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Trading Lessons

The Fed is About to Trigger Another Great Depression

Economics / Great Depression II Mar 09, 2016 - 05:44 PM GMT

By: Graham_Summers

Economics

It’s literally 1937 all over again.

Many analysts have called for the Fed not to repeat its mistake of 1937.

That mistake?

Raising rates when the economy was already weak. Doing this prolonged the Great Depression.


However, few commentators point out WHY the Fed raised rates in 1937.

The reason?

CPI hit 3.7%.

Notice that by raising rates the Fed kicked off another terrible round of deflation with CPI falling from 3.7% to -2.0% in JUST ONE YEAR.

Fast forward to today. The US’s inflation rate is moving vertical…

Core inflation is already ABOVE 2%.

The Fed is cornered. If core inflation continues to rise the Fed will be forced to raise rates, kicking off another Depression.

By the way, in the 12 months after the Fed hiked rates in 1937, stocks fell 40%.

Buckle up, it’s coming.

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Graham Summers

Phoenix Capital Research

http://www.phoenixcapitalmarketing.com

Graham also writes Private Wealth Advisory, a monthly investment advisory focusing on the most lucrative investment opportunities the financial markets have to offer. Graham understands the big picture from both a macro-economic and capital in/outflow perspective. He translates his understanding into finding trends and undervalued investment opportunities months before the markets catch on: the Private Wealth Advisory portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 three of the last five years, including a 7% return in 2008 vs. a 37% loss for the S&P 500.

Previously, Graham worked as a Senior Financial Analyst covering global markets for several investment firms in the Mid-Atlantic region. He’s lived and performed research in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the United States.

© 2016 Copyright Graham Summers - All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

Graham Summers Archive

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