Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, December 29, 2008
Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Sell Into Strength / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
This is the third week in a row where the "dumb money" is neutral and the "smart money" is bearish, and this is not a scenario that is generally supportive of higher prices especially with prices on the S&P500 under their 40 week moving average. The ideal situation for higher equity prices would be for the "smart money" to be bullish and the "dumb money" bearish (i.e., bull signal). Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2008
Martin Armstrong and the Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Armstrong's “It's just time” - A friend was kind enough to send me the following link to an article dated October 10 th 2008, written by Martin Armstrong. http://www.scribd.com/.. For those who have never heard of him, Armstrong is possibly the most knowledgeable man on the planet regarding the subject of cycles as they apply to social behaviour. He developed a complex forecasting model – based on fractal natural cycles (cycles within cycles within cycles) – which was so accurate according to Armstrong that it came to the attention of the CIA who sought to acquire ownership of and control over it. As Armstrong tells it, when he turned the CIA down they contrived to ensure that he was sidelined and they took his computer anyway, which led to his source code self-destructing when it was tampered with. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 29, 2008
Stock Markets Heading for Test of Lows in January 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Saturday, December 27, 2008
Stock Market Crash Pattern Predicts Future Bear Market Behaviour / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Rouse
Permitting history to predict the future: The astonishing similarities of the DJIA chart from 1929 to 1932 and today.
Chart patterns are very useful to understand human behaviour as it relates to the “herd mentality”. If we view and overlay the performance of the DJIA from July 2008 to December 26, 2008 and July 1929 to November 1930 we can see a frightening similarity between the two charts and a predictor of future behavior:
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Monday, December 22, 2008
Stock Market Dangerous Developments as Corporate Earnings Contract / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
“One swallow does not a summer make”. (Aristotle) That may be true, but it’s possible that I saw two swallows today, and “summer” is not the season occupying my mind at present.
First, there were reports from across the Northern Hemisphere (USA, Canada, Europe and China) that the sudden cold weather “shouldn’t” be as cold as is being experienced. Commentators are clearly surprised by the ferocity of the savagely cold weather in an era of so-called “man-made global warming”.
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Monday, December 15, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Rally Mixed Signals / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Jack_Steiman
Head fake after head fake after violent move after violent move. Welcome to the current bear market that's trying to stage a bear market rally up to and possibly through the 50 day moving averages but can't quite seem to get the job done. It gets close seemingly day after day and the bears are finding a way to knock things down. What looks bullish one day looks bearish the next after the bears get done knocking things down. What looks bearish one day looks bullish the next after the bulls deny the bears from killing things off for good. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 14, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Rally Showing Signs of Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they
make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012-
2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead.
SPX: Intermediate trend - An intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 14, 2008
The Market Oracles of Doom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
New York Magazine: Oracles of doom They always knew the economy would collapse. What do they think will happen next?
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Saturday, December 13, 2008
The Stocks Bear Market Intermission / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Major stock averages have retested their 2002 lows, oil hits the 40 dollar mark and the dollar weakens. Does this now mean that it’s over? Has the bear market
run its course? Is a new bull market on the horizon? Will oil go back to 140? Will the new administration fix everything? Will 2009 bring in more of the glory days?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
The Great Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: David_Shvartsman
So, the question before us today is: "are we due for a bear market rally in shares?".Let me say up front that I have no idea whether or not the greatly expected bear market rally will materialize anytime soon.
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Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Stock Market Trends December 2008 Building a Base / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
This is a free monthly newsletter on stock market trends to help you to learn to invest. Following the trend is a proven way to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Basic technical analysis provides the tools to identify and follow the trends of the market as determined by the S&P 500.
It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
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Friday, December 05, 2008
Stocks Bear Market When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
The importance of reviewing leading indicators Analysts, market pundits and the financial media are all looking for evidence of the current bear market bottom. Many forecasts from market experts have been announced over the past few weeks that a low may have already been established in the S&P 500. The rational for this statement covers the range from the historical decline percentage of bear markets over the past 60 years, the much quoted TED spread and its recent narrowing, the all-time high of the volatility index (VIX) and attractive valuations on many, many stocks. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
Stock Market Deflationary Trend Scenario Into into 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to An Occasional Letter, the third part of the development of the new scenario that I believe will play out over the next 5 or so years. In the last 2 articles we looked at the new themes emerging from the pyre that was Financial Innovation, in this article its time to develop the new road ahead.
If you want to catch up on the first 2 articles click article 1 and article 2 .
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Does this Stock Market Rally Have Legs? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Global stock markets rallied for a second consecutive day after the US government agreed to rescue the beleaguered Citigroup (C) and as President-elect Obama introduced his administration's new economic team, emphasizing the need for quick action to hasten an economic recovery and signaling that he may be willing to keep at bay higher taxes for the wealthy.
The MSCI Word Index has improved by 10.1% since the start of trading last Friday, whereas the MSCI Emerging Markets Index lagged somewhat and registered a more modest gain of 4.6%.
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Monday, November 24, 2008
Financial Market Forecasts and Investments Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Stathis
Market Guidance: Past, Present and Future - Despite the strong closing bounce off the new intraday low of around 7400 reached on Friday, it's likely the Dow has further downside. These lows may not occur for another 12-18 months. Alternatively, they could occur at any time. The timing is impossible to predict in advance. The important thing to focus on as it stands today is the likelihood that the stock market will head lower down the road. So you should adjust your investment strategy to reflect this scenario. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Stock Market Investing From Sell the Rallies to Buy the Pullbacks? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Friday's low in the S&P 500 at 741.02 tested the monthly trendline going
back to October 1987, after breaking the October 2002 low at 768.60. The
RSI reading of a "healthy" oversold reading currently at 15.1 had not been
this far beneath the 25% oversold demarcation line since the October 1974
reading of 13.3. At 2:30 pm Eastern, with the SPX at 754.17, I noted to
our subscribers that the 13-month vicious bear market has created conditions
similar to the most acutely bullish readings in the past 35 years --
creating a potentially explosive technical setup for a recovery rally phase
in the SPX.
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Friday, November 21, 2008
Why the Stock Market Keeps Falling Despite Value Bargains / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Some investors are noting that there are some significant "value bargains" appearing on the radar screen, and yet, the market is ignoring this and still moving down .
What's going on?
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Friday, November 21, 2008
How Low will the Dow Jones Stocks Bear Market Go? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: INO
Make no mistake about it, the market action on Wednesday (November 19th) was extremely negative for all of the indices that we track. The close below 8,000 on the DOW can only be described as negative, indicating further weakness to the downside. I am looking for this index to trade down to around the 6600-6700 level. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Worst Stocks Bear Market Since the Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: HRA_Advisory
If you think you have just been through a month like no other in the market, you're right. One thing separating this market from any in our memories is the level of absolute panic and despair. You can usually count on some of the popular financial media to be bullish in the face of contrary evidence. Not this time. We've been amazed by the total negativity from every corner.
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Stock Markets Hit by Panic Selling as the Bear Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Boxer
Another very negative day on the Street as the bear market continues in earnest. Despite the fact that futures were down for most of the pre-market, they ended up opening firm and rallying back to initial resistance. When they couldn't break through they sold off sharply to retest yesterday afternoon's lows, backed and filled for several hours and on three different occasions ran right up to initial resistance but once again couldn't get through. Late in the session when it was apparent the rally was not going to materialize, they rolled over in the sharpest decline of the session, closing at the session lows. Read full article... Read full article...