Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. 2019 From A Fourth Turning Perspective - James_Quinn
2.Beware the Young Stocks Bear Market! - Zeal_LLC
3.Safe Havens are Surging. What this Means for Stocks 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
4.Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2018 - Trump and BrExit Chaos Dominate - Nadeem_Walayat
5.January 2019 Financial Markets Analysis and Forecasts - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Silver Price Trend Analysis 2019 - Nadeem_Walayat
7.Why 90% of Traders Lose - Nadeem_Walayat
8.What to do With Your Money in a Stocks Bear Market - Stephen_McBride
9.Stock Market What to Expect in the First 3~5 Months of 2019 - Chris_Vermeulen
10.China, Global Economy has Tipped over: The Surging Dollar and the Rallying Yen - FXCOT
Last 7 days
Risk/Reward in Silver Favors Buying Now, Not Waiting for Big Moves - 23rd Mar 19
Similarities Between Stock Market Today and Previous Bull Market Tops - 23rd Mar 19
Stock Market DOW Seasonal Trend Analysis - 23rd Mar 19
US Dollar Breakdown on Fed Was Much Worse Than It Looks - 23rd Mar 19
Gold Mid-Tier GDXJ Stocks Fundamentals - 23rd Mar 19
Which Currency Pairs Stand to Benefit from Prevailing Risk Aversion? - 23rd Mar 19
If You Get These 3 Things Right, You’ll Never Have to Worry About Money - 22nd Mar 19
March 2019 Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis - 22nd Mar 19
Turkey Tourist Fakes Market Bargains Haggling Top Tips - 22nd Mar 19
Next Recession: Finding A 48% Yield Amid The Ruins - 22nd Mar 19
Your Future Stock Returns Might Unpleasantly Surprise You - 22nd Mar 19
Fed Acknowledges “Recession Risks”. Run for the Hills! - 22nd Mar 19
Will Bridging Loans Grow in Demand and Usage in 2019? - 22nd Mar 19
Does Fed Know Something Gold Investors Do Not Know? - 21st Mar 19
Gold …Some Confirmations to Watch For - 21st Mar 19
UKIP No Longer About BrExit, Becomes BNP 2.0, Muslim Hate Party - 21st Mar 19
A Message to the Gold Bulls: Relying on the CoT Gives You A False Sense of Security - 20th Mar 19
The Secret to Funding a Green New Deal - 20th Mar 19
Vietnam, Part I: Colonialism and National Liberation - 20th Mar 19
Will the Fed Cut its Interest Rate Forecast, Pushing Gold Higher? - 20th Mar 19
Dow Jones Stock Market Topping Pattern - 20th Mar 19
Gold Stocks Outperform Gold but Not Stocks - 20th Mar 19
Here’s What You’re Not Hearing About the US - China Trade War - 20th Mar 19
US Overdosing on Debt - 19th Mar 19
Looking at the Economic Winter Season Ahead - 19th Mar 19
Will the Stock Market Crash Like 1937? - 19th Mar 19
Stock Market VIX Volaility Analysis - 19th Mar 19
FREE Access to Stock and Finanacial Markets Trading Analysis Worth $1229! - 19th Mar 19
US Stock Markets Price Anomaly Setup Continues - 19th Mar 19
Gold Price Confirmation of the Warning - 18th Mar 19
Split Stock Market Warning - 18th Mar 19
Stock Market Trend Analysis 2019 - Video - 18th Mar 19
Best Precious Metals Investment and Trades for 2019 - 18th Mar 19
Hurdles for Gold Stocks - 18th Mar 19
Pento: Coming QE & Low Rates Will Be ‘Rocket Fuel for Gold’ - 18th Mar 19
"This is for Tommy Robinson" Shouts Knife Wielding White Supremacist Terrorist in London - 18th Mar 19
This Is How You Create the Biggest Credit Bubble in History - 17th Mar 19
Crude Oil Bulls - For Whom the Bell Tolls - 17th Mar 19
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals - 17th Mar 19
Why Buy a Land Rover - Range Rover vs Huge Tree Branch Falling on its Roof - 17th Mar 19
UKIP Urged to Change Name to BNP 2.0 So BrExit Party Can Fight a 2nd EU Referendum - 17th Mar 19
Tommy Robinson Looks Set to Become New UKIP Leader - 16th Mar 19
Gold Final Warning: Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price - 16th Mar 19
Towards the End of a Stocks Bull Market, Short term Timing Becomes Difficult - 16th Mar 19
UKIP Brexit Facebook Groups Reveling in the New Zealand Terror Attacks Blaming Muslim Victims - 16th Mar 19
Gold – US Dollar vs US Dollar Index - 16th Mar 19
Islamophobic Hate Preachers Tommy Robinson and Katie Hopkins have Killed UKIP and Brexit - 16th Mar 19
Countdown to The Precious Metals Gold and Silver Breakout Rally - 15th Mar 19
Shale Oil Splutters: Brent on Track for $70 Target $100 in 2020 - 15th Mar 19
Setting up a Business Just Got Easier - 15th Mar 19
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis Trend Forercast - Video - 15th Mar 19
Gold Warning - Here Are the Stunning Implications of Plunging Gold Price - Part 1 - 15th Mar 19
UK Weather SHOCK - Trees Dropping Branches onto Cars in Stormy Winds - Sheffield - 15th Mar 19
Best Time to Trade Forex - 15th Mar 19
Why the Green New Deal Will Send Uranium Price Through the Roof - 14th Mar 19
S&P 500's New Medium-Term High, but Will Stock Market Uptrend Continue? - 14th Mar 19
US Conservatism - 14th Mar 19
Gold in the Age of High-speed Electronic Trading - 14th Mar 19
Britain's Demographic Time Bomb Has Gone Off! - 14th Mar 19
Why Walmart Will Crush Amazon - 14th Mar 19
2019 Economic Predictions - 14th Mar 19
Tax Avoidance Bills Sent to Thousands of Workers - 14th Mar 19

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock Market Trend Forecast March to September 2019

2019 Economic Predictions

Economics / Global Economy Mar 14, 2019 - 07:41 AM GMT

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Economics Overview

The year is well underway and with it comes economic predictions that focus on the remainder of the year. This includes current trends for the global economy and one that is expected to drop as a leading economy.  It is expected that global growth will remain slow. While it enjoyed a boom of sorts after many of the world’s economies picked up near the end of 2016 that is now over. As we entered 2019, most of the G7 economies began to return to growth rates that were more inline with long-term growth histories.


The U.S economy is expected to drop as interest rates are increased and the high dollar continues to be a burden on net exports. The anticipated growth, which 2.8% in 2018, is expected to drop to 2.3% in 2019. The Eurozone is also expecting to see uncertainty as trade issues escalate and tensions grow relating to Brexit. It is expected that the European Central Bank will likely offer less support due to it ending its policy on quantitative easing.

Another economy facing declining growth is China. While the Chinese government will aggressively attempt to keep the slowdown to a minimum, the added tariffs by the U.S and China’s control of debt levels will result in its growth decelerating in 2019.

Additionally, the U.S dollar is expected to have an impact, at least a potential impact, on emerging market currencies. However, this is most likely to be seen in the latter part of the year. That will add fuel to the belief that the U.S economy is slowing and will overall, impact all other economies.

Economic Impact on Workers’ Wages

The reduction in growth will also see an impact on worker wages. That, in turn, will see those companies in labour markets will tighten salaries even if it sees more jobs being created. It could lead to increased wages for some as finding talent will become an issue. For many, that is good news, especially when it comes to recreational spending, often a deciding factor that spurs growth. One industry not expected to be impacted by economic reductions is sports betting. Its presence online has seen substantial growth throughout the world, and that is a direct result of sports betting information sites such as Efirbet.com, a leader in sportsbook affiliation. It draws attention to those that responsibly cater to this market through detailed, articulate and in-depth sportsbook reviews. While some unemployment rates will increase in markets such as Germany and the U.S, overall they are expected to remain low due to job creation.

Evidence of this has already been seen in Canada. The unemployment rate hit a 40 year low in 2017 going down to 5.8%. However, it has yet to drop any further, but it saw wages accelerating as the pools of available skilled workers dropped.  Other economies such as Belgium, Denmark and the Netherlands also are experiencing similar situations as Canada, and the U.K may see its levels at current levels as well.

2019 Trade Conflicts

It is expected that trade conflicts will continue to be an issue. This will only add to the uncertainty for businesses and policymakers. Business owners will need to deal with the impact of inflation, growth and tariffs while trying to determine how that will impact their customers and respective supply chains.

However, that being said, the main focus of creating those tensions is those between the United States and China. The risk of it escalating into a broader conflict is very real, and those in business will need to factor this into their business plan to allow for different scenarios.

United Kingdom expected to drop in world economy rankings

The United Kingdom, which is recorded at the fifth largest economy by the International Monetary fund in relation to the U.S dollar, is forecasting that it is likely to fall behind two other economies. This includes France and India and India might remain permanent. That is due to its being one of the fastest growing economies in the world. Its sheer size in population also offers favourable demographics that could see it catch up and surpass that of the U.K

By Boris Dzhingarov

© 2019 Copyright Boris Dzhingarov - All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules