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Nadeem Walayat Financial Markets Analysiis and Trend Forecasts

Macron Wins French Presidential Election, Le Pen to Concede Defeat on Close of Polls

ElectionOracle / France May 07, 2017 - 04:53 AM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

ElectionOracle

The last minute En Marche! hack and leak of 9 gigabytes of Emmanuel Macron's personal and campaign emails came too late to have any effect on the outcome of the French Presidential election, as going into voting day the Rothschild Banker Macron led Fascist Le Pen by a huge 26%, 63% against 37%, an unbridgeable gap, which means Emmanuel Macron IS the next President of France.


Whilst in the remaining few hours before the polls close Le Pen's supporters cling onto BrExit contagion hopes without realising that the BrExit factor only ever allowed for a 4% hidden from pollsters swing. Whilst Le Pen needs a huge 13% hidden swing to win! That was just not going to happen, the 26% gap was unbridgeable and therefore Macron has won the French Presidential Election 2017.

My forecast conclusion from before the 1st round of voting mapped out why Le Pen in reality stood no chance of winning against Macron and since when nothing has changed to suggest otherwise.

Can Marine Le Pen Win? French Presidential Election Forecast 2017

Furthermore the betting markets have consistently been heavily discounting a Macron win where he has remained a virtual dead cert on 1.06 against Le Pen on 15.

So whilst the pollsters, pundits and bookies got both Britain's Brexit and the US Presidential election badly wrong, miserably failing to see that the Alt Reality TV star Donald Trump playing his Oscar winning role as Mr BrExit would win the election, who equally in the last few days of the campaign was trailing Hillary Clinton on betting markets on 6.4 to 1.19. Still that reply is not going to happen this time.

However, France whilst having dodged a Le Pen fascist bullet, nevertheless remains doomed by virtue of France being a member of the German Empire, more commonly known as the European Union which has especially crippled all members of the Euro-zone, except Germany.

And where the leaks are concerned then as my earlier analysis suggested the real hackers and leaker's are more likely to reside a hundred miles north of the English Channel then several thousand miles eastwards.

06 May 2017 - Did MI6 Not Putin Hack French Election, Macron Emails Leak for BrExit War?

So Why Hacked Macron?

The answer may well lie in what happens AFTER Macron takes power, following which will be the French parliamentary elections in about a months time which appears to the real target of today's leak. One of undermining, in fact crippling a Macron Presidency for the NEXT TWO YEARS! So that it remains paralysed, weak, ineffectual to do anything as the media pours over the leaked emails publishing damaging material virtually every day in the lead up to the June 11th and 18th votes.

And what major event is expected to transpire over the next 2 years ?

BREXIT!

From what I can see the real beneficiary from a crippled Macron Presidency is BRITAIN during the BrExit negotiations. Macron is an self prophesied europhile who had gone out of his way to warn that Britain WILL be punished during the BrExit negotiations, with statements such as "The British will lose", "Brexit is a crime", " warned that Britain faced servitude".

All of which suggests that the French need to look northwards across the English Channel at the likes of MI6 for the origins of the hack and mega emails leak as part of an unfolding BrExit war.

And it should not be forgotten that the leak followed Theresa May's mid week warning of the European Union attempting to interfere in the British June 8th General Election.

Theresa May after initially brushing aside the reports in the German press as inaccurate on Wednesday went on the offensive following realisation of the insidious game that the EU was attempting to play in attempts at subverting the outcome of the UK general election in the EU's favour and thus weakening Britain's Brexit negotiations.

“Britain’s negotiating position in Europe has been misrepresented in the continental press. The European Commission’s negotiating stance has hardened. Threats against Britain have been issued by European politicians and officials. All of these acts have been deliberately timed to affect the result of the general election that will take place on 8 June.”

But the events of the last few days have shown that – whatever our wishes, and however reasonable the positions of Europe’s other leaders – there are some in Brussels who do not want these talks to succeed, who do not want Britain to prosper.

So now more than ever we need to be led by a Prime Minister and a Government that is strong and stable.”

The BrExit war series of videos is based on my following in-depth analysis that explain what Britain needs to do to win the BrExit War that the UK is engaged in with the European Union.

1. The BrExit War - Article 50 Triggered General Election 2017 Called- Let the Games Begin!

The Brexit War - Article 50 Triggered, General Election 2017 Called

Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter for my latest analysis and to our youtube channel for videos in the BrExit War series.

By Nadeem Walayat

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Copyright © 2005-2017 Marketoracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd). All rights reserved.

Nadeem Walayat has over 25 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem's forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook's in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Housing Markets Forecast 2014-2018The Stocks Stealth Bull Market 2013 and Beyond EbookThe Stocks Stealth Bull Market Update 2011 EbookThe Interest Rate Mega-Trend EbookThe Inflation Mega-trend Ebook

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction. http://www.marketoracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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