Best of the Week
Most Popular
1.UK General Election BBC Exit Polls Forecast Accuracy - Nadeem_Walayat
2.UK General Election 2017 Seats Final Forecast, Labour, Conservative Lib-Dem, SNP - Nadeem_Walayat
3.UK General Election 2017 Forecast: Conservative 358, Labour 212 Seats - Nadeem_Walayat
4.Theresa May to Resign, Fatal Error Was to Believe Worthless Opinion Polls! - Nadeem_Walayat
5.UK House Prices Forecast General Election 2017 Conservative Seats Result - Nadeem_Walayat
6.The Stock Market Crash of 2017 That Never Was But Could it Still Come to Pass? - Sol_Palha
7.[TRADE ALERT] Write This Gold Stock Ticker Down Now - WallStreetNation
8.UK General Election Results Map 2017 vs 2015 vs Opinion Polls - Nadeem_Walayat
9.Orphaned Poisoned Waters,Severe Chronic Water Shortage Imminent - Richard_Mills
10.How The Smart Money Is Playing The Lithium Boom - OilPrice_Com
Last 7 days
Sheffield Great Flood of 2007, 10 Years On - Unique Timeline of What Happened - 24th Jun 17
US Stock Market Correction Could be Underway - 24th Jun 17
Proof That This Economic Recovery Narrative is False - 24th Jun 17
Best Cash ISA for Soaring Inflation, Kent Reliance Illustrates the Great ISA Rip Off - 24th Jun 17
Gold Summer Doldrums - 23rd Jun 17
Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride? - 23rd Jun 17
Nether Edge By Election Result: Labour Win Sheffield City Council Seat by 132 Votes - 23rd Jun 17
Grenfell Fire: 600 of 4000 Tower Blocks Ticking Time Bomb Death Traps! - 22nd Jun 17
Car Sales About To Go Over The Cliff - 22nd Jun 17
LOG 0.786 support in CRUDE OIL and COCOA - 22nd Jun 17
More Stock Market Fluctuations Along New Record Highs - 22nd Jun 17
Understanding true money, Pound Sterling must make another historic low, Euro and Gold outlook! - 22nd Jun 17
Green Party Could Control Sheffield City Council Balance of Power Local Election 2018 - 22nd Jun 17
Ratio Combo Charts : Hidden Clues to the Gold Market Puzzle - 22nd Jun 17
Steem Hard Forks & Now People Are Making Even More Money On Blockchain Steemit - 22nd Jun 17
4 Steps for Comparing Binary Options Providers - 22nd Jun 17
Nether Edge & Sharrow By-Election, Will Labour Lose Safe Council Seat, Sheffield? - 21st Jun 17
Stock Market SPX Making New Lows - 21st Jun 17
Your Future Wealth Depends on what You Decide to Keep and Invest in Now - 21st Jun 17
Either Bitcoin Will Fail OR Bitcoin Is A Government Invention Meant To Enslave... - 21st Jun 17
Strength in Gold and Silver Mining Stocks and Its Implications - 21st Jun 17
Inflation is No Longer in Stealth Mode - 21st Jun 17
CRUDE OIL UPDATE- “0.30 risk is cheap for changing implication!” - 20th Jun 17
Crude Oil Verifies Price Breakdown – Or Is It Something More? - 20th Jun 17
Trump Backs ISIS As He Pushes US Onto Brink of World War III With Russia - 20th Jun 17
Most Popular Auto Trading Tools for trading with Stock Markets - 20th Jun 17
GDXJ Gold Stocks Massacre: The Aftermath - 20th Jun 17
Why Walkers Crisps Pay Packet Promotion is RUBBISH! - 20th Jun 17
7 Signs You Should Add Gold To Your Portfolio Now - 19th Jun 17
US Bonds and Related Market Indicators - 19th Jun 17
Wireless Wars: The Billion Dollar Tech Boom No One Is Talking About - 19th Jun 17
Amey Playing Cat and Mouse Game with Sheffield Residents and Tree Campaigners - 19th Jun 17
Positive Stock Market Expectations, But Will Uptrend Continue? - 19th Jun 17
Gold Proprietary Cycle Indicator Remains Down - 19th Jun 17
Stock Market Higher Highs Still Likely - 18th Jun 17
The US Government Clamps Down on Ability of Americans To Purchase Bitcoin - 18th Jun 17
NDX/NAZ Continue downward pressure on the US Stock Market - 18th Jun 17
Return of the Gold Bear? - 18th Jun 17
Are Sheffield's High Rise Tower Blocks Safe? Grenfell Cladding Fire Disaster! - 18th Jun 17
Globalist Takeover Of The Internet Moves Into Overdrive - 17th Jun 17
Crazy Charging Stocks Bull Market Random Thoughts - 17th Jun 17
Reflation, Deflation and Gold - 17th Jun 17
Here’s The Case For An Upside Risk In The Global Economy - 17th Jun 17
Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike - 16th Jun 17
Drones Upending Business Models and Reshaping Industry Landscapes - 16th Jun 17
Grenfell Tower Cladding Fire Disaster, 4,000 Ticking Time Bombs, Sheffield Council Flats Panic! - 16th Jun 17
Heating Oil Bottom Is In.(probably) - 16th Jun 17
Here’s the Investing Reason Active Funds Can’t Beat Passive Funds—and It Worries Me a Lot - 16th Jun 17
Is There Gold “Hype” and is Gold an Emotional Trade? - 16th Jun 17

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

The MRI 3D Report

British Pound Soars on BrExit Hopes Despite Remain Establishment Fear Mongering

ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum May 20, 2016 - 04:45 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

The level of propaganda emanating from the REMAIN establishment camp continues to be relentless. However, as my series of articles and videos have illustrated that virtually every piece of establishment propaganda fails to stand up to close scrutiny and one such piece of misinformation being regurgitated at length by the press is that of the British Pound coming under intense pressure following David Cameron's February announcement to hold an In / Out EU Referendum on June 23rd.


The collective establishment mainstream press that includes the likes of the BBC, Channel 4 News and the myriad of dieing broadsheet publications such as the FT, all in near unison have been propagating headlines such as a 'Boris Johnson Causes a Run on the Pound' following a 3 cent dip against the US Dollar on supposed rising BrExit fears as though the fall in the pound was catastrophically bad news, and has remained the story peddled since Mid February.

This despite the same clueless press only weeks earlier reporting on the likes of Japan implementing NEGATIVE interest rates in an attempt to PUSH the Japanese yen lower as each nation is engaged in completive devaluations against one another currencies so as to boost domestic demand by means of importing inflation and exporting deflation in what is commonly termed as the CURRENCY WARS.

Therefore rather than a panic, instead Britain effectively won a battle in a raging worldwide currency war all without implementing any panic monetary tool or economic policy, which is set against other central banks right across the western world from Switzerland to and the whole Euro-zone block and most recently Japan, cutting their interest rates to below ZERO in panic attempts to push their currencies lower as I explained at the time in the following video analysis -

https://youtu.be/10vzVgHDOgs

In fact at the time I concluded that rather than the British Pound falling as was the overwhelming consensus view that probability actually favoured the British Pound being substantially higher a year on:

22 Feb 2016 - British Pound BrExit Plunge Press Panic! FACT: Helps Britain WIN Currency War!

In terms of the technical picture for the GBP, yes sterling is clearly in a bear market, but the worst of the sell off was over a year ago, since which time sterling has been fairly stable, which implies rather than the current sell of marking the start of a new panic sell off stage, instead the downside is very limited and probability actually favouring sterling being nearer to 20% higher a year from now then 20% lower as the clueless mainstream press has been busy propagating today.

And so the sterling collapse fear story has continued to be peddled by the establishment press for the past 3 months.

So what has transpired during the past 3 months, has British Pound continued to collapse into the dark BrExit void?

Well the British Pound was trading at £/$1.43 on the day David Cameron announced the date of the EU Referendum. Immediately trending lower to £/$1.3833 or down 3%, which is not exactly what one would term as a currency in crisis! However, of greater significance is that during the past 3 months that has seen a narrowing in the opinion in the favour of BrExit to stand virtually neck and neck on 44%, and despite the continuing relentless press FEAR headlines of a sterling crisis. Instead the British Pound has RISEN, trended higher to currently stand at £/$1.46, up 5.5% from its Feb low.

Therefore whilst the establishment press has been continuously pumping out the false stories of a plunging currency on BrExit fears, instead the reality has been one of the British Pound rising on BrExit hopes! And given the upward trend trajectory the British Pound could easily achieve £/$1.50 by June 23rd.

So the bottom line is that in today's binary propaganda world, the establishment press and institutions only ever tend to see the days when the pound takes a dip as illustrated by their scare mongering headlines, all whilst ignoring the prevailing RISING TREND, because the markets well understand that the benefits of LEAVING the EU far outweigh the costs of REMANING in the EU, hence the British Pound has been on an upwards trend trajectory. In fact sterling's strength is an indicator that it is EUROPE that would suffer from a BrExit rather than Britain, which means expect sterling STRENGTH following a BREXIT rather than weakness as the whole EU project would be thrown into doubt and thus Britain would be seen as a safe haven as it is being today, which is the exact opposite of the garbage peddled by the likes of the FT and the Bank of England!

EU Referendum BrExit - New Dawn?

The latest EU referendum opinion polls put the LEAVE and REMAIN camps virtually neck and neck on 44% with 12% of those polled undecided. Which compares against a month ago of 42% LEAVE and 48% REMAIN, 10% undecided. So it is no wonder that the REMAIN camp has gone into full blown panic mode with a relentless torrent of fear mongering emanating from the establishment REMAIN camp. Instead I offer my latest video in this series as a message of HOPE, a message of a New Dawn, New Life for Britain, summed up in one word FREEDOM!

https://youtu.be/rQWHG3zV6eU

With just 5 weeks to go the Market Oracle's own 9 month long BrExit campaign is being ramped up as we enter these last few weeks, producing pro-LEAVE resources from in-depth analysis, rebuttal article such as this, many videos, and active on the social networks so as to do our best to play a part in Britain achieving freedom which you can support allowing us to further intensify our campaign and rebuttals of the daily barrage of REMAIN propaganda as well as produce entertaining video's to help dissipate REMAINs smoke and mirrors propaganda.

Counting Down to Freedom - Support Our BrExit Campaign

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter (only requirement is an email address) for forthcoming in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecasts that include the following :

  • BrExit to Save Europe from the Apocalypse
  • US Dollar Trend Forecast
  • UK Housing Market Trend Forecasts
  • US Stock Market Forecasts
  • US House Prices Detailed Multi-Year Trend Forecast
  • Gold and Silver Price Forecast

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2016 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

Nadeem Walayat Archive

© 2005-2017 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

Catching a Falling Financial Knife