income while housing valuations are "flashing red", according to Barclay's chief economist, Kieran Davies. "House prices now equate to 4.3 times annual income and 28 times annual rent, both within a fraction of their historic highs," Mr Davies said.

Home Prices to Income

Household Debt as Percent of Income

In March RBA governor Glenn Stevens warned "we need to be alert to the possibility that the past year of strong rises in dwelling prices leads people to assume that this is the norm". "Were such an assumption to lead to increasing speculative activity, accompanied by a renewed increase in household leverage with all the associated risks to the housing market ... that would be unwelcome," Mr Stevens said.

That home prices and debt-to-income are back up at record levels is a sign that speculation is already back in full swing already.

Is there any central bank governor anywhere that can spot speculative bubbles before they burst? Apparently not.

By Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

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Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management . Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

Visit Sitka Pacific's Account Management Page to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

I do weekly podcasts every Thursday on HoweStreet and a brief 7 minute segment on Saturday on CKNW AM 980 in Vancouver.

When not writing about stocks or the economy I spends a great deal of time on photography and in the garden. I have over 80 magazine and book cover credits. Some of my Wisconsin and gardening images can be seen at MichaelShedlock.com .

© 2014 Mike Shedlock, All Rights Reserved.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

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