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Stock Market Melt-Up Triggered a Short Squeeze In The NASDAQ and a Utilities Breakout

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020 Oct 19, 2020 - 12:41 PM GMT

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Stock-Markets

Rather quickly in trading late Sunday night, the NQ (NASDAQ E-Mini Futures) began to move higher quite consistently.  By the time the markets opened in London on Monday, the rally was ON.  We believe this is related to two underlying factors:

A.  Short positions were getting squeezed after the end of week rally in the markets last week.  The upside price pressure early in trading on Sunday/Monday likely forced many of these shorts out of the market – creating a Short Squeeze.

B.  Global traders may be interpreting a biased election victory by Donald Trump based on news events or other information.  This close to an election and with pending Q3 earnings just days away, a melt-up rally like this is fairly uncommon – unless you take into consideration that global investors may be pre positioning for an expected outcome.


30 Minute Chart of Nasdaq Showing This Weeks Rally & Squeeze

Still, one can’t discount the upside move in the NQ today, as seen on this 30 minute chart (below).  The rally started off moderately strong, then London opened Monday.  After London opened, the momentum grew and price began to rally even higher.  We believe this rally phase will abate after the momentum phase has pushed prices high enough to prompt some concerns.  You can’t fight the squeeze when it happens, but you can’t chase it very long either.

Dow Jones 30 Minute Rally, or Lack of Rally from Underperforming Sectors

The following YM (Dow Jones E-Mini Futures) chart, on the other hand, represented a very small rally phase compared to the NASDAQ.  This suggests more interest was centered in the Technology and Healthcare sectors recently as traders attempted to scoop up Call Options ahead of earnings.  The Dow Jones and the S&P 500 were still higher today, but these two major indexes were not included in the dynamic Short Squeeze like the NASDAQ was today.

Daily Chart of Utility Sector Shows Signs of Leadership

If you take a look at the following Utilities Sector ETF (XLU) it is clear that in the past few weeks they are outperforming almost all other sectors. New multi-month highs, strong momentum, and this is what happens when investors start to become nervous. They buy defensive companies that will always be needed during a recession.

Take a look at what utilities did in Jan/Feb when investors started to get nervous about the economy/COVID. I look at utilities as one of the last moves before a market correction.

Our research continues to suggest we are still in a Bullish price trend.  Our Super Cycles research and other predictive modeling system suggest volatility and risk factors are still very elevated.  In other words, we believe the US market trends are biased to the upside right now and may break higher after the elections.  We are also very cautious of election volatility and unknown factors such as earnings and other issues.

As of today, Tuesday, the NASDAQ is continuing higher as positive earnings start to hit the wires.  Learn how our predictive modeling and other advanced trading technology can assist you in finding the best trades.

As a technical analyst and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles in stocks and commodities. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for investing and short-term swing traders. Don’t miss all the incredible trends and trade setups. 

f you want to survive the trading over a long period of time, then you learn fairly quickly how important it is to protect against risk and to properly size your trades.  Subscribers of my Active ETF Swing Trading Newsletter can ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth. My research and trading team are here to help you find better trades and navigate these incredibly crazy market trends.

While most of us have active trading accounts, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes, and if they are not protected during the next bear market, you could lose 25-50% or more of your net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow our long-term capital when things get ugly (likely soon) and I will show you how. We’ve recently issued a Long-term Investment Signal for subscribers of our Technical Investor newsletter. Be sure to become a member of my Passive Long-Term ETF Investing Signals.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and is the author of the book: 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their trading performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

He is a regular speaker on HoweStreet.com, and the FinancialSurvivorNetwork radio shows. Chris was also featured on the cover of AmalgaTrader Magazine, and contributes articles to several leading financial hubs like MarketOracle.co.uk

Disclaimer: Nothing in this report should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned. Technical Traders Ltd., its owners and the author of this report are not registered broker-dealers or financial advisors. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. Never make an investment based solely on what you read in an online or printed report, including this report, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn’t well known. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report has been paid by Cardiff Energy Corp. In addition, the author owns shares of Cardiff Energy Corp. and would also benefit from volume and price appreciation of its stock. The information provided here within should not be construed as a financial analysis but rather as an advertisement. The author’s views and opinions regarding the companies featured in reports are his own views and are based on information that he has researched independently and has received, which the author assumes to be reliable. Technical Traders Ltd. and the author of this report do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content of this report, nor its fitness for any particular purpose. Lastly, the author does not guarantee that any of the companies mentioned in the reports will perform as expected, and any comparisons made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect.

Chris Vermeulen Archive

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