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Gold COT Data at Extreme Levels, which suggests Recovery Should Start Soon

Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018 Aug 22, 2018 - 08:18 AM GMT

By: The_Gold_Report

Commodities

In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.


The gold sector is on a long-term buy signal, but $HUI needs to hold above 160 on a monthly close to avoid a long -erm sell signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.

The gold sector is on a short-term sell signal. Short-term signals can last for days and weeks, and are more suitable for traders.

Our ratio between gold and gold stocks is on short-term sell signal.

Speculation is now at net short for the first time since 2001.

Silver is on a long-term buy signal.

SLV is on a short-term sell signal, and short-term signals can last for days to weeks, more suitable for traders.

Speculation is at net short again.

USD: A correction/pullback should start soon, which may provide some relief to the metals.

Summary The precious metals sector is on a long-term buy signal, but that may change at month end. Short term is on sell signals. The cycle is down. COT data is at extreme levels, which suggests a recovery should start soon. We have trimmed our exposure for now and wait for more data over the next two weeks.

Jack Chan is the editor of simply profits at www.simplyprofits.org, established in 2006. Chan bought his first mining stock, Hoko Exploration, in 1979, and has been active in the markets for the past 37 years. Technical analysis has helped him filter out the noise and focus on the when, and leave the why to the fundamental analysts. His proprietary trading models have enabled him to identify the NASDAQ top in 2000, the new gold bull market in 2001, the stock market top in 2007, and the U.S. dollar bottom in 2011.

Disclosure: 1) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of Jack Chan and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. Jack Chan is wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not involved in any aspect of the article preparation or editing so the author could speak independently about the sector. The author was not paid by Streetwise Reports LLC for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the author to publish or syndicate this article. 2) Jack Chan: We do not offer predictions or forecasts for the markets. What you see here is our simple trading model, which provides us the signals and set-ups to be either long, short, or in cash at any given time. Entry points and stops are provided in real time to subscribers, therefore, this update may not reflect our current positions in the markets. Trade at your own discretion. We also provide coverage to the major indexes and oil sector. 3) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.

Charts courtesy of Jack Chan


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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